Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 7:47 pm

Still in low 40's here, the models may been wrong about snow for coastal areas, unless it happens later but its raining so everything will be wet it won't stick.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Nov 13, 2014 7:52 pm

38 here with rain

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:09 pm

As of 8pm, 36 degrees and still the same conditions, slushy rain falling but not quite distinguished flakes to call it pure rain/snow mix or snow.

by **aiannone** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:15 pm

Temp down to 32.9* now. Snow picking up to a light snow now from mainly flurries before as the atmosphere moistens a little more. Hoping to get a coating. Areas to my west, where it started an hour ago are just over an inch now.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:20 pm

amugs wrote:Rain snow line
Rain snow line in blue

Gotta be further NW, according to your line I would be snow or at least rain/snow already. My interpretation.

November 14th Possible first flakes for some!! - Page 5 11_13r10

November 14th Possible first flakes for some!! - Page 5 11_13r10

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:25 pm

docstox12 wrote:OK, CP, will measure tomorrow morning and report it here.

It had that "snow" feel most of the day, damp, raw and thickening clouds.Still very early to have measurable snow.

Not where you live now it's not Doc. On average we usually get the first measurable snow around the 20th or so of November give or take a few days.

It's gonna take a few years to unlearn what you've learned, we may have to send you for reprocessing by years end if you're still having trouble with the adjustment. A few sessions with Snow Man and we'll get your thinking straight.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:40 pm

November 14th Possible first flakes for some!! - Page 5 Inxr1Kphla_h

This system is packing quite a punch I must say. As temps continue to crash, everyone should at least see their first snow flakes of the season. Reports of accumulations already in higher elevations of NEPA and NWNJ.

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:51 pm

Temps now down a bit to 39, still ways to go if its going to change over.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:52 pm

37 raining

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:53 pm

Pouring at my house. I wasn't expecting precip to start this soon. Changeover should happen after midnight

by **Dtone** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:53 pm

Rain really picking up now temp crashing..from upper 40s to 40* right now.
that R/S line doesn't look that far west, looks slightly west of Paterson, NJ. It may actually make it here as a burst of wet snow...

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:56 pm

It is near Pterson NJ, and creeping east, taking its time keep the faith. At this point I will be happy just to see it don't care about any accumulation we have plenty of time for that. Frank I noted its moving VERY slow to the NE, going to be a long light to moderate event, or maybe even some heavier like u said its pouring.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:57 pm

Snowing in Poughkeepsie at 35

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Nov 13, 2014 8:58 pm

I didn't expect the rain to be this heavy with this system. It's absolutely disgusting in Manhattan; steady rain, stiff wind, and COLD. Oh how I wish this were snow!

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:00 pm

soul the rain snow line is less than 30 miles from the area, temps here continue to drop and have picked up in pace in their drop.

by **Quietace** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:02 pm

Nothing but a few sprinkles here so far

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:03 pm

November 14th Possible first flakes for some!! - Page 5 Post-40-0-62715100-1415930235

Pouring. Moderate precip everywhere. See what happens when there is frontogenesis (lift). Mother Nature goes crazy

by **Vinnydula** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:04 pm

Sticking to grass and cars in Cornwall

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:06 pm

Vinnydula wrote:Sticking to grass and cars in Cornwall

Congrats it's your winter.

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:07 pm

Yep def more impressive than I expected regardless of what type of precip it is doing right now. Frank I know we are focused on this but just a quick question, will you be making a thread for Monday? Even though it looks to stay just nrth runs have showed a strong system on and off and some down to coast with snow. IMO we should have a thread as its not really long range now. No back to the regularly scheduled precip

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:12 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Yep def more impressive than I expected regardless of what type of precip it is doing right now. Frank I know we are focused on this but just a quick question, will you be making a thread for Monday? Even though it looks to stay just nrth runs have showed a strong system on and off and some down to coast with snow. IMO we should have a thread as its not really long range now. No back to the regularly scheduled precip

Yea I will

by **jmanley32** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:12 pm

Temp just dropped from 39 to 37 in past 10 min. looking at closest area to me.

by **aiannone** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:16 pm

31 now and snowing. It has been picking up in the last 20min. Dusting on all surfaces including the road now!

by **Artechmetals** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:16 pm

34 here in livingston looks like its starting to change mixing with nice size flakes

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:17 pm

My wife just sent me a picture of our backyard, it's all white and I'm 800 miles away.

Happy and sad all at the same time.

Doc I need a measurement!!!!!!!!!

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:21 pm

38* and still raining...

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Nov 13, 2014 9:22 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:My wife just sent me a picture of our backyard, it's all white and I'm 800 miles away.

Happy and sad all at the same time.

Doc I need a measurement!!!!!!!!!

He's losing it he's losing it!

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