Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
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Dtone
Math23x7
Sunflowers138
HeresL
CPcantmeasuresnow
NjWeatherGuy
skinsfan1177
amugs
algae888
docstox12
Dunnzoo
Snow88
aiannone
jmanley32
Frank_Wx
sroc4
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
aiannone wrote:GFS, NAM, and HRR all have a changeover to snow tonight down to the coast as colder air gets wrapped in. In fact temps don't seem to be rising much out of the low to mid 30s so it won't take much of a drop I'm surface temps and usually those are the most stubborn and 850s are what cool the fastest in a departing low. Here is the HRRR snow accumulation map. Shows a coating to an inch.
Better than nothing. Now change over faster and get that to 2 inches.
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Alex,
Hi-res models last night began to show that. Will be interesting to see if anything comes out of it tonight.
Hi-res models last night began to show that. Will be interesting to see if anything comes out of it tonight.
Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Frank_Wx wrote:Alex,
Hi-res models last night began to show that. Will be interesting to see if anything comes out of it tonight.
If it does materialize what kind of time frame are we looking at Frank. I'm leaving midtown tonight about 6:30.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:Alex,
Hi-res models last night began to show that. Will be interesting to see if anything comes out of it tonight.
If it does materialize what kind of time frame are we looking at Frank. I'm leaving midtown tonight about 6:30.
After midnight CP. Just saw latest data though and do not think much comes out of it anyway
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
I want to believe Alex, I really do. But in this phantom winter I hesitate to believe that the often phantom "back end" snows will actually materialize.
This whole winter so far has been one big "back end".
This whole winter so far has been one big "back end".
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
essexcountypete wrote:I want to believe Alex, I really do. But in this phantom winter I hesitate to believe that the often phantom "back end" snows will actually materialize.
This whole winter so far has been one big "back end".
It stinks like them to boot !!!
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Temps finally rose a little bit to 35* and is all cold rain now, no more slipping and sliding! .22" of rain so far.
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
.1-1, another coating yawn city if it even materializes
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Its pouring here, a lot heavier precip than I expected and radar impressive, but not fun at all. Its so warm here I don't even need a coat, doubt very much we see any backend snow.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Wind just shifted from the S to the NW here and caused a slight drop in temps. Down to 35 now. Also, 850s and 925mb temps are beginning to cool. You can notice a good jump south in the freezing line of the 850s and 925mb temps on the SPC meso page.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
I got 36* right now .57 inches of rain and not much wind .
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
34.8, 86%, 30.20 F
Certain areas here had ice in the trees, some spots did others not.Just light rain now.Dreary, raw ,damp crappy day.
Certain areas here had ice in the trees, some spots did others not.Just light rain now.Dreary, raw ,damp crappy day.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Total precip today .3" 35* now and holding steady
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
I like that batch of precip forming in CPA coming to the NYC metro. News mets such as Lee Goldberg mentioned it as well. 850 and 925mb temps are crashing down to the coast now.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Very last batch of precip ending as sleet here in cnj, just enough to make untreated surfaces slick, exercise caution
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Hour 2 of the 1/13 3Z HRRR (which would be midnight) had a snow band of as much as 30 dbz right over me. I have been checking the weather.com and weatherbell.com radars and taking occasional peaks out the window: nothing!...
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
NYS DOT out salting roads here on LI in anticipation of a freeze up tonight. Use caution out on the roads tomorrow morning, especially if they have not been treated.
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
Doc:
Are you recording any snow totals for yesterday?
I had a little before the freezing rain yesterday and again a coating last night. 0.3 inches sound about right for the day?
Are you recording any snow totals for yesterday?
I had a little before the freezing rain yesterday and again a coating last night. 0.3 inches sound about right for the day?
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
This was the best event ever
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
LOL Frank your sarcasm bleeds through so bad, funny stuff.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Monday JANUARY 12th Overunning event----
We're all so frustrated/pissed off/impatient/begging for it, that we have 12 full pages of comments on what was and was forecast to be a non-event!!!
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