March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis

GFS looks great

Check out these hourly snowfall rates. Now who knows where exactly these end up but 5 inches an hour over my house. I hope I get to see it. Saw it once before in 83 and it was insane.

The GFS caving gives me even more agita. It looks great now but if it keeps trending slightly west, I'll see mainly sleet in Bellerose. IMHO, I get 6" of front end snow followed by an inch of sleet before the precip tapers off....

0z GFS

15-20 inches for NYC

Snow88 wrote:0z GFS

15-20 inches for NYC

And there you have it, kids.

ROIDZILLA

Apparently CMC is yuge

SoulSingMG wrote:

Snow88 wrote:0z GFS

15-20 inches for NYC

And there you have it, kids.

ROIDZILLA

Not yet.

Roidzilla is 24 to 36. It may be close though

Wwwwoooowwww

Frank_Wx wrote:Wwwwoooowwww

SPEECHLESS. never seen that before

Woah CMC!

Frank_Wx wrote:Wwwwoooowwww

Many spots could rack up a foot of snow in 4-5 hours at those rates, and I may being conservative.

0z CMC gives NYC area all snow with some mixing to eastern LI

20 inches + for everyone

So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure. The watch hasnt even been updated since yesterday 4:12pm.

jmanley32 wrote:So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure.

Soon. Patience, fellow Coastal Westchesterite ;-)

SoulSingMG wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure.

Soon. Patience, fellow Coastal Westchesterite ;-)

I have to imagine they will up totals and wind gusts, frank is most bullish of all i have seen so far, hope your right Frank. Oh ya right ur in WC now i keep forgetting.

jmanley32 wrote:So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure. The watch hasnt even been updated since yesterday 4:12pm.

What I don't understand is why they haven't at the least put NYC and southern westchester in a WSW. IT's 100% they are getting more than 6 inches of snow. They can always upgrade to a blizzard warning when they are sure the winds and visibilities will warrant it.

Great post Frank! 0z NAM shows two competing h7 frontogenetic banding, but notice how it has two competing sloping areas of it, which would mean increased area of subsidence as you mentioned in your post, which is a function of any beast really. However, this storm will seriously stretch this atmosphere insanely, the soundings are ridiculous and the NAM's sounding for NYC metro is showing CSI and convective instability. Thundersnow baby!

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure. The watch hasnt even been updated since yesterday 4:12pm.

What I don't understand is why they haven't at the least put NYC and southern westchester in a WSW. IT's 100% they are getting more than 6 inches of snow. They can always upgrade to a blizzard warning when they are sure the winds and visibilities will warrant it.

EVERYONE RELAX! Lol

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:So when the heck they go pop that blizzard watch to a warning, i mean for NYC east I think its pretty sure. The watch hasnt even been updated since yesterday 4:12pm.

What I don't understand is why they haven't at the least put NYC and southern westchester in a WSW. IT's 100% they are getting more than 6 inches of snow. They can always upgrade to a blizzard warning when they are sure the winds and visibilities will warrant it.

You read my mind, a watch means nothing to anyone. The general public doesnt pay much mind to the weather, once warnings are issued people will have a work day to prepare here. Trust me there are people that are dumb enough have no clue about this storm. I have heard people all day.

Sanchize06 wrote:

Wow 2 feet IMBY!! or close, jeeze. Winds looked near franks map too.

jmanley32 wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:

Wow 2 feet IMBY!! or close, jeeze.  Winds looked near franks map too.

23 inches right over me without ratios. I may be seeing only the 4th 30 plus inch storm in my 55 years on this Earth. Wish it was Monday night.

jmanley32 wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:

Wow 2 feet IMBY!! or close, jeeze.  Winds looked near franks map too.

Yeah, shifted a bit to the east from 12z which helps. Great run for mostly everyone

Def am dying see the euro maps, someone if they can post the max gust map from wxbell, i wanna see if it similar to the 12z one frank posted, if no one can thats ok.  I just find the winds nearing hurricane force gusts on that run is hard to believe.

Although that close in B< with sub 985mb actually I think 12z was 977? I guess winds would be that high.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Sanchize06 wrote:

Wow 2 feet IMBY!! or close, jeeze.  Winds looked near franks map too.

23 inches right over me without ratios. I may be seeing only the 4th 30 plus inch storm in my 55 years on this Earth. Wish it was Monday night.

I am not sure ive ever seen 30 inches from one storm.

Just took this pic on the West Side Highway leaving Manhattan now after my event... they are NOT screwing around here warning people.