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Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:17 pm

nam is east.

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:20 pm

jmanley32 wrote:nam is east.

It is a bit east, but so far thru hr 36 actually does bring in some more rain and stronger winds than 18z

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:22 pm

SREFs are a little east, NAM is arguably about the same/ever so slightly east versus 12z/18z

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:23 pm

Now NAM slightly NW at hr 42

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:27 pm

Yeah it is

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:28 pm

Still NW at hr 48, big difference in the rain in LI. We'll see how far west that can go

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Post by nutleyblizzard Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:29 pm

This is a strange run. Nam was a bit west for a while, then it kicked east. No its a bit west again. much more expansive precip shield.
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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:29 pm

Woah damn, wasn't escpecting that aha NYC hope you're ready for near-hurricane gusts lol way west of 18z and even west of 12z

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:33 pm

Oh wow, NAM jumps NW at hr 51

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:33 pm

holy crap its far west at hr 51! it may make landfall?
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:37 pm

Woof at the 0z nam

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:37 pm

WOW

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 Namcon13
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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:37 pm

RPM lol
Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 21557610

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:38 pm

LI getting pounded with rain and wind

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:39 pm

From 54 to 57 it moves NW towards Montauk lol

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:40 pm

Can we say a bit of heavy winds for NYC and westchester! Yes I know these are 850s so not verbatim number.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 Namcon14
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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:40 pm

3km NAM is definitely on an eastward trend since 12z

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:41 pm

Reminder: 0z suite has added recon data

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:41 pm

toggle hr 57 from 18z, the west track is what about 50-100 miles?
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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:42 pm

aiannone wrote:RPM lol
Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 21557610

Where can you get this model?? I can't ever find it aha

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Post by aiannone Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:42 pm

Got it from someone on fb. Idk either honestly lol

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:42 pm

HOLY NAM!!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 59bf30750e307

He misees the trough and therefore drifts NW and stalls for about 6-9 hours off the coast and just pounds away.

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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:43 pm

Oh wow, now it's stalled at 66 lol

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:43 pm

Um rb 3km starts to curve back NW bringing heavy precip to LI and CT, man I wish I could be at my parents for this.
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Post by amugs Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:44 pm

It goes hybrid/extra tropical and just blows up. If this were a blizzard it would be epic!!

Let's see what the 0z suite says from here.

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Post by rb924119 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:45 pm

OMG IT STALLS OVER THE SOUTH FORK lmao

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:45 pm

Woah, if this plays out we in a new ballgame here.

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 16 Nam3km10
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