March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Page 1 of 6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:51 pm

Check out my latest blog regarding the large storm potential on Sunday. Part 2 will be released tomorrow night.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/03/tracking-spring-godzilla-between-march.html


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17128
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:59 pm

Basketball Thanks for the write-up, Frank. I actually feel good about this potential too. It's been a hot minute since we've seen models look as similar as they did today at 12z with the setup. However, as Rayno says, they'll likely windshield-wipe until late Friday and then we'll see where we are at. Ensembles are better than we've seen all season too, I think.
avatar
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 2011
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Port Chester, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by amugs on Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:59 pm

AWESOME write up Frank - i thought Jonas was it but this has the POTENTIAL to be a part duece.

1958 incoming??


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
avatar
amugs
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 8746
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jake732 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:09 pm

remind me frank, how many inches for a godzilla??
avatar
jake732
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 394
Join date : 2016-01-03
Location : lakewood, nj

View user profile http://www.lakewood732.com

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:12 pm

jake732 wrote:remind me frank, how many inches for a godzilla??

12"

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17128
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:13 pm

Latest NAVGEM



told ya

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17128
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by 2004blackwrx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:20 pm

If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.

2004blackwrx
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 396
Join date : 2013-01-14
Location : Wappinger NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:22 pm

Loved the writeup. I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol. What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13311
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by 2004blackwrx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:23 pm

If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.

2004blackwrx
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 396
Join date : 2013-01-14
Location : Wappinger NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:23 pm

2004blackwrx wrote:If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.

My city has done a good job of ruining our foliage by tearing down damn near every tree near a power line. its aweful but after sandy I guess they want no chances.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13311
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:28 pm

Wow and 1958 fell in same time frame hmmm
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 13311
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by weatherwatchermom on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:32 pm

Thank you Frank for you write up!! I refuse to talk about this last chance to anyone or even get excited until Sat Morning... Wink Wink

Have a good night!!
avatar
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1522
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 53
Location : Hazlet Township

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Dunnzoo on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:37 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Thank you Frank for you write up!! I refuse to talk about this last chance to anyone or even get excited until Sat Morning... Wink Wink

Have a good night!!

I put a little note about the chances on my FB page, just telling folks not to put away their warm winter clothes yet! Wink

_________________
Janet


Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 5"

Snowfall winter of 2016-2017      38.5"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014  66.5"
avatar
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3352
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 55
Location : Westwood, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:43 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup.  I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol.  What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?

Out to sea 10%

Significant storm 50% 

Godzilla 30% 

Roidzilla 10%

_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17128
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:50 pm

00z NAM would be a monster if it went out more. I HATE MODEL RUNS 1 HOUR LATER


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive - Cranford, NJ
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 31.5"
2017-2018:

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 17128
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by sroc4 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:01 pm

I love it when our ideas are paralleled. Im vibrating after the 12z trends, but need to see all the 00z before Im fully on board.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 5.25""
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
avatar
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 4967
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by billg315 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:05 pm

Well, March often has some surprises in the snow department so maybe this is one of those. Ironically we got a pretty decent snow event on March 20 last year as well I believe.
avatar
billg315
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1251
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 43
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Math23x7 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:07 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup.  I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol.  What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?

Out to sea 10%

Significant storm 50% 

Godzilla 30% 

Roidzilla 10%

If CPK were to get 24"+ from this potential system, the 2015-16 season would be in the top 10 for snowiest seasons on record...

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1752
Join date : 2013-01-08

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by sroc4 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:15 pm

Math23x7 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup.  I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol.  What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?

Out to sea 10%

Significant storm 50% 

Godzilla 30% 

Roidzilla 10%

If CPK were to get 24"+ from this potential system, the 2015-16 season would be in the top 10 for snowiest seasons on record...

Mike you know he is reading all of this and has been fighting the urge to comment. Cp my brother if you are reading this I am a very superstitious man. Your lack of response may hold the key to this all. Resist the urge a little longer. Wink

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 5.25""
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
avatar
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 4967
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snow88 on Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:58 pm

0z GFS grazes the coast. West of 18z.
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1885
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snow88 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:22 am

CMC has 2 lows
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1885
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by algae888 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:49 am

hard to see with the 24 hour panels but the ukie is a tucked in bomb.....

avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4454
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snow88 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:47 am

GEPS is just inside the benchmark
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1885
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Snow88 on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:22 am

Big snowstorm on the Euro
avatar
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1885
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 29
Location : Brooklyn, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by SoulSingMG on Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:24 am

Snow88 wrote:Big snowstorm on the Euro
Yup, EURO holds serve & is a bit west of last run. Thanks, snow88, btw for always being up late with me!  What a Face
avatar
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 2011
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Port Chester, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 1 of 6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum