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February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions

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Post by Joe Snow Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:19 pm

Looks like cut off is the Westetn NJ border.

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Post by snow247 Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:20 pm

Starting to read on other boards that the storm is still not moving east and it's likely coming a bit further west than modeled. Every mile counts


Last edited by snow247 on Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:22 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by jake732 Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:21 pm

enjoy the game hoping after it will be 100 miles west Smile Smile Smile HOPE HOPE....
GO BRONCOS!!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:31 pm

I may adjust snow totals at the 9pm hour

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 3

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:32 pm

Hmmm

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Wv-animated

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:34 pm

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Image.thumb.png.bff784c02858cca26642b3c85ef2ee0d

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:38 pm

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f13
February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f14
February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f15

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f16

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f17

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 RAP_Radar_ne_f18

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Post by frank 638 Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:44 pm

This is gettt better and better I think our snow totals will go up come on beast

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:47 pm

Purty.
February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 56b7d74f23681_February7201664551PMEST.thumb.png.9f05f0ba169742fd5f443677636b66c7

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Post by mancave25 Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:48 pm

What do you think frank

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:49 pm

Upper level Winds streamlining north 
 
 
February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 56b7d7eb66bf5_February7201664828PMEST.thumb.png.fb647f153f70dd3aff3f7aed477baf4a

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Post by Teetghhuhnbhj Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:49 pm

You may adjust totals up or down. Sorry I'm not good at reading those maps. Do you see it trending west a bit?

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Post by amugs Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:51 pm

Sroc, syo, math get the goods with this. Another 75 mile jog would be great, I am so disheartened by this. Her looks good to a degree

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:52 pm

mancave25 wrote:What do you think frank

I'm closing to say 5-10 inches from Jersey Shore to LI, 3-6 inches for NYC Metro (including NE NJ) and 1-3 inches west of there. The hi res models are not only moving the bands further west but the intensity of the snow is fiercer

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:55 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
mancave25 wrote:What do you think frank

I'm closing to say 5-10 inches from Jersey Shore to LI, 3-6 inches for NYC Metro (including NE NJ) and 1-3 inches west of there. The hi res models are not only moving the bands further west but the intensity of the snow is fiercer

These are the total I'm leaning on but my concern is boundary temps may be too warm to promote accumulations right away. I'll stick to the totals in the scroll for now and will make a determination around 9pm once I see more data come in.

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Post by frank 638 Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:56 pm

Yessss enjoy the game frank thanks bud Very Happy

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:57 pm

Also, all the 700-850mb frontogenesis is offshore. Would keep snow rates light.

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Post by Guest Sun Feb 07, 2016 6:59 pm

Thanks buddy. Enjoy the game. Honest to God it looks like we should get creamed but on your satellite loop you posted it looks like the dieter is moving due east

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Post by snow247 Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:18 pm

Latest map from Upton. Matches my final call map (in snow maps thread).

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 StormTotalSnowWeb1
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Post by Guest Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:28 pm

A little low IMO. Frank is confident in Nassau county getting 3-6". Add 2 to uptons totals

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Post by Quietace Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:29 pm

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 500mb
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Post by snow247 Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:42 pm

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Sfc_con_3pres
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:43 pm

HRRR 8 and 9am

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Hrrr_ref_nyc_15

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Hrrr_ref_nyc_16

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:45 pm

Testing something, can everyone see this image?

February 8, 2016 Snowfall Observations & Discussions - Page 11 Hrrr_ref_nyc_14

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Post by snow247 Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:49 pm

Yes
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Post by Joe Snow Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:50 pm

Yes I see it and being in Stony Brook it looks good.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:51 pm

Cool that means I don't have to upload it to a 3rd party site.

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