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March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:15 am

jmanley32 wrote:As cp said they should have already. Personally I font think there's go b long enough mix issue to not have blizzard.

We'll see. I'm not liking this too close for comfort hugger aspect to the storm but I also can't remember a mid 970's storm hanging out just east of us. So I don't know honestly.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:18 am

Euro snow map, great for me but this really needs to move 30-40 miles east or NYC and most coastal sections are going to have real mixing issues. In Eastern CT, RI cape cod and Red Sox Suck Euro is to far west and they may be looking at mostly rain if this held.

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Euro_m10

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:20 am

Everyone ridiculed the NAM two days ago when it was the only one showing a coastal hugger. It may turn out it was the first model onto something.

Hopefully we start trending a little bit east tomorrow, but not too much east.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:22 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Snow88 Mon Mar 13, 2017 2:22 am

0z Euro is snow to rain to heavy snow here

10-15 inches for NYC with a lot more to the west

Freezing line when the city changes to rain is just to the west so we still have to monitor this storm

Any wobbles to the west or east will be big on the models
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 13, 2017 4:25 am

Blizzard warnings up. Not so happy with that euro run but let's see what hspprns.
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Post by pdubz Mon Mar 13, 2017 4:54 am

Upton bumps up totals.. blizzard warnings also up

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Image.jpeg.95aeac04cad96bc7a2b6009546d96a7e
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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Mar 13, 2017 4:57 am

Wow widespread foot and a half. Nice to see bulls eye been consistent last 24 hours with me on the outside of it. Feel good will get at least a foot. Some fun nights of work coming up.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:13 am

Mt Holly now how's me in a Blizzard Warning
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:24 am

3k nam I'm rolling with it.March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Img_0110
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:41 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:3k nam I'm rolling with it.March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Img_0110

There ya go Skins, looking good for AREA WIDE snowstorm every run.

4 degrees.All this attention on the snowstorm but we have had three nights in a row in the single digits up here.This is late January weather!Cold air locked and loaded.
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Post by track17 Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:49 am

Skins what do you think the model runs from 00z don't look good right or am I wrong?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:52 am

06z RGEM:

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Sn10_acc.us_ne

06z NAM

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Namconus_asnow_neus_15

3z SREFS

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 SREFNE24Precip03048

06z GFS

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Snku_acc.us_ne



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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:54 am

Blizzard warning in effect by this time tom morning it will be snowing I can't wait

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:55 am

Rpm

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 MgWeb_WRF_20170313-060000_ANE_ECONUS_F00450000_PwinterSnow_R12km.png.74348ef767c1913b4cd8b893ecc762b2

UKMET

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 IMG_1708.GIF.d84eb7aadf045a06b4f64a2bc53b64a3

Euro

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 IMG_4527.PNG.0a19a5ac0dc87783c11ec5360d875000

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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:56 am

Good morning Doc. Holy crap I'm tired. I think I've had about 6 hours sleep in the last two nights. Plus losing the hour isn't helping. This board is like a magnet it just pulls you in and you can't get away. My wife is on the verge of kicking me out. LOL ! She just isn't a full fledged Snow Weenie like all of us on here, but she does like snow. But not the cleaning up part.
Looks like we're in for a doozy of a storm. I'm hoping my work will be closed tomorrow. They closed for the last storm which doesn't even compare to this one. It's not like I was even going attempt to go in. I can't see myself driving 62 miles in a raging snow storm. I'm to old for that crap. I don't think I'll be getting to much done today at work because I'll probably be checking this forum constantly. LOL !!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:56 am

Blizzard warnings issud...click on your county

http://wx.aerisweather.com/maps/severe/warnings/all/usnj.html

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 13, 2017 5:57 am

418 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard
Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to midnight EDT
Tuesday night. The Blizzard Watch is no longer in effect.

* Locations...Metropolitan New York City and New Jersey, Western
Long Island, Southern Westchester, Southern Fairfield, Southern
New Haven, Northern Middlesex, and Northern New London
counties.

* Hazard Types...Heavy Snow and Blizzard Conditions. Snow may mix
with or change to sleet and rain across southern and eastern
coastal areas late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.

* Snow Accumulations...12 to 20 inches...highest amounts to the
north and west.

* Snowfall Rates...2 to 4 inches per hour early Tuesday morning
into early Tuesday afternoon.

* Timing...Late tonight into Tuesday evening.

* Impacts...Dangerous travel due to whiteout conditions at times.

Several roads may become impassable. Power outages possible.
Damaging wind gusts possible across Long Island and coastal
Connecticut.

* Winds...Northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts 40 to 55 mph on
Tuesday. Highest winds across coastal areas.

* Temperatures...In the upper 20s.

