October 2014 Obs and Discussions

We had 2 inches yesterday and we got to be closing in on that today. Been raining since 330 this morning with lots of lightening this morning their were cells sitting right off the coast not even moving impressive

Ahh Dunzoo I was asking that on the coastal storm thread, is all that heavy rain over LI headed this way. Might there be some embededed storms? I have been skunked on any interesting weather since our last snowstorm, it sucks! LOL

As of 7 PM, Central Park, NY has had 4.46" of precipitation for the month of October which means that October 2014 will finish above the average October precip. of 4.40."  Also, as of the 7 PM update, CPK has 41.71" of precip on the year meaning it is only 0.21" away from the January-October average of 41.92."  The average annual precip. is 49.94" so it could finish the year at or above normal.  

Keep in mind that those "averages" are based upon the 1981-2010 period.

SNOW MAN wrote:50*and light wind out of the NE, barometer is steady. According to radar it should start raining at my location any minute.
Does anyone have any thoughts on what the weather will be like for Halloween and Nov. 1st. I usually take my decorations down the day after Halloween. I'm hoping for a sunny day. Thanks.

Still a little early, but right now I would say sunny and cool. It depends on the timing of a frontal system which will not be realized until late this weekend. Remind me to give you an update. But as of now, expect dry and cool conditions. I think the frontal system makes it out of here by the 30th

Wind picked up considerably ten minutes ago, howling now. 48.2 degrees, 92% humidity barometer 29.95 falling, Monroe NY HV.Moderate rain.

I picked up 2.30" as of 8:55 pm and still raining in Ocean Township (Monmouth County)

mmillerc23 wrote:I picked up 2.30" as of 8:55 pm and still raining in Ocean Township (Monmouth County)

Your area is one of the hardest hit

Nice weekend coming up. Next week looks rather lackluster but it could get to near 70 in the middle of the week ahead of a cold front. It probably will stay in the 60's though. The cold front looks very weak, rain may fall apart by the time it gets here. Right now, only thing worth track is what may happen in early November. I posted an update in the long range thread.

Oh yea, Halloween should be dry too

I'll keep that updated also

 

snow cover from last Friday. looks great. we'll see what tomorrows map looks like.

http://www.climate4you.com/SnowCover.htm

maps still not posting here is the link

algae888 wrote:http://www.climate4you.com/SnowCover.htm

maps still not posting here is the link

Giggidy!

Alex, when you start your Meteorology career, I advise you not to do this:

http://www.khou.com/story/news/local/animals/2014/10/18/dog-interrupts-weather-forecast/17512357/

Warm and windy getting to work this morning.

I released my winter forecast last week, but being at work, I cannotr download it.

I'll post it this afternoon!

Raining.

Starting to drizzle here. looks like the front held together enough to give us a bit of rain.

0.02 in the bucket and a rapid temp drop with the rain.

Light rain this evening and temp dropped from 63.6* to 52.4 * in one hour as the front moved through. Weekend looking nice and cold, blustery.

Well now that the storm won't deepen offshore, it won't bring down a brutal arctic air mass. Plus, sea surface temps are warm off the coast so we need winds out of the northwest to get the coldest temp anomalies. 

Saturday temps will be in the low 50's and I don't think we get out of the 40's on Sunday. Sunday night may get to near freezing, especially north and west of NYC.

I noted something on my way to work today, I was looking at the trees and visualizing what it would have looked like had it snowed and I notice that a lot more trees than in past several years are bare. I wionder if this is a good sign for upcoming winter season, I hope so I def do not want sleepless tracking only to be let down over and over lake last years second half.

Frank_Wx wrote:Well now that the storm won't deepen offshore, it won't bring down a brutal arctic air mass. Plus, sea surface temps are warm off the coast so we need winds out of the northwest to get the coldest temp anomalies. 

Saturday temps will be in the low 50's and I don't think we get out of the 40's on Sunday. Sunday night may get to near freezing, especially north and west of NYC.

And just like that the new GFS is a little cooler.

Be interesting to see how cold it gets.

Models shift back with EST Saturday. Cant wait

Brrrrr 38° this morning

30.9 degrees barometer 30.09 and rising, clear. Monroe NY HV

29.4 degrees, 30.10 rising, clear.

docstox12 wrote:29.4 degrees, 30.10 rising, clear.

Wow Doc. That's brisk. 44.3*F on the coast. 1018mb.