November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
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SoulSingMG
Vinnydula
CPcantmeasuresnow
HeresL
rb924119
SNOW MAN
Dtone
docstox12
cooladi
skinsfan1177
Dunnzoo
NjWeatherGuy
aiannone
Quietace
Artechmetals
amugs
algae888
Snow88
Frank_Wx
jmanley32
sroc4
25 posters
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Al that would be awesome hope its cold enough here to give us a inch or more : ) And I am still hoping for next week, hey this one trended wetter maybe that one will trend colder, who knows the models are kinda all over.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
According to the wxbell NAM snow map, we basically get nothing. Its all rain. I don't know if they are still useless this close to an event but if this verifies it stinks.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Frank_Wx wrote:Rgem snow map
Frank do you have the surface temp maps for the RGEM?
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Scott even though temps right now are in the mid to upper forties the new points are in the mid to upper twenties hopefully that's a good sign. if you average it out it takes us into the mid and upper 30s. that should be cold enough for snow
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
amugs wrote:Al,
I have nov 15th!! Anyway, I will take a grass and car coating this early anytime. If this was dec 14 th then it would really put us all in the mood for Xmas!!
Zoo it will stick on the mountain up the block from you - Mugs's house!! Hahaha
Mugs, you are off by 1 day!
There are some folks that have the 14th!
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
The 12z gfs brings a few inches and 2 to 4 to the east. 2nd storm stays colder further south too.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Dunnzoo wrote:amugs wrote:Al,
I have nov 15th!! Anyway, I will take a grass and car coating this early anytime. If this was dec 14 th then it would really put us all in the mood for Xmas!!
Zoo it will stick on the mountain up the block from you - Mugs's house!! Hahaha
Mugs, you are off by 1 day!
There are some folks that have the 14th!
Mother of Pearls!!!! Just like our location ooohh so close - a day late and a dollar short! Put the back blowers on, send out the jets and stall this puppy for one day! Mugs needs a hearing device - hahaha - hey look at my post in the winter outlook and add or correct if I missed anything - need to videotape him next year and post it here with his permission - very interesting.
GGEM - .25 - .50 someone like AL said hits the cash register for more than an inch if it serves and it will be cold enough coming in at early morning
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
algae888 wrote:Scott even though temps right now are in the mid to upper forties the new points are in the mid to upper twenties hopefully that's a good sign. if you average it out it takes us into the mid and upper 30s. that should be cold enough for snow
Last nights NAM had dew points in the low to mid 30's on the coast last night. I havent looked at today much but dewpoints in the 20's is a nice trend.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
College folks are forecasting a coating to an inch here. Anyone have any disagreements with that?
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
aiannone wrote:College folks are forecasting a coating to an inch here. Anyone have any disagreements with that?
Nope
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
I am concerned the coast and maybe parts of LI may see more snow than me if temps cool fast enough. That would just be a slap in the face lol. Temps shouldn't be an issue for me, but QPF will be.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
aiannone wrote:I am concerned the coast and maybe parts of LI may see more snow than me if temps cool fast enough. That would just be a slap in the face lol. Temps shouldn't be an issue for me, but QPF will be.
We probably will but it won't stick. Maybe the grass.
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Frank_Wx wrote:aiannone wrote:I am concerned the coast and maybe parts of LI may see more snow than me if temps cool fast enough. That would just be a slap in the face lol. Temps shouldn't be an issue for me, but QPF will be.
We probably will but it won't stick. Maybe the grass.
I'm sure you will enjoy seeing the flakes though! I'm patiently waiting for what could happen Monday here.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Just issued: New York City Department of Sanitation has issued a SNOW ALERT for Thursday, November 13, starting at 8 p.m. Salt trucks have been loaded and plows will be dispatched if needed
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
scott here are current temps and dew points
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CENTRAL PARK CLOUDY 48 25 40 W7 30.06F
LAGUARDIA APRT CLOUDY 48 28 46 NW3 30.04F
KENNEDY INTL PTSUNNY 48 26 42 SW6 30.05F
NEWARK/LIBERTY CLOUDY 48 27 44 SW6 30.04F
TETERBORO APRT CLOUDY 48 27 44 CALM 30.03F
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CENTRAL PARK CLOUDY 48 25 40 W7 30.06F
LAGUARDIA APRT CLOUDY 48 28 46 NW3 30.04F
KENNEDY INTL PTSUNNY 48 26 42 SW6 30.05F
NEWARK/LIBERTY CLOUDY 48 27 44 SW6 30.04F
TETERBORO APRT CLOUDY 48 27 44 CALM 30.03F
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/nmmwrf.refc_animate_1h.html#picture
Incoming!!
Incoming!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
So what does it look like for my area cnj coast im thinking 50/50 for snow. Onething I did notice today it was suppose to be 50 it only got to 45
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Alex I do not see anything about a snow alert for NYC, where did you see that?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
LOL, a snow alert for a trace of snow, Alex I found it.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Again folks surface temps are in the mid 30s at best which means these snow maps will not translate to liquid to snow at 10:1 ratio. Nice to see a slight wet trend which means we may get a nice little coating on grass to wake up but .25" of liquid equivalent falling as snow simply will not translate to 1-3" as it does in mid winter.. C-1 at best.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Clouds are thickening and lowering here and 46*
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
aiannone wrote: Just issued: New York City Department of Sanitation has issued a SNOW ALERT for Thursday, November 13, starting at 8 p.m. Salt trucks have been loaded and plows will be dispatched if needed
Government continues to do a great job at wasting taxpayer money.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
NJ 2nd that, unless we get a big surprise and a "day after tomorrow" freeze big waste.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
https://mail.aol.com/38848-111/aol-6/en-us/mail/get-attachment.aspx?uid=29385520&folder=Inbox&partId=0
Link to photo of clouds lowering here at 1 WTC - 44th Floor. Not sure if the link will work, appreciate your patience...
Link to photo of clouds lowering here at 1 WTC - 44th Floor. Not sure if the link will work, appreciate your patience...
cooladi- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
Thickening Stratus clouds, 42 degrees,30.07 falling, 58% humidity.Hoping to see the first flakes tomorrow up here Monroe HV NY.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
cooladi wrote:https://mail.aol.com/38848-111/aol-6/en-us/mail/get-attachment.aspx?uid=29385520&folder=Inbox&partId=0
Link to photo of clouds lowering here at 1 WTC - 44th Floor. Not sure if the link will work, appreciate your patience...
The link doesn't work :-(
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: November 14th Possible first flakes for some!!
NjWeatherGuy wrote:aiannone wrote: Just issued: New York City Department of Sanitation has issued a SNOW ALERT for Thursday, November 13, starting at 8 p.m. Salt trucks have been loaded and plows will be dispatched if needed
Government continues to do a great job at wasting taxpayer money.
http://gothamist.com/2014/11/13/ha_ha_theres_a_snow_alert_tonight.php
LOL. Its all political maneuvering. Just covering themselves in case the 1 in a million scenario happens, they can have a defense against political foes using it against them.
Now the fake media hype cuz the avg person will just read headlines and not see detailed forecast
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