* Visibilities...One quarter mile or less at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions...making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel...have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded...stay with your vehicle.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:02 am

There's going to be a death band of 5 inches per hour. Everything has it, but where it sets up is unknown

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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:04 am

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 10 Gfs_ms12
6z GFS is a crusher for NYC Metro!
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Post by mikeypizano Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:09 am

34 imby?!?!?!
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:11 am

SNOW MAN wrote:Good morning Doc. Holy crap I'm tired. I think I've had about 6 hours sleep in the last two nights. Plus losing the hour isn't helping. This board is like a magnet it just pulls you in and you can't get away. My wife is on the verge of kicking me out. LOL ! She just isn't a full fledged Snow Weenie like all of us on here, but she does like snow. But not the cleaning up part.
  Looks like we're in for a doozy of a storm. I'm hoping my work will be closed tomorrow. They closed for the last storm which doesn't even compare to this one. It's not like I was even going attempt to go in. I can't see myself driving 62 miles in a raging snow storm. I'm to old for that crap. I don't think I'll be getting to much done today at work because I'll probably be checking this forum constantly. LOL !!!

Good Morning SNOW MAN. Yep, it sure has been a blast the last few days on the board, it has really come alive with the excitement of the coming storm.LOL, I think CP's wife has him in the doghouse too! Anyway, it's looking better and better for us N and W folks on the board as this thing is west of the BM right now.I hope you are off tomorrow becasue we are gonna have a BLAST sending in reports on the storm's progress.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:14 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
418 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard
Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to midnight EDT
Tuesday night. The Blizzard Watch is no longer in effect.

* Locations...Metropolitan New York City and New Jersey, Western
Long Island, Southern Westchester, Southern Fairfield, Southern
New Haven, Northern Middlesex, and Northern New London
counties.

* Hazard Types...Heavy Snow and Blizzard Conditions. Snow may mix
with or change to sleet and rain across southern and eastern
coastal areas late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.

* Snow Accumulations...12 to 20 inches...highest amounts to the
north and west.

* Snowfall Rates...2 to 4 inches per hour early Tuesday morning
into early Tuesday afternoon.

* Timing...Late tonight into Tuesday evening.

* Impacts...Dangerous travel due to whiteout conditions at times.

Several roads may become impassable. Power outages possible.
Damaging wind gusts possible across Long Island and coastal
Connecticut.

* Winds...Northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts 40 to 55 mph on
Tuesday. Highest winds across coastal areas.

* Temperatures...In the upper 20s.

* Visibilities...One quarter mile or less at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions...making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel...have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded...stay with your vehicle.

Wow, that report could have come from 1967 not 2017 with the 'more amounts to the N and W comment' which was standard operating procedure in those days.Living in Fort Lee NJ at the time, you always were biting your nails as mix was always mentioned in the forecast.Even in the huge Feb 1961 snowstorm, it went over to a mix, but just for a half hour or less.January 1978 blizzard the mix line got to Newark and stopped.You never were sure in those days as the storm tracks always had mixes in the MIX,LOL.
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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:20 am

docstox12 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
418 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
EDT TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard
Warning, which is in effect from midnight tonight to midnight EDT
Tuesday night. The Blizzard Watch is no longer in effect.

* Locations...Metropolitan New York City and New Jersey, Western
Long Island, Southern Westchester, Southern Fairfield, Southern
New Haven, Northern Middlesex, and Northern New London
counties.

* Hazard Types...Heavy Snow and Blizzard Conditions. Snow may mix
with or change to sleet and rain across southern and eastern
coastal areas late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.

* Snow Accumulations...12 to 20 inches...highest amounts to the
north and west.

* Snowfall Rates...2 to 4 inches per hour early Tuesday morning
into early Tuesday afternoon.

* Timing...Late tonight into Tuesday evening.

* Impacts...Dangerous travel due to whiteout conditions at times.

Several roads may become impassable. Power outages possible.
Damaging wind gusts possible across Long Island and coastal
Connecticut.

* Winds...Northeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts 40 to 55 mph on
Tuesday. Highest winds across coastal areas.

* Temperatures...In the upper 20s.

* Visibilities...One quarter mile or less at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are
expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds
and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout
conditions...making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If
you must travel...have a winter survival kit with you. If you get
stranded...stay with your vehicle.

Wow, that report could have come from 1967 not 2017 with the 'more amounts to the N and W comment' which was standard operating procedure in those days.Living in Fort Lee NJ at the time, you always were biting your nails as mix was always mentioned  in the forecast.Even in the huge Feb 1961 snowstorm, it went over to a mix, but just for a half hour or less.January 1978 blizzard the mix line got to Newark and stopped.You never were sure in those days as the storm tracks always had mixes in the MIX,LOL.

Doc your like a walking talking history book.


Last edited by SNOW MAN on Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:20 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:20 am

I am thrilled that there's finally going to be a storm where everybody, or at least almost everybody, cashes in. I decided a couple days ago that I was going to be happy with a foot and I'm forecasted to get it. I hope you guys get all you want and an inch more.

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Post by track17 Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:22 am

I wish everyone luck this looks real bad for most of NJ but it is what it is. I hope everyone else gets hit hard since we are out of it. Good luck you guys

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Post by 2004blackwrx Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:24 am

3 inches a hour would be amazing to see and 5 inches would make me speechless. Cant wait.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Mar 13, 2017 6:28 am

track17 wrote:I wish everyone luck this looks real bad for most of NJ but it is what it is. I hope everyone else gets hit hard since we are out of it. Good luck you guys

Bad as in lots of snow then what you said is correct
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