Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Page 23 of 26 Previous  1 ... 13 ... 22, 23, 24, 25, 26  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by billg315 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:22 pm

Looking at that it is interesting that, and this is just my theory, everyone may end up in a similar snowfall amount because areas N and W will go over to snow sooner and get more snow on the front end, but areas to the southeast and east - where rain/mix hangs in longer - will catch up with very heavy snowfall rates from the back-end and ccb as the storm pulls away. If my theory is right, pretty much everyone makes our well here -- and relatively evenly.
Also, as an aside, with a 970 off the coast, yes, Jman, may get his winds.
avatar
billg315
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 1214
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 43
Location : Somerville, NJ

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:23 pm

I need to be in a watch at least these latest runs of Nam para and 3k Nam crush me
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3528
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 39
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:23 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Here ya go, NAM para in less than 12 hrs, maybe even less than 10.


Do you know if this is 10:1 ratios. Amounts will be even higher if it is.
Yes this is 10:1 so add a few inches.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:23 pm

rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...

avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4205
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:25 pm

algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...

Oh of cources that strip headed into CT is bullseye on my hometown lol
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:26 pm

algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...

Al lets get that band to shoft about 50 or so miles west, CT and mass arent in our forum lol, LI could still cash in on it too
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:28 pm

billg315 wrote:Looking at that it is interesting that, and this is just my theory, everyone may end up in a similar snowfall amount because areas N and W will go over to snow sooner and get more snow on the front end, but areas to the southeast and east - where rain/mix hangs in longer - will catch up with very heavy snowfall rates from the back-end and ccb as the storm pulls away. If my theory is right, pretty much everyone makes our well here -- and relatively evenly.
Also, as an aside, with a 970 off the coast, yes, Jman, may get his winds.
yes bill plus the higher ratios inland. if this sucker gets to 970mb then 12" area wide. this storm is starting to remind me of boxing day blizzard. it came out of nowhere. Very Happy
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4205
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:29 pm

algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...


What a Face
avatar
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 3528
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 39
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:29 pm

billg315 wrote:Looking at that it is interesting that, and this is just my theory, everyone may end up in a similar snowfall amount because areas N and W will go over to snow sooner and get more snow on the front end, but areas to the southeast and east - where rain/mix hangs in longer - will catch up with very heavy snowfall rates from the back-end and ccb as the storm pulls away. If my theory is right, pretty much everyone makes our well here -- and relatively evenly.
Also, as an aside, with a 970 off the coast, yes, Jman, may get his winds.
Its for sure possible, believe it or not I havent even been paying wind no mind but I do not think "B" word is out of the question with a 970mb low, winds only need b 35mph gusts.
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:32 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Looking at that it is interesting that, and this is just my theory, everyone may end up in a similar snowfall amount because areas N and W will go over to snow sooner and get more snow on the front end, but areas to the southeast and east - where rain/mix hangs in longer - will catch up with very heavy snowfall rates from the back-end and ccb as the storm pulls away. If my theory is right, pretty much everyone makes our well here -- and relatively evenly.
Also, as an aside, with a 970 off the coast, yes, Jman, may get his winds.
Its for sure possible, believe it or not I havent even been paying wind no mind but I do not think "B" word is out of the question with a 970mb low, winds only need b 35mph gusts.
jman this is a blizzard for eastern li

avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4205
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:35 pm

surface sustained winds with NAM 988mb, a full 18mb higher than rgem. So ya I think wind may def play a role here for LI coastal CT NYC and jersey shore.

avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:35 pm

algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...


Don't like the looks of that, great for Skins but the move south and east is a little alarming if not drastic. Hope that's not a trend.
avatar
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 4789
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 55
Location : OTI - Sector 4

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by frank 638 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:35 pm

Lee just put up his first snow map in general 5 to 10 inches for everyone including long island and jersey shore

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1215
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 33
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:36 pm

algae888 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Looking at that it is interesting that, and this is just my theory, everyone may end up in a similar snowfall amount because areas N and W will go over to snow sooner and get more snow on the front end, but areas to the southeast and east - where rain/mix hangs in longer - will catch up with very heavy snowfall rates from the back-end and ccb as the storm pulls away. If my theory is right, pretty much everyone makes our well here -- and relatively evenly.
Also, as an aside, with a 970 off the coast, yes, Jman, may get his winds.
Its for sure possible, believe it or not I havent even been paying wind no mind but I do not think "B" word is out of the question with a 970mb low, winds only need b 35mph gusts.
jman this is a blizzard for eastern li

Damn it is for eastern CT too, lol why couldnt I been there for this, if that tucks in anymore could put us all on the coast under the gun. But snowfall is whats most exciting here, add the wind for me and i'll be further than heaven. Actually Al the 850mb winds which with these dynamics will probably mix down, even over NYC will have over 35mph gusts which is enough to warrent blizzard. The winds look downright serious for LI and cape cod, Alex road trip? lol
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:40 pm


WOW!!!!!
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4205
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by lglickman1 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:40 pm

heaviest bands seem to be offshore on that, no?

lglickman1

Posts : 147
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Riverdale, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:41 pm

Okay if RGEM is still show this tomorrow im headed east!
avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by frank 638 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:41 pm

Winter storm watch has been issued for NYC nj long island and Connecticut

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1215
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 33
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:42 pm

jmanley32 wrote:surface sustained winds with NAM 988mb, a full 18mb higher than rgem.  So ya I think wind may def play a role here for LI coastal CT NYC and jersey shore.


Hoping the RGEM is overdone as far as it's strength and precip shield.

That solution will benefit a few but take the areawide foot from more than it benefits.

First time today I haven't liked what I've seen. One model though and just one run.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:43 pm; edited 1 time in total
avatar
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 4789
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 55
Location : OTI - Sector 4

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by algae888 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:42 pm

cp I wouldn't be to concerned I think all areas end up with at least 8-12" with a jackpot around 15". we all want to be under the heaviest bands but you know how it goes. will be interesting to see who jackpots
avatar
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4205
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 55
Location : mt. vernon, new york

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by frank 638 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:44 pm

National weather service has 8 to 12 inches of snow for everyone

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1215
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 33
Location : bronx ny

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:45 pm

RGEM could be a blizzard for others than just LI, look at the 900mb winds sustained! With 4 inch per hr rates good god!



avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by docstox12 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:46 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
algae888 wrote:rgem for you central jersey and li folks and its still snowing...


Don't like the looks of that, great for Skins but the move south and east is a little alarming if not drastic. Hope that's not a trend.

Me either, CP, but if it comes to fruition we still get 6 inches.I have been suspicious of all the maps showing the HV getting a foot because this S and E bias has been seen so many times the last few years.When i see the radar on Thursday morning, we will know.
avatar
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 5260
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 66
Location : Monroe NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:47 pm

Yep heres NWS highest, way up from yesterday.

avatar
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist
Senior Enthusiast & Loyalist

Posts : 12236
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 36
Location : Yonkers, NY

View user profile

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:48 pm

GFS snow map


_________________
Snow Accumulation Archive
2013-2014: 62.1"
2014-2015: 56.0"
2015-2016: 34.0"
2016-2017: 19.0"

________________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
avatar
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 16847
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 25
Location : Cranford, NJ

View user profile http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 23 of 26 Previous  1 ... 13 ... 22, 23, 24, 25, 26  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum