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Wx Banter Thread 2.0

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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by mikeypizano Mon Dec 25, 2017 9:54 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:The fact that there is something on the radar this far out is a good sign.Way to early to throw the towel in on this one.By Thursday we will know much better where this is going.
By thursday> Thats 12 hrs away as this is for the 29th yes?  I would think by wed at the latest we should have some consensus or watching the models at all is pointless.  As my mom used to say don't need to watch tv to get the weather just look outside!

Or as my parents say... "Why bother, they're never right anyway"

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Post by Math23x7 Tue Dec 26, 2017 2:16 am

sroc4 wrote:Just all keep in mind we have seen all systems tend south and east only to bring them back N and W inside 48-72 hrs it will not take much QPF to get into the area to bring decent accumulation. Don’t jump yet.

How about so far north and west so that I experience good snow in Montreal on Friday????  Oh yeah, it will stay in the NYC region while I endure suppression depression...

Tired Mad GFS Model Tired Mad

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Post by GreyBeard Tue Dec 26, 2017 9:45 am

If you want to see snow take a drive to Erie,PA, just saw on TWC that they had 53" in the last 30 hrs.with another 12 to18"still to come. Lake effect in full force.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Dec 26, 2017 9:53 am

GreyBeard wrote:If you want to see snow take a drive to Erie,PA, just saw on TWC that they had 53" in the last 30 hrs.with another 12 to18"still to come. Lake effect in full force.

And if you don't want to drive that far go to the tug hill plateau region of NY. Some spots are expecting well over 100 inches over the next 2-4 days.
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Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Empty Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

Post by amugs Tue Dec 26, 2017 10:05 am

Wind Chills next New Years & next Wednesday Morning - YIKESSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_t2m_nyc_26


Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_wchill_nyc_26

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_wchill_nyc_35

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by GreyBeard Tue Dec 26, 2017 10:10 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
GreyBeard wrote:If you want to see snow take a drive to Erie,PA, just saw on TWC that they had 53" in the last 30 hrs.with another 12 to18"still to come. Lake effect in full force.

And if you don't want to drive that far go to the tug hill plateau region of NY. Some spots are expecting well over 100 inches over the next 2-4 days.

It's pretty amazing,something I would like to experience first-hand someday. And mugs,looks like we ring in the New year in the deep freeze. What a Face

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Post by Guest Tue Dec 26, 2017 10:20 am

Mugsy. What’s with your boy Witt whiffing on all these storm threats/ calls. I need you to reel one in brother.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Dec 26, 2017 10:30 am

amugs wrote:Wind Chills next New Years &  next Wednesday Morning - YIKESSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_t2m_nyc_26


Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_wchill_nyc_26

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 Ecmwf_wchill_nyc_35
ugh that's just too cold man if we got snow prolly too cold for it it would be like 40:1!
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Post by RJB8525 Tue Dec 26, 2017 7:08 pm

when this place gets quiet....the chances of a storm are slim lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:58 am

RJB8525 wrote:when this place gets quiet....the chances of a storm are slim lol

Not many people like cold/dry. I am hoping we see at least a minor snowfall this weekend to accompany all this cold. EURO Ensembles still show many members with a 2-4/3-6 inch type.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:08 am

Some good news...as mentioned in the LR thread the western ridge is shown to spike. As a result, the EURO last night showed a fantasy snowstorm on January 4th.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 5a43846fc0942.thumb.png.14b6b7284acd1f06a0e06185082e003b

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:41 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Some good news...as mentioned in the LR thread the western ridge is shown to spike. As a result, the EURO last night showed a fantasy snowstorm on January 4th.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 19 5a43846fc0942.thumb.png.14b6b7284acd1f06a0e06185082e003b
and a fantasy I'm sure it will stay sorry but why even post this after this letdown for this weekend? You had a lot of confidence it seemed for this week to new years is spike a even greater confidence?
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:44 am

I would not say I had a lot of confidence for this weekend. Someone asked if I liked the chance for it to snow and I simply replied yes. I still think snow snow is possible this weekend. It was never a Godzilla type set-up. I never advertised it as that either.

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Post by RJB8525 Wed Dec 27, 2017 2:28 pm

IMO i think clown maps should be banned from here lol. they are a jinx
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Dec 27, 2017 4:27 pm

RJB8525 wrote:IMO i think clown maps should be banned from here lol. they are a jinx

Sooooooo pretty much every run lately???? Laughing
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Post by billg315 Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:03 pm

Is there any good reason for any human being to be standing in Times Square on New Year's Eve in these predicted temperatures? I've done it three times (long ago when I was younger and not as smart), the first two times with similar temperatures to this. I'd be lying if I said it was fun. Why I did it a second and third time, I don't know. My recommendations for NYE: stay home with a few cocktails, or go to a nice, warm, neighborhood bar that doesn't attract big crowds.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Dec 27, 2017 8:53 pm

billg315 wrote:Is there any good reason for any human being to be standing in Times Square on New Year's Eve in these predicted temperatures? I've done it three times (long ago when I was younger and not as smart), the first two times with similar temperatures to this. I'd be lying if I said it was fun. Why I did it a second and third time, I don't know. My recommendations for NYE: stay home with a few cocktails, or go to a nice, warm, neighborhood bar that doesn't attract big crowds.

