Re: March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:20 am

HI RES NAM QPF - ALL SNOW

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 58c6aa35e7a03

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:21 am

Wow.....

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 Snku_acc.us_ne

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:22 am

Gotta run for a little. Will be back before the chat!

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:24 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow.....

Ummm is that a TWO and an EIGHT over me in Westchester?!

by **RJB8525** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:25 am

Been doing a bunch of crap this morning to try and make it for the chat. People are acting like animals in the grocery stores it's disgusting

NWS Winter saftey guide http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/winter/index.shtml if you want to pass it along

by Aiosamoney21 Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:26 am

28 inches in Northern Bergen county!!! Where do I sign?? Mugs and zoo I'm sure you will take that run as well lol!!

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow.....

by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:27 am

RJB8525 wrote:Been doing a bunch of crap this morning to try and make it for the chat. People are acting like animals in the grocery stores it's disgusting

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 Store-in-storm

by track17 Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:28 am

I am happy for everyone. Judt cant believe us at the jersey shore wont even see 2 inches

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:28 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Is it sad that I'm focusing on weather, yet, can't FOCUS on the weather and get my maps done? lmfao is there something wrong with me??

You buying into my snow map yet? SREFS/NAM pretty wet this morning...

There is no question you have model support. None. The only thing that concerns me is there's NOTHING slowing this down. Remember the last big one we had this season? The EURO tried doing the same thing and busted badly; it was well overdone with the QPF rates. Granted, there is basically UNANIMOUS support for your ideas, but what it really boils down to is I, personally, am just gun-shy of going with such widespread high totals. Think about it; that is saying areas get 40" between about 06-20z. That's 14 hours. Even 24" would be hard to get to in my opinion in 14 hours, as you would need much of the event to be 2"/hr rates. Then, the preceding airmass is so dry, you'll lose some of your initial precip to saturation, so now you're figuring "safely" on getting 24" in 10-12 hours of precip. Assuming even the first and last hours are lighter, that leaves you 8-10 hours of heavy snowfall. Now you need to average 3"/hr over that entire duration. I don't know, it just seems a little too far fetched for me, mathematically speaking, let alone 40". You see what I'm saying?

by **amugs** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:29 am

Aiosamoney21 wrote:28 inches in Northern Bergen county!!! Where do I sign?? Mugs and zoo I'm sure you will take that run as well lol!!
Frank_Wx wrote:Wow.....

HI RES NAM NUKES US AND I MEAN NUKES US WITH 4-5" SNOW FALL RATES FOR A FEW HOURS

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 Hi_res16

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 Hi_res15

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 Hi_res14

by **Snow88** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:29 am

Nam Para is colder and further east

Great hit for everyone west of central LI

by **Dtone** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:30 am

17 in the park to 28 in white plains.
Watching the rain snow line gonna feel like game 7, 4th quarter 2 mins left tie game.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:31 am

rb924119 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:NEPA = FRANKZILLA

REG NAM Snow Map

So take your pick RB, 33 inches in Fishkill or 38 at your parents house. Sounds like a win win either way. crazy run.

I am seriously considering telling work that I don't care, I'm going home and won't be back until next week because this is once in a lifetime if it happens this way. Then I'll get to play in it too.

but you won't have internet

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:31 am

hi res para nam snow map

by **lglickman1** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:32 am

The question is which one of these models has a handle on the situation better. I think a slight tick east or west means the difference of as much as 10 inches for part of the area.

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:32 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:NEPA = FRANKZILLA

REG NAM Snow Map

So take your pick RB, 33 inches in Fishkill or 38 at your parents house. Sounds like a win win either way. crazy run.

I am seriously considering telling work that I don't care, I'm going home and won't be back until next week because this is once in a lifetime if it happens this way. Then I'll get to play in it too.

but you won't have internet

My parents have internet, granted, not nearly as good (when mine decides to work), but they do lmfao they may be old fashioned, but they're not ancient fashioned ahahaha

by **SNOW MAN** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:33 am

Frank, do you think you'll be updating your map because of this new information ?

by **Snow88** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:34 am

4k Nam

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 18 2vcc36g

by **RJB8525** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:35 am

The NAM has been staying consistent on this storm while others have flaked..

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:35 am

SNOW MAN wrote:Frank, do you think you'll be updating your map because of this new information ?

I plan to release a final snow map around 6pm

by **amugs** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:36 am

4-6" SNOWFALL RATES IN PINKS ON THIS LIKE i WAS SAYING INSANE!!!!!!!

by track17 Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:36 am

What is better the 4k, para or regular nam

by **jake732** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:38 am

This i dont understand, the Crapola 3k map shows only like 3,4 inches for jersey shore but if u look at the actual nam 3k map it shows a foot? someone plz expain

by deadrabbit79 Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:38 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wow.....

Ummm is that a TWO and an EIGHT over me in Westchester?!

I THINK IT IS!!! I'm not sure if i'm excited or afraid!

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:39 am

jake732 wrote:This i dont understand, the Crapola 3k map shows only like 3,4 inches for jersey shore but if u look at the actual nam 3k map it shows a foot? someone plz expain

Gotta watch, some snow maps account sleet as snow. It's best to use soundings and tell whether a certain frame is snow, sleet, or rain. But they're not too easy to read for the average person. That's why I use 850mb.

by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:41 am

amugs wrote:4-6" SNOWFALL RATES IN PINKS ON THIS LIKE i WAS SAYING INSANE!!!!!!!

Is that even physically possible? 4-6" per hour? That is like a summer thunderstorm but with snow. You probably couldn't even breathe if you were standing in it. Which I just might try. Once in a lifetime!

by **mikeypizano** Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:41 am

RJB8525 wrote:The NAM has been staying consistent on this storm while others have flaked..

Toss it... no way its right with 38", must be feedback issues

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