December 2018 Observations and Discussions

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by dkodgis on Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:32 am

And let us not forget that during these times, CPcantmeasurerain, either
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:36 am

December to remember. Great pattern
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:59 am

What nasty weather this morning, NAM no longer has much of anything for this area but oall of mass and northern CT get slammed, of course.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:59 am

What nasty weather this morning, NAM no longer has much of anything for this area but oall of mass and northern CT get slammed, of course.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Dec 16, 2018 10:09 am

syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 10:37 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7. Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by nutleyblizzard on Sun Dec 16, 2018 10:55 am

jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.
I love your optimism. Rolling Eyes With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking! cheers
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 10:59 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.
I love your optimism. Rolling Eyes With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking! cheers
LOL sorry not in the best of moods today, we will see is all I can say I hold NO expectations right now.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by syosnow94 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 11:39 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.
I love your optimism. Rolling Eyes With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking! cheers

For once I’m with Jman here tongue Yes I know it’s still very early. I’m putting my trust in Frank’s optimism and LR forecast but I hold ZERO expectations. And maybe that’s a good thing
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 1:38 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:December to remember. Great pattern
I'm still very confident we will have above normal snowfall this winter despite the failures of December thus far. In order for that to happen, we will be going against history. If you look past at other unproductive Decembers, it does not usually bode well for the rest of the winter if you're looking for above normal snowfall amounts.
So then plan on it being like all other historical years, why think any differently? Thats just wishful thinking, you know that analogs are used VERY often and usually unless its a huge anomoly are correct to the overall degree of snowfall, so I am guessing average or below which means for me less than 18 inches cuz we already had 7.  Honestly I am ready for spring if thats the case.
I love your optimism. Rolling Eyes With the upcoming Strat warming event and a dominate split jet branch, once we roll into January, February and March this forum will be rocking! cheers

For once I’m with Jman here tongue   Yes I know it’s still very early. I’m putting my trust in Frank’s optimism and LR forecast but I hold ZERO expectations. And maybe that’s a good thing
I don't even check in all that often cuz so far its just been letdown after letdown but it is very early and march seems to be our new winter monthmaybe it should b. Jfm from now on lol
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 2:13 pm

Anyone seen the euro and gefs weeklies? Torch 5 to 10 plus degrees above normal!! Ain't getting snow with these kinda temps. Not looking good and some forums are write off any chance of snow till mid January. Thoughts?
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by sroc4 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 2:57 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Anyone seen the euro and gefs weeklies? Torch 5 to 10 plus degrees above normal!! Ain't getting snow with these kinda temps. Not looking good and some forums are write off any chance of snow till mid January. Thoughts?

People are idiots. End thoughts

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 3.00" (First snow Nov 15th)
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 3:38 pm

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Anyone seen the euro and gefs weeklies? Torch 5 to 10 plus degrees above normal!! Ain't getting snow with these kinda temps. Not looking good and some forums are write off any chance of snow till mid January. Thoughts?

People are idiots. End thoughts
touche LOL, they are. Well lets hope but the weeklies do show this.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Dec 16, 2018 5:45 pm

38° here and 1.23" of rain .. ugh

btw, check the general banter thread...

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by mwilli5783 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 5:58 pm

this years farmer's almannac said dec,jan,feb bitter cold,above avg snowfall...so something 2 ponder(although they've been wrong a few year's..lol)

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by Vinnydula on Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:48 pm

Sleet mixing in now
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by Vinnydula on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:05 pm

Now snow sleet mix. 34.7
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:25 pm

Nearing 3” and counting Very Happy

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by Dunnzoo on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:32 pm

Mix of snow sleet and rain at 36.1° and falling. Under a heavy dbz band causing the cooling...

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Snowfall winter of 2017-2018       50.15"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      45.6"
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Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by amugs on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:35 pm

Snow and sleet mix and sticking to cars and mulch now woo hooo!!#9 wintry precip on this season

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by hyde345 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:42 pm

rb924119 wrote:Nearing 3” and counting Very Happy

RB where are you located? Im in Hyde Park and it's 34 here with rain and sleet.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:47 pm

hyde345 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Nearing 3” and counting Very Happy

RB where are you located? Im in Hyde Park and it's 34 here with rain and sleet.

I went home to my parents’ in NE PA lol left at 4:50am this morning after I got out of work. Probably don’t have anything in Fishkill, but that’s obviously speculation haha

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by rb924119 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:47 pm

amugs wrote:Snow and sleet mix and sticking to cars and mulch now woo hooo!!#9 wintry precip on this season

BRING ‘ER HOME MUGSY AND DUNZ!!!!

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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by hyde345 on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:54 pm

rb924119 wrote:
hyde345 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Nearing 3” and counting Very Happy

RB where are you located? Im in Hyde Park and it's 34 here with rain and sleet.

I went home to my parents’ in NE PA lol left at 4:50am this morning after I got out of work. Probably don’t have anything in Fishkill, but that’s obviously speculation haha

Fishkill has nothing, no one in Dutchess has seen any snow today.
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

Post by Vinnydula on Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:58 pm

Snow in Westchester but not dutchess? Odd
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Re: December 2018 Observations and Discussions

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