HomeMarch 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
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March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:51 pm
Check out my latest blog regarding the large storm potential on Sunday. Part 2 will be released tomorrow night.
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/03/tracking-spring-godzilla-between-march.html
http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2016/03/tracking-spring-godzilla-between-march.html
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:59 pm
Thanks for the write-up, Frank. I actually feel good about this potential too. It's been a hot minute since we've seen models look as similar as they did today at 12z with the setup. However, as Rayno says, they'll likely windshield-wipe until late Friday and then we'll see where we are at. Ensembles are better than we've seen all season too, I think.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by amugs Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:59 pm
AWESOME write up Frank - i thought Jonas was it but this has the POTENTIAL to be a part duece.
1958 incoming??
1958 incoming??
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by jake732 Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:09 pm
remind me frank, how many inches for a godzilla??
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:12 pm
jake732 wrote:remind me frank, how many inches for a godzilla??
12"
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:13 pm
Latest NAVGEM
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by 2004blackwrx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:20 pm
If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by jmanley32 Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:22 pm
Loved the writeup. I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol. What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by 2004blackwrx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:23 pm
If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by jmanley32 Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:23 pm
2004blackwrx wrote:If this storm does happen there could be issues with the trees. They are starting to bud early and we all know what happens when the trees have added weight.
My city has done a good job of ruining our foliage by tearing down damn near every tree near a power line. its aweful but after sandy I guess they want no chances.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by jmanley32 Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:28 pm
Wow and 1958 fell in same time frame hmmm
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:32 pm
Thank you Frank for you write up!! I refuse to talk about this last chance to anyone or even get excited until Sat Morning... 
Have a good night!!
Have a good night!!
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Dunnzoo Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:37 pm
weatherwatchermom wrote:Thank you Frank for you write up!! I refuse to talk about this last chance to anyone or even get excited until Sat Morning...
Have a good night!!
I put a little note about the chances on my FB page, just telling folks not to put away their warm winter clothes yet!
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:43 pm
jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup. I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol. What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?
Out to sea 10%
Significant storm 50%
Godzilla 30%
Roidzilla 10%
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:50 pm
00z NAM would be a monster if it went out more. I HATE MODEL RUNS 1 HOUR LATER
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by sroc4 Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:01 pm
I love it when our ideas are paralleled. Im vibrating after the 12z trends, but need to see all the 00z before Im fully on board.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by billg315 Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:05 pm
Well, March often has some surprises in the snow department so maybe this is one of those. Ironically we got a pretty decent snow event on March 20 last year as well I believe.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Math23x7 Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:07 pm
Frank_Wx wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup. I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol. What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?
Out to sea 10%
Significant storm 50%
Godzilla 30%
Roidzilla 10%
If CPK were to get 24"+ from this potential system, the 2015-16 season would be in the top 10 for snowiest seasons on record...
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by sroc4 Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:15 pm
Math23x7 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Loved the writeup. I had wanted the warmth but when you said the possibility of a phase could give a "crippling blizzard" and a godzilla even without I went right back to winter mode lol. What at this time do you think the chances are that a phase starts to show if at all, maybe percentage wise like you have done before?
Out to sea 10%
Significant storm 50%
Godzilla 30%
Roidzilla 10%
If CPK were to get 24"+ from this potential system, the 2015-16 season would be in the top 10 for snowiest seasons on record...
Mike you know he is reading all of this and has been fighting the urge to comment. Cp my brother if you are reading this I am a very superstitious man. Your lack of response may hold the key to this all. Resist the urge a little longer.
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WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Snow88 Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:58 pm
0z GFS grazes the coast. West of 18z.
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by algae888 Thu Mar 17, 2016 12:49 am
hard to see with the 24 hour panels but the ukie is a tucked in bomb.....
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Snow88 Thu Mar 17, 2016 1:47 am
GEPS is just inside the benchmark
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by Snow88 Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:22 am
Big snowstorm on the Euro
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Re: March 20th-21st: Spring Godzilla Part 1
by SoulSingMG Thu Mar 17, 2016 2:24 am
Yup, EURO holds serve & is a bit west of last run. Thanks, snow88, btw for always being up late with me!Snow88 wrote:Big snowstorm on the Euro
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