April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:30 pm

They say April Showers brings May flowers, but what do April Snow storms bring May?  

April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_13

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"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:32 pm

NO MORE! GET THIS CRAP OUT OF NEPA!!!!
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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by Grselig on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:45 pm

This is a problem. i love snow and cold. But i've got tickets for my little girl to see Hamilton on Sunday. Come on, MECS SECS HECS, hold off for another day. please!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:46 pm

sroc4 wrote:They say April Showers brings May flowers, but what do April Snow storms bring May?  

April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_13

I’m hoping it brings the elusive May snow storm. I still remember the May 9-10 1977 snow storm around these parts. NYC received only a trace but you didn’t have to travel that far outside the city to see several inches. One town at a fairly high elevation in the Hudson Valley received 27! Inches from that storm. I’m hoping we all can experience that someday.
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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by mikeypizano on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:49 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
sroc4 wrote:They say April Showers brings May flowers, but what do April Snow storms bring May?  

April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_13

I’m hoping it brings the elusive May snow storm. I still remember the May 9-10 1977 snow storm around these parts. NYC received only a trace but you didn’t have to travel that far outside the city to see several inches. One town at a fairly high elevation in the Hudson Valley received 27! Inches from that storm. I’m hoping we all can experience that someday.

If I do see snow in May... I will scream so hard that it will be heard around the planet...
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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by Grselig on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:58 pm

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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:00 pm

Mikey P while I COMPLETELY understand your frustrations with mother nature affecting your livelihood please keep those frustrations in the banter thread. Thanks Bud. Greener pastures are not that much further away.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
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Post by Vinnydula on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:10 pm

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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by gigs68 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:17 pm

What's the anticipated start/ end time for this. Supposed to have a backyard event that day. Guess not
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Post by billg315 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:21 pm

gigs68 wrote:What's the anticipated start/ end time for this.  Supposed to have a backyard event that day.  Guess not

Probably too early to lock in specifics, but as of now, looks like rain showers overnight Friday into Saturday transition to snow during the morning Saturday and the snow gets heaviest from late morning to afternoon before ending Saturday evening..
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Post by billg315 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:34 pm

Temps well below freezing at the upper levels Saturday and right at or just below freezing at the surface during the late morning/afternoon. If snow is at least moderate (and certainly if it's heavy) in intensity it should stick, but if it is light may not stick on some roads.
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April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Empty Re: April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!!

Post by Dunnzoo on Wed Apr 04, 2018 1:38 pm

"Thank you sir, may I have another?"

Bill, we didn't think much would stick on Monday, but we ended up with about 5" on paved surfaces, 7" on grass, so who knows!

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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      4.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Dtone on Wed Apr 04, 2018 2:11 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
sroc4 wrote:They say April Showers brings May flowers, but what do April Snow storms bring May?  

April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_13

I’m hoping it brings the elusive May snow storm. I still remember the May 9-10 1977 snow storm around these parts. NYC received only a trace but you didn’t have to travel that far outside the city to see several inches. One town at a fairly high elevation in the Hudson Valley received 27! Inches from that storm. I’m hoping we all can experience that someday.



wtf..I know of the trace recorded in NYC but I didn't know that was an actual storm that produced significant snow in the region.
I guess I assumed it was just a few renegade flurries they were lucky to spot making it to the surface from an unusually strong cold front or something.

I like snow but I find the idea of acclumating snow in May a weather nightmare. Of course once it actually started I'd be excited. I just wouldnt be rooting for it beforehand.

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Post by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 2:20 pm

Euro coming in with energy that is the system further N, stronger, and the PNA ridge slightly more amplified.  Only out to hr 72.  Oh boy

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 3.1" (First snow Nov 12th)
Nov 12th = trace
Dec 2nd-3rd = 1"
Dec 11th = 2"
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Post by jmanley32 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:03 pm

sroc4 wrote:Euro coming in with energy that is the system further N, stronger, and the PNA ridge slightly more amplified.  Only out to hr 72.  Oh boy
and you just leave us hanging? Lol
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:11 pm

EuroApril 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! 5ac51410
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:12 pm

April 7th 2018 SNOW!!! AGAIN!!! 5ac51412
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:26 pm

Timing not good on the Euro. Was hoping much later in the afternoon to evening not midday. I’ll still take it though.
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Post by Guest on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:28 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:"Thank you sir, may I have another?"

Bill, we didn't think much would stick on Monday, but we ended up with about 5" on paved surfaces, 7" on grass, so who knows!

The last storm began in the dark laying a foundation for it to stick. If we get rain first and then transitioning to snow during daylight I say no stickage

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Post by heehaw453 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 4:58 pm

18Z NAM is a solid 6-8" for most north of 195 in NJ. 850's are cold and surface near freezing. Precip is mostly Saturday during day, not ideal, but rates look to be high in morning.

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Post by Guest on Wed Apr 04, 2018 5:00 pm

Not feeling this one on the coast. After rain during the day

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Post by jmanley32 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 5:03 pm

syosnow94 wrote: Not feeling  this one on the coast. After rain during the day
agreed sad to say.
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Post by aiannone on Wed Apr 04, 2018 5:14 pm

Upton:
The ultimate extent of the precip shield will be
determined by the track of the wave and any added lift from the jet
which models are trying to key in the position and strength of.

There are hints at a faster timing so how far east the cold front
will get will be key in determining precipitation type. Current
thinking is a general 1-2 inches
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Post by Scullybutcher on Wed Apr 04, 2018 5:40 pm

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Post by billg315 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 6:42 pm

If we can get the snow to start before 7 am and keep it falling at a good clip it should accumulate because we’ll be close to freezing and we could get a base. But in areas where the rates aren’t good it will not stick midday in April. If it does stick it may not need to be quite as heavy as Mondays snow to add up as this seems a slightly longer duration event than Monday (which for me lasted about 5-6 hours total with only 2 hours of heavy snow).
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