Re: Long Range Thread 15.0

[Guest]

Slow but steady changes to the NWS forecast for my area on LI.  Two days ago We went from a forecast of 44 Sunday night and rain followed by 52 and showers on Christmas Day to this as of this morning with 4 days still left

Sunday Night  A chance of rain before midnight, then rain and sleet likely between midnight and 3am, then rain, snow, and sleet likely after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Christmas DayA chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after 7am, then gradually ending. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

[rb924119]

MARK THIS DOWN IN YOUR CALENDARS FOLKS, MIKEY GET YOUR ARCHIVING GAME FACE ON. I DONT THINK IVE EVER BEEN MORE EXCITED FOR A PATTERN. 06z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS:

[Dunnzoo]

MARK THIS DOWN IN YOUR CALENDARS FOLKS, MIKEY GET YOUR ARCHIVING GAME FACE ON. I DONT THINK IVE EVER BEEN MORE EXCITED FOR A PATTERN. 06z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS:

That would be the best birthday present ever!

[Guest]

Does the entire northeast get to join in on the fun or am I destined to be a spectator to your white gold mining jackpot?

[Guest]

No coastal folks need to be upset over the maps rb posted. On these runs the computers don’t recognize LI and the Jersey Shore as land depending on where it’s downloaded from. We would ALL do exceptionally well if this verifies. I’ll take member #13 please and thank you

[rb924119]

Does the entire northeast get to join in on the fun or am I destined to be a spectator to your white gold mining jackpot?

Use your imagination

[Guest]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house. They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

[docstox12]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house.  They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

Well, Jimmy, then expect 1 to 3 inches up there while you get 18 to 24 in LI when the storm takes the usual S and E direction!

[track17]

Actually syo those maps for most of nj are not great. Hope things trend better. Is there a chance they can?

[Math23x7]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house.  They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

Well, Jimmy, then expect 1 to 3 inches up there while you get 18 to 24 in LI when the storm takes the usual S and E direction!

Not as bad as Montreal where everything looks to get suppressed.

[bobjohnsonforthehall]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house.  They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

I'm confused. Aren't those maps for January 6?

[rb924119]

Actually syo those maps for most of nj are not great. Hope things trend better. Is there a chance they can?

Track, you're fine lol first off, he's saying that the coast is not well-represented because the members of the ensemble are run at a much lower resolution than their operational counterparts, which means small areas like Long Island or the coastal plain where the gradient would be get washed out with respect to the details. All we are concerned with right now is that the there is a strong signal for a stormy pattern. To see widespread totals 1-1.5 feet on an ensemble through only 16 days is something that isn't very frequent, unless you're at high a pretty elevation like the northern mountains of Maine or out west. Don't worry about the details we would be driving ourselves beyond our already present level of insanity (lmao). Just know that the signal for a lot of snow for the entire region is there and growing, and we'll work out the details as we can for now, join us in the excitement of it all and enjoy the thrill!!!!

[mikeypizano]

Oh man I think I may need to change my avatar to the Toro...

[rb924119]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house.  They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

I'm confused. Aren't those maps for January 6?

They're THROUGH January 6th. So the next 16 days.

[rb924119]

Oh man I think I may need to change my avatar to the Toro...

DONT. YOU.DARE. You're already on the proverbial "list" for getting a new one and jeopardizing our season of fluff, which if our worst fears to never be named come to pass, you WILL be punished for lmaoooo

[mikeypizano]

Oh man I think I may need to change my avatar to the Toro...

DONT. YOU.DARE. You're already on the proverbial "list" for getting a new one and jeopardizing our season of fluff, which if our worst fears to never be named come to pass, you WILL be punished for lmaoooo

TORO HUNGRY! WANT BIIIIG SNOW! OMNOMNOM!!!

[rb924119]

Oh man I think I may need to change my avatar to the Toro...

DONT. YOU.DARE. You're already on the proverbial "list" for getting a new one and jeopardizing our season of fluff, which if our worst fears to never be named come to pass, you WILL be punished for lmaoooo

TORO HUNGRY! WANT BIIIIG SNOW! OMNOMNOM!!!

Yeah, well you just keep that thing caged and under wraps until we deem it safe to do otherwise lol can't be taking any unnecessary risks.

[Frank_Wx]

I think it is time to dust off my blog. May release something later today.

[rb924119]

I think it is time to dust off my blog. May release something later today.

[skinsfan1177]

I think it is time to dust off my blog. May release something later today.

[skinsfan1177]

I'm not going crazy over long 10 days away from those operational runs. Great eye candy

[bobjohnsonforthehall]

.....also I plan on spending 4-5 days between Christmas and New Years up at my parents house.  They are the light blueish bullseye on almost every ensemble member posted with many over 24”.

I'm confused. Aren't those maps for January 6?

They're THROUGH January 6th. So the next 16 days.

[sroc4]

I think it is time to dust off my blog. May release something later today.

Your going to "dust off your blog" and "release something later"? Totally inappropriate Frank.

Too far?

[rb924119]

I'm not going crazy over long 10 days away from those operational runs. Great eye candy

I'd be totally in agreement with you, Skins, except those aren't the operational runs. Those are the Ensembles aha very different in terms level of importance lmao

[track17]

But rb how can we take any model seriously that can't recognize the coast line. I mean that is kinda sad. Just asking

[mikeypizano]

Rb don't forget, I got that Toro last year and the blizzard dumped 2 feet on me...

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

I think it is time to dust off my blog. May release something later today.

Your going to "dust off your blog" and "release something later"?   Totally inappropriate Frank.  

Too far?

In this environment probably, but damn funny.

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