January 2nd-3rd Potential Snowstorm

Frank_Wx wrote:My thoughts will be known around 2pm

Will be glued to the fourm lol

Through hour 30, the southern stream energy is hanging back a bit more and looks more amp'd (12z euro)

I am new and have been following you guys since yesterday..it's crazy how many times models change! I am hoping for a decent amount of snow here...fingers are crossed!!

Once again with this double barrel low crap on EURO

EURO snow map



With ratios, multiply the amount of 1.5

Overall, 4-8 inches

Wow so even the Euro has backed way down.

Now I dunno if I believe the Euro, as GFS was showing more than that, grrr this is frustrating frank are you gettin edgy too lol

Waiting on ur call at 2pm. Am hopeful but seems to be dying off if these amounts are correct.

The GFS and EURO have come to an agreement of a 4-8 inch snowfall for the area.

oh well better luck next time for a godzilla, is that the final call? Still seeing some outlets calling for up to a foot. but maybe thats not updated since euro.

As of 12:42 Upton still has 6-8, watches should be issued soon IMO.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php

To early for watches, not until 24 hours before beginning of event.

excerpt from Upton:

00Z DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT YIELDING
HIGHER CONFIDENCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA
LATE THIS WEEK. HOWEVER...WOULD LIKE TO SEE ANOTHER CONSISTENT SET
OF DATA BEFORE ISSUING ANY WATCHES.

So no watches yet

This is the GFS run correct? And Frank is it in its prime

GFS and Euro skins they agree now.

Just saw this on Accu,uploaded not long ago 12:30 i think

4-8, although NWS said 5-9 for my area, possibly higher in and banding and high ratios. Most of Thursday will be light and thursday night will be the heaviest.

I dont get the peter griffin reference lol

I hope i need the snowblower. I just put gas in it.

Right so that's not a good trend then

Mets with the slow accumulation unless you wait till it all ends doesnt seem like you would need it, IMHO.

Was hoping for a stronger storm with it coming closer to coast

Nah skins it sux, i mean its not a total wash by no means but unless things change drastically tonight (which they could, wx is known for doing that) it looks like a mediocre event.

Personally I still don't think its totally off the table but them both agreeing according to frank is a sign of a consensus, although changes can still happen and probably will.

Yeah mediocre and not coming down heavy light and a long event so in a way good for traveling and road crews

yeah I have to go to work thursday and Friday so its good in that respect I guess.

From News12 LI Rich Hoffman:

I have been a meteorologist for more than 18 years. There is a reason meteorologists don't go throwing numbers out so far in advance because things can change. A unwritten rule at news12 is we usually post snow fall totals 24-36 hours in advance, no hype just straight forward. Looking at the 12z data I noticed more of a southeast trend. If that trend continues we could see light snowfall amounts. I want to thank all the people who follow me on facebook and watched me for more than 11 years on news12 LI.