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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

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Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Empty Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:41 pm

Frank I mentioned on another weatherboard that I felt the 12Z models were overplaying the confluence to the north thus the southern solutions. Did the 18Z NAM weaken the confluence, or is there another reason why it shows a more robust solution?

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Post by carvin1079 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:44 pm

Channel 12 brooklyn say the percentage of 11 rather than 7 or 4 is higher

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:44 pm

Looks just under a Godzilla to me, NYC around 8-10 looks like.
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Post by HEATMISER Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:46 pm

bloc1357 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote: NAM CAME NORTH!!! Everybody step away from the cliff!!!


Now all the Southern people are going to be jumping off the Cliff!!!!  LOL
All these jumpers we can weed out the weak ones...

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Post by carvin1079 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:46 pm

Is this one strom from now till thursday or separate energy along a front

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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Looks just under a Godzilla to me, NYC around 8-10 looks like.
Is that with ratios? If not, its a Godzilla.
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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:48 pm

hyde i think we might get 3-6 out of this!

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:48 pm

WSW just issued : ) 4-8
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Post by carvin1079 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:49 pm

Yes it has

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:50 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Looks just under a Godzilla to me, NYC around 8-10 looks like.
Is that with ratios? If not, its a Godzilla.

I believe the instantwxmaps includes ratios, but there is probably more snow than is shown as it may still be downplayed, not sure.
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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:51 pm

nws has been very consistent as have models. have me and jman at 4-8" for three straight updates and wsw just went up
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:52 pm

Cnj still in good spot and I'm loving it I hope the northerners get in on it. Forget snj
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:53 pm

Al I still feel 4 is def too conservative and 8 may even be, but we shall see. Whats going on right now is impressing me.
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Post by Guest Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:53 pm

Fellas...............Take a minute to let this one go and concentrate on what's happening mow. Looking at r/s line way south and 3 to 4 hours of HEAVY snow moving in we could be about to overperform!!!

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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:54 pm

WSW issued for my area but I feel 4-8 on higher amounts here
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:56 pm

NWS always starts off conservative with WSW, when they go warning they almost always go up.
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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:58 pm

anybody think 3 to 6 makes to mid-hudson valley

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:04 pm

jmanley32 wrote:NWS always starts off conservative with WSW, when they go warning they almost always go up.

Absolutely true. If they go to a warning it'll be for 6 to 10"

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:18 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:NWS always starts off conservative with WSW, when they go warning they almost always go up.

Absolutely true.  If they go to a warning it'll be for 6 to 10"

I'm so winter weather advisory'd OUT that I'll cry tears of joy if we get a WSW.
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Post by algae888 Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:22 pm

4k nam snow map for both storms
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Nam4km_asnow_us_20
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:26 pm

We are only expecting an inch or so from first storm and that map algae tells me big snows for my area with second storm
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:30 pm

Has anyone ever heard of forecast.io?? my husband likes to use it. Its says 10-15 inches for Thurs in Hazlet..was curious if anyone knows what models they use? (if this is under the wrong topic I apologize in advance) Smile
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Post by hyde345 Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:31 pm

jimv45 wrote:anybody think 3 to 6 makes to mid-hudson valley

Jim, we are going to get 2-4 this afternoon and tonight for sure. I think we are going to get screwed north of 84 on Thursday. It looks like 1-3 if we are lucky.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:34 pm

Here are all 50 Euro ens for round one:
[img]Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn12[/img]
[img]Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn13[/img]

Euro ens All 50 members for Thursday:  (includes round one)
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn10" />
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn11" />


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Post by HEATMISER Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:41 pm

sroc4 wrote:Here are all 50 Euro ens for round one:
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn12" />
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn13" />

Euro ens All 50 members for Thursday:  (includes round one)
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn10" />
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 <a href=Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 28 Eps_sn11" />


Whats your feeling for us here on the island?

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Post by Biggin23 Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:42 pm

Already rain/sleet in Jackson.

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Post by oldtimer Tue Mar 03, 2015 4:43 pm

Flurries here 28*

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