Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
How often dose the RPM run ?
Yschiff- Posts : 139
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
My first call, was going to wait until midnight but whatever. Thoughts?
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Looks good!
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Some people have said that this storm reminds them of the 12/5/02 snowstorm. I don't remember this, but apparently it was expected to be a 3-6 inch storm and ended up being a 5-8 inch storm for most and areas NW of NYC cashed in a bit more due to better ratios. Anyone else see any similarities?
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Frank_Wx wrote:Looks good!
Thanks
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
You Know What: I'm HAPPY DC and BM are getting a good storm finally. What a white-free winter for them so far.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
snow247 wrote:Some people have said that this storm reminds them of the 12/5/02 snowstorm. I don't remember this, but apparently it was expected to be a 3-6 inch storm and ended up being a 5-8 inch storm for most and areas NW of NYC cashed in a bit more due to better ratios. Anyone else see any similarities?
http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/05-Dec-02.html
Read about it here............
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
What is Delaware looking at for accumulations anyone. Family asking
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
skinsfan1177 wrote:What is Delaware looking at for accumulations anyone. Family asking
6-10"
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Frank_Wx wrote:skinsfan1177 wrote:What is Delaware looking at for accumulations anyone. Family asking
6-10"
Thank you
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
00z RGEM looks like 18z. About 2-4" for NYC
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Upton holding strong with 4-6, I wonder when advisorys will go out? Mt holly went out 5-6ish
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Frank I with air and dew points so low any issue with Virga
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
oldtimer wrote:Frank I with air and dew points so low any issue with Virga
Yes, the first hour or so might be virga. Gotta get those higher VV's (vertical velocities) in.
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
snow247 wrote:My first call, was going to wait until midnight but whatever. Thoughts?
Good map. Looks very realistic at this point. I still think there is a chance that we could bump all those zones about 15-20 miles north and west, depending on what the models show tomorrow morning. But for now, this is probably the right call.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Oh yea I see Thanks Frankie
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
What's the timing on this storm
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
skinsfan1177 wrote:What's the timing on this storm
Start time around 1-2am
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Ughhhh come on GFS. I want to watch it initialize, see how little I'm going to get and then go to bed in the hopes of waking up and seeing an entirely snowier picture by every other model in the morning lmfao
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Snow, GREAT map, by the way!!! Totally agreeable first-guess. Yet again, I probably won't be able to make one because of work, but it would be in 100% agreement with yours lol
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
And let the show begin!!! 00z GFS up and running.....
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Thanks guys, really hoping I can bump all of those accumulations far north and west, we shall see.
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
00z GFS is rolling, good luck to all!
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
You know, I just thought of something: Because this has access to Gulf moisture, if we can get a good amount of convection going, that diabatic heating may allow a closer track. Granted, you'd need a lot of it, but you're starting to get to that point in the season where moisture transport really starts opening up. Models are notoriously bad at handling this, so if there is convection, we may see last-minute changes. Not saying this is going to happen, or even likely, but just a possibility still on the table.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Update #1: From arctic freeze to possible Godzilla?
Current HRRR @ 17z 2-16-15
Thoughts?
Thoughts?
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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