I will stay home, and have some champagne but not at midnight... We drink early. My parents are in bed by 8 or so.
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:26 pm

It will be extra fun watching them freeze their ass off squirm around
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Post by frank 638 Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:35 pm

I would never ever go down there even if its 50* at night just to stand for 10 hours no thanks try to work in it for 8 hours

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Post by mikeypizano Wed Dec 27, 2017 9:42 pm

frank 638 wrote:I would never ever go down there even if its 50* at night just to stand for 10 hours no thanks try to work in it for 8 hours

I got ya beat when it snows, I start at 5AM and finish around 5PM usually, and sometimes even later. Course its not all the time, and only if we get a decent snowfall... But still, I know the feeling quite well!
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Post by dkodgis Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:45 pm

What I notice inside is the wood stove does not put out the heat when it is around zero outside-it only keeps the house around 70; -10 or colder, the cold just seems to come through the walls. I can put my hands up and feel the cold about six inches away from the wall. I start adding coal to the stove and it makes a difference. What makes it a hoot tonight is we lost power and we are running the generator. I can't imagine standing out in the cold for hours just for fun. I can imagine staying indoors and drinking glog!
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Post by Math23x7 Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:21 am

The Fahrenheit and Celsius temperature scales meet at -40 degrees. I am currently in Montreal and the wind chill this morning got down to -40 degrees Fahrenheit and Celsius.

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Post by Guest Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:43 pm

billg315 wrote:Is there any good reason for any human being to be standing in Times Square on New Year's Eve in these predicted temperatures? I've done it three times (long ago when I was younger and not as smart), the first two times with similar temperatures to this. I'd be lying if I said it was fun. Why I did it a second and third time, I don't know. My recommendations for NYE: stay home with a few cocktails, or go to a nice, warm, neighborhood bar that doesn't attract big crowds.

Sure there’s a reason. Millennial. They don’t work and they can post their pics on soacial media and beg people to contact them Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

I hope they ALL get hypothermia

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Post by billg315 Thu Dec 28, 2017 7:22 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Is there any good reason for any human being to be standing in Times Square on New Year's Eve in these predicted temperatures? I've done it three times (long ago when I was younger and not as smart), the first two times with similar temperatures to this. I'd be lying if I said it was fun. Why I did it a second and third time, I don't know. My recommendations for NYE: stay home with a few cocktails, or go to a nice, warm, neighborhood bar that doesn't attract big crowds.

Sure there’s a reason. Millennial. They don’t work and they can post their pics on soacial media and beg people to contact them Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

I hope they ALL get hypothermia

Lmao! So true. What a wonderful opportunity to post pics of themselves doing something really “cool” so their friends can “like” it in hopes of them “liking” or “retweet” the next photo or obnoxious political comment they themselves post! When I went there was no social media and no cellphone cameras. We were content to display our stupidity just to those around us.
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Post by HectorO Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:04 pm

It's so damn cold out that the little snow shower we had Christmas Eve still has lawns covered in white and still has cars that haven't moved yet covered with snow still. If we had gotten hit with a big storm this snow would have gone nowhere anytime soon. If we get hit Tuesday I wonder how long the snow will last. For like the next 7-10 days the forecast still says high temps won't even get near freezing. I feel sorry for those standing in the NYE party in the city. I'll be home nice and warm.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Dec 29, 2017 7:25 am

HectorO wrote:It's so damn cold out that the little snow shower we had Christmas Eve still has lawns covered in white and still has cars that haven't moved yet covered with snow still. If we had gotten hit with a big storm this snow would have gone nowhere anytime soon. If we get hit Tuesday I wonder how long the snow will last. For like the next 7-10 days the forecast still says high temps won't even get near freezing. I feel sorry for those standing in the NYE party in the city. I'll be home nice and warm.

Good point Hector.Had we all gotten a foot of snow a week earlier, we would be looking at a nice long stretch with a good snowpack.I barely have a few inches and 'possibly" will get an inch tomorrow.This is reminding me of the 1976-1977 winter, brutally cold but dry.Not my kind of winter at all.Hardly any snow and my heating bill goes way up.
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Post by dkodgis Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:05 am

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/abrams/northeast-faces-persistent-cold-through-next-week/70003666

Interesting stuff. The warmest and coolest temps for the ball drop NYE. It looks like 1996 was a very cold episode, factoring in wind.
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