Re: BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0

by **amugs** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:51 pm

Look at this beauty of the 18z ngem in better color Snow WeenieHeaven if this happens I swear I will make homemade baileys for all my snow weenie friends!!

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Navgem_mslp_pcpn_neus_10

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 Navgem_mslp_pcpn_neus_10

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:51 pm

CP the NAV GEM posted would that be snow for NYC and my area too? I know it has no support but was just curious?

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:54 pm

Does anyone buy the NAM with 3 feet of snow in northern NY and VT? None of the WSW show this. It looks like the 00z came slightly south but running out of time, looks like hope faded.

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:56 pm

mugs, you will instill a tiny bit of hope in me still we do have another day to track.

by **amugs** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:56 pm

Homemade Baileys from the KSW aka Mugs

2 cups of light cream
1-1.5 cups of any whiskey
1 cup of milk
2 tbsp of vanilla extract
2-3 tbsp of Hershey's syrup
1 can of condensed milk

If in a pinch or like to save n a coin use baileys 16 oz creamer in the dairy aisle works in place of the cream

To make even creamier add a scoop or two of coffee or vanilla ice cream

Shake up real good chill and enjoy!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:57 pm

jmanley32 wrote:CP the NAV GEM posted would that be snow for NYC and my area too? I know it has no support but was just curious?

Yes my lad, but tis an illusion.

by **pdubz** Mon Mar 10, 2014 10:59 pm

Why did the NAV GEM show such a crazy solution? its basically laughing at us Sad

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:00 pm

right! had to pull it from somewhere, what had others shown, i havent even been watch the navgem.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:02 pm

pdubz wrote:Why did the NAV GEM show such a crazy solution? its basically laughing at us

The NAVGEM had a bit to much of KSW's Baileys.

by **Dunnzoo** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:12 pm

amugs wrote:Homemade Baileys from the KSW aka Mugs

2 cups of light cream
1-1.5 cups of any whiskey
1 cup of milk
2 tbsp of vanilla extract
2-3 tbsp of Hershey's syrup
1 can of condensed milk

If in a pinch or like to save n a coin use baileys 16 oz creamer in the dairy aisle works in place of the cream

To make even creamier add a scoop or two of coffee or vanilla ice cream

Shake up real good chill and enjoy!

I must say, I made mugs' recipe yesterday and it is awesome! I like that you can add a little extra chocolate if you want, or more whiskey but add another cup of milk if you add more whiskey....

and mugs...you left out the ice cream part when you sent it to me! Will have to add some, even though it is excellent without! drunken

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:21 pm

Not gunna lie, I expected this storm to bring us rain but did not expect it to trend this far north. Was thinking a rain to snow event for us. Oh well, onto the next one.

by **pdubz** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:26 pm

we just cant end winter right, its either too south or too north

by MinaMak Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:30 pm

Quick question because I'm confused --> why are we completely discounting the NAV GEM when it was the first model to accurately predict last week's south trend and was pretty on target with the storm's track?

The only thing is that it is the extreme outlier as the NAM/GFS/EURO all show a track to our north.

Next storm it is, just curious about the NAVGEM

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:34 pm

MinaMak wrote:Quick question because I'm confused --> why are we completely discounting the NAV GEM when it was the first model to accurately predict last week's south trend and was pretty on target with the storm's track?

The only thing is that it is the extreme outlier as the NAM/GFS/EURO all show a track to our north.

Next storm it is, just curious about the NAVGEM

Because phasing is happening too soon and the lack of blocking will help this storm take a track north and west of us. Backend snow is possible still, I guess. But nothing to really get giddy over

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:39 pm

Latest 00z GFS has the low right over NYC

BLOG: March 12th-13th Potential Snowstorm, Discussion Thread 1.0 - Page 11 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f48

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:40 pm

980 mb

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:41 pm

A lot of dry slotting showing up. Temps in the 50's with on and off rain on Wednesday, could be moderate at times. No more than an inch expected.

by **pdubz** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:44 pm

now we wait until Friday to start tracking the next potential

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:51 pm

Winds are gonna be fierce with this though. On the front and back end. Looks like 40-55 gusts namely.

by **jmanley32** Mon Mar 10, 2014 11:53 pm

Actually I just saw a different map that showed GFS 00z at 979 over NYC and 977mb after that.

by **jmanley32** Tue Mar 11, 2014 6:33 am

NAM came in south and colder : ) near 6 inches just north of city maybe bout 2-4 in city, can we hear a wut wut for Franks forecast?! Lets see if this holds up. Crazy amounts in northern NY 25-35 inches! Not fair : (

by **NjWeatherGuy** Tue Mar 11, 2014 7:30 am

Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out

by **sroc4** Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:01 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out

Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

by **pdubz** Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:03 am

sroc4 wrote:
NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

I'm gonna frame it and put it on the wall of BS

by **sroc4** Tue Mar 11, 2014 8:35 am

pdubz wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
NjWeatherGuy wrote:Do not look at the NAVGEM, throw it out
Don't listen to Tom. Look at it all you want. Just don't expect that soln to work out.

I'm gonna frame it and put it on the wall of BS

LOL It can go next to quite a few others from the past few weeks.

by **jmanley32** Tue Mar 11, 2014 9:05 am

Accuwx has us changing to snow still, "slippery travel " I can'rt believe the amounts NAM is showing up north, crazy but mets are keeping it low comparatively even NWS.

by **docstox12** Tue Mar 11, 2014 9:28 am

Even though this event busts out for snow here, it's gonna be interesting tomorrow night.Temps plunge from the 50's to the teens, 40-50 MPH winds, possible thunderstorms maybe even a heavy snow squall or two.Great for observing.

by Sponsored content