Re: March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:35 pm

amugs wrote:Talking to pro mets in another bd they are seeing things we have no clue about in soundings etc. This has a high ceiling so this is what happens when you run a sw under a block.
Then pattern will dictate the outcome.

Only IMO LI peeps and Jersey Shore should be nervous and nothing to fret about, you have jackpotted the last few years so law of averages. .to a degree.

Nighty night and hope the euro.and gfs show a bomb. If it tucked the said place are toast

Like a 3km NAM ceiling? Night, not even worried bout globals focusing on SR myself. Betting Warnings go up tomorrow and I could see B word warnings going up for some places along coast and NYC if the 3km nam verifies as it has quite high winds.

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:36 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:And its stil lsnowing on LI, max total 29 inches!! Thats ludicrous but oh I so hope it happens. Is RGEM out yet?

The 29.3” is directly in my backyard . Which means it won’t happen. But I’ll take half

Check closer buddy, that 29.3 is right on the Rockland/Orange County border. Insignificant though because as you say it won't happen as depicted but the NAM is good at picking up on these concentrated areas a couple of days ahead of time. I'd bet even money there will be small areas like that within 40 miles one way or the other from where they are depicted now in the LHV and LI.
Music to my ears CP, and I hope you cash in too.

It seems a long time since Yonkers was a jackpot area Jman, you're about due.

Dude I have NEVER jackpotted that I can remember, I have had some great snows over 20 inches but not been the top maker. Heres to hoping I see similar on 06z.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:38 pm

Rgem at 7PM Wednesday. It's still snowing in most places.

March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 4 Rgem_a10

by adamfitz1969 Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:39 pm

by **jake732** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:43 pm

being on jersey shore im pissed

by **billg315** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:45 pm

0z gfs with snow starting before midnight.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:48 pm

jake732 wrote:being on jersey shore im pissed

You know the game Jake, sometimes it's a blessing and sometimes it's a curse. I wouldn't count yourself out yet but definitely a risky area for this one.

by **Dunnzoo** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:49 pm

Oh Lord gfs!

March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 4 Gfs_as10

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:49 pm

Jesus RGEM! And I am already 12-18!! Look at that CCB training right through NYC and on north

March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 4 Rgem_m10

by **billg315** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:50 pm

0z gfs keeps low tucked in tight to coast. at 10 am rain up the coast and into LI by 1 pm. Everywhere NYC west getting hammered with snow by mid afternoon.

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:51 pm

GFS coming on board! I expect we will be seeing frank up his map tomorrow, just a guess.

by **billg315** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:53 pm

GFS still sees significant mixing issues for Jersey shore and all but far western LI, but prodigious snow everywhere west of there.

by **Dunnzoo** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:53 pm

jmanley32 wrote:GFS coming on board! I expect we will be seeing frank up his map tomorrow, just a guess.

On board where? LI gets skunked, Mikey Pisano gets the goods

by **WeatherBob** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:55 pm

That GFS has some hatred of Long Isalnd. We should banish the GFS from this board!

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:56 pm

The 00z snow map was far better than the 18z was it not?

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:57 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:GFS coming on board! I expect we will be seeing frank up his map tomorrow, just a guess.

On board where? LI gets skunked, Mikey Pisano gets the goods

Well toss it then, I dont care bout anything but the SR now anyways as we are 24 hrs away.

by **billg315** Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:57 pm

It has been persistent in keeping rain all along the shore and points east on LI. I think it might be onto something. That’s why I hedged and melded it into my snow map. Not buying it 100%, but not writing it off.

by adamfitz1969 Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:58 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Jesus RGEM! And I am already 12-18!! Look at that CCB training right through NYC and on north

March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 4 Source

by **Math23x7** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:03 pm

Just remember: If this low goes even slightly west of where it's projected to go, then the rain time would increase.

by **jimv45** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:04 pm

Lee likes 6-12 some plus 12 spots

by **jimv45** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:06 pm

12 plus that is

by adamfitz1969 Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:12 pm

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:13 pm

Soul we are both in line with NWS concern of heavy wet snow, prior weakening of trees and 20-30mph winds with gusts to 40mph, I think could see gusts even a bit higher.

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Briefings/WxBriefing_FB.pdf

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:14 pm

adamfitz1969 wrote:

MOG!!!

by **oldtimer** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:14 pm

Jman Amugs said LI and NYC is toast Going with GFS

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:15 pm

CMC NYC for the win!!

March 7th Godzilla: 1st Call Snow Map - Page 4 Cmc_sn11

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:16 pm

oldtimer wrote:Jman Amugs said LI and NYC is toast Going with GFS

Not according to the snow map, its a lot less but not nothing I still see 10 inches. Biut GFS is crap.

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