March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map

Stom vista is so much faster than all the other model sites

Middle of parent-teacher conferences right now and line is forming...eh, they can wait...What happened with EURO!?

WHO HAS THE PRECIP MAP?!?!?

RJB8525 wrote:

Haha this made me LOL

Frank_Wx wrote:

Your killing me with this map. What about the eastern half of our sites coverage?

Found that on FB. I am not subscribed to TrueWeather. So do not have eastern view.

Here it is

sroc4 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

Your killing me with this map.  What about the eastern half of our sites coverage?

Rain

Rb think were in a good spot with this one? Last one was just heavy slop.

jimv45 wrote:Rb think were in a good spot with this one?  Last one was just heavy slop.

Affirmative. No slop up here lmao

Good just got my family another Husky and this will be her first snow with us.

jimv45 wrote:Good just got my family another Husky and this will be her first snow with us.

D'aweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee :')

I have a question Ray or Frank.  Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet.  Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.  





Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it?  Im not buying it.  




6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck?  In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening.  Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low.  I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.  

Hey! New Member here. Been following this storm for sooo long, after the Euro...decided to drop a Nuke on everyone but the coast, is their any chance of the coast getting some White Gold??

sroc4 wrote:I have a question Ray or Frank.  Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet.  Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.  





Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it?  Im not buying it.  




6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area  and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck?  In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening.  Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low.  I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.  

This is what @crankywxguy has been saying for two   days!!!

Who is cranky guy? You post it but I never go to his site. Whats his name?

Scott, look closer at the H5 vort max at the base of the trough in relation to the trough axis, and this should answer your question. The main show, and this goes back to the long post about two pages back I had in response to Frank's similar thoughts, is the western low because synoptically THAT is where your greatest height falls/pressure drops will be. The other low is really just an artifact in my opinion and will quickly fade. The reason whyyoubsee the jumps ofnthe SLP center are because of this reason: The model is basically throwing two pigs in a feedsack and can't decide which is dominant. In reality, the western one should be, again, in my opinion. I also believe, this particular model is STILL correcting, though mainly with the QPF field more than the low track itself.

sroc4 wrote:Who is cranky guy?  You post it but I never go to his site.  Whats his name?

Honestly, I have no clue what his real name is. No one does. Lol. But he's the most accurate MET I've seen and MANY reference him. His posts on Twitter are super educational along with his storm entries. Click link below.

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e030518.htm

SoulSingMG wrote:

sroc4 wrote:I have a question Ray or Frank.  Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet.  Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.  





Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it?  Im not buying it.  




6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area  and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck?  In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening.  Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low.  I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.  

This

Great analysis. EURO should of ended up more east resulting in a snow map similar to the 0z run. In reality it doesn't matter anymore. Its now down to the short range models and current map observations from here on out. I'm very confident with 8-12+ amounts west of Hudson River. NYC in the 6-12 range.

Hey guys I’m a new member my name is Mike. I live in Monmouth County NJ and latest forecasts are showing only 1-3 inches. Is this right? Will it still be a 6-12 inch event in Monmouth County? Please let me know I’m getting nervous this storm will be a bust.

State of Emergency declared for New Jersey.

SoulSingMG wrote:State of Emergency declared for New Jersey.

Knowing PA, we won't have one...

Wow tuff call for u guys how about nyc mayor. He has a tuff call because morning will be maybe a slushy inch but by 230 its might be. Ripping snow with near blizzard condition . or just little snow. Tuff call

mikeypizano wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:State of Emergency declared for New Jersey.

Knowing PA, we won't have one...

and school will be open lol

Frank_Wx wrote:

My god it's jackpotting right over my town. We CANNOT have this happen, this area will be devastated....