Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

I think we would all be very happy with 6". So lets hope for that, seems like it's realistic for NYC metro, no?

JMan the married to me comment was in reference to the "hoping for 4"" comment you made!

OPh good god, ur too funny, and yes I think we would all be happy with NYC area seeing 6 but I feel it will likely be 6+ how much more, gotta wait for Franks map tonight : )

Heard the SREFS are north.

Last night, DT was calling for 8-12" here. Now he is saying 6-10" here with 10" amounts over Central NJ around where Quietace and skinsfan1177 live.

Joe Cioffi has issued his first map and has cnj in a swath of 12+

How long of an event

OMG - reading through the pages of posts a fricking 4-8" snowstorm for the NYC Metro for this time of year is excellent - i will take it and run - remember we are above our snowfall average for the season for many of us so this is fn gravy. Once thought here maybe will calm some of you.............

With a tightened northern gradient = increased precipitation from the south. How will this translate meaning how far north remains to be seen but enough with the bridge jumping.

NYC and surrounding areas are on the northern periphery of the heaviest QPF which is an excellent place to be right now. With this there is always a band on the northern periphery of the frontogensis. There is always subsidence north of it as well which happened to CP and Doc and Snow last storm - I am just pointing this out and don't shoot me

Srefs holding and ticked North at 15Z

First call from Joe Cioffi.

That's good to hear mugs with the SREFS moving north. Let's hope the other models will follow suit.

Winter Storm Watches just flew up for DC, BAL.

WSW posted for my area from 7:00pm Weds. to 7:00pm Thurs. for 4-8in. of snow.

Euro ensembles look a bit south, NYC starting to be on the upper fringe of the heavier snow and some of the ensembles do not even have over 6 inches for NYC with today and thurs.

Wow at the NAM.

Madonne

NAM is a...Godzilla

The southwest flow is really going to help spread the moisture transport

Hurry up everyone....Jump back up on the bridge that you all just jumped off!!! LOL

Wow, the temp dropped real quick no longer prolonged sleet at all north, thatys all way down south now big change.

bloc1357 wrote:Hurry up everyone....Jump back up on the bridge that you all just jumped off!!!  LOL

People jumping to conclusions are not looking at the storm closely enough. While southern areas look to be the jackpot as it stands, the dynamics involved should help northern areas benefit as well. 18z NAM shows that

NAM CAME NORTH!!! Everybody step away from the cliff!!!

I just looked at the 15Z SREF plumes for LaGuardia Airport and deducted all of the snow totals for today and put them onto Excel. Putting in all 22 members and the snow totals, the mean is ~7.87", the median is 9.46" and the range is 0-16.15" LOL

Math23x7 wrote:I just looked at the 15Z SREF plumes for LaGuardia Airport and deducted all of the snow totals for today and put them onto Excel.  Putting in all 22 members and the snow totals, the mean is ~7.87", the median is 9.46" and the range is 0-16.15" LOL

Thanks Mike! Haha

nutleyblizzard wrote: NAM CAME NORTH!!! Everybody step away from the cliff!!!

Now all the Southern people are going to be jumping off the Cliff!!!! LOL

Frank I mentioned on another weatherboard that I felt the 12Z models were overplaying the confluence to the north thus the southern solutions. Did the 18Z NAM weaken the confluence, or is there another reason why it shows a more robust solution?

Channel 12 brooklyn say the percentage of 11 rather than 7 or 4 is higher