Long Range Thread 16.0

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Jan 08, 2018 5:44 pm

amugs wrote:Syarudaybis going to be interesting for the interior and NWNJ could be a big snow and ice storm. Lots to go neither this but euro went from 50''s (after Frank and Mike relenquished the joystick( to mid/upper 30''s for NYC metro and around 30 and upper 20''s for ruburb peeps.like hyde, cp,doc,rb,RB etc.

Not sure what day this is but when you start making typos like this it usually means you’re excited and ther are improvements are on the horizon.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 6:01 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
amugs wrote:Syarudaybis going to be interesting for the interior and NWNJ could be a big snow and ice storm. Lots to go neither this but euro went from 50''s (after Frank and Mike relenquished the joystick( to mid/upper 30''s for NYC metro and around 30 and upper 20''s for ruburb peeps.like hyde, cp,doc,rb,RB etc.

Not sure what day this is but when you start making typos like this it usually means you’re excited and ther are improvements are on the horizon.


Syarudaybis (See-ARE-u-day-bis)

We have to come up with a strict definition for this word. lol!

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by docstox12 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 6:44 pm

sroc4 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
amugs wrote:Syarudaybis going to be interesting for the interior and NWNJ could be a big snow and ice storm. Lots to go neither this but euro went from 50''s (after Frank and Mike relenquished the joystick( to mid/upper 30''s for NYC metro and around 30 and upper 20''s for ruburb peeps.like hyde, cp,doc,rb,RB etc.

Not sure what day this is but when you start making typos like this it usually means you’re excited and ther are improvements are on the horizon.


Syarudaybis (See-ARE-u-day-bis)

We have to come up with a strict definition for this word.  lol!  

The sad thing is I can now understand Mugsy's syntax,LOL.

Sounds interesting all right if this temp range Mugsy states for the interior evidences itself!
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by amugs on Mon Jan 08, 2018 7:07 pm

OHHHHHHHHHHHHH LMAO x1000x - yuo guys kill me.

Yes Doc I am excited for you guys in the interior for this one - could be a big storm if the cold air can press SE by about 25 miles or so - heck I'll take 50 please Alex!!

GFS - warm bias here

GEFS if true would bring a good storm to the interior

Euro - big shift - can we get another one?

Temps


Deep Thunder from 33Rain

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 7:16 pm

Mugs. Where can I get my hands on the Deep Thunder?

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by amugs on Mon Jan 08, 2018 7:46 pm

Sroc my brother let me talk to my hook on this. VentrI censuses it off WSI site. I'll pm you the info

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by bobjohnsonforthehall on Mon Jan 08, 2018 7:46 pm

sroc4 wrote:Mugs. Where can I get my hands on the Deep Thunder?

That sounds vaguely dirty.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 8:42 pm

Pretty sure he meant "Saturday is" ahahaha but I'll wait for confirmation from the man that said it before assuming that's correct lmao

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 8:45 pm

Upon catching up on the replies I missed since yesterday, it was indeed meant to say what I thought, as I saw the original post was edited ahaha I guess all the practice deciphering texts (as bad if not worse at times, believe it or not aha) from my two best friends over the last number of years is useful after all lmfaoooo

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:34 pm

amugs wrote:Sroc my brother let me talk to my hook on this. VentrI censuses it off WSI site. I'll pm you the info

Please do. Thanks Al

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by sroc4 on Mon Jan 08, 2018 9:35 pm

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Mugs. Where can I get my hands on the Deep Thunder?

That sounds vaguely dirty.

lol! lol!

It does

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20"
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25"
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85"
Dec 09th 2.75" (prev year's first snowfall Dec 11th coating)
Dec 14th 2.5"
Dec 15th 2.8"
Dec 30th 2.0"
Jan 4th 12"
Jan 29th-30th* 7.8"
March 7th-8th 9.2"
March 12th-13th 6"
March 20th-22nd 11.8"
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Jan 09, 2018 7:30 am

The EURO last night was not enthused for snow at all, including N&W folks. I do not see how cold air wins here even with a low that tracks south of us. Expect rain and hope for the best Smile

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by syosnow94 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:02 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The EURO last night was not enthused for snow at all, including N&W folks. I do not see how cold air wins here even with a low that tracks south of us. Expect rain and hope for the best Smile

Screw the global Frank. They are useless. We are coming up on 72 hours. What does King NAM say?
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by dkodgis on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:07 am

But it does look like a heavy, soaking rain so I think we will see the snow pack melt with some flooding possible
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:09 am

dkodgis wrote:But it does look like a heavy, soaking rain so I think we will see the snow pack melt with some flooding possible

I haven't given up for us N & W folk though, not looking great but not throwing in the towel either.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by syosnow94 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:09 am

dkodgis wrote:But it does look like a heavy, soaking rain so I think we will see the snow pack melt with some flooding possible

You know if it does rain we will ALL get over 2”. Just the way it is. Been like effin Siberia for two weeks and now we get a LP moving south of us dropping 2” qpf. Evil or Very Mad
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:10 am

syosnow94 wrote:
dkodgis wrote:But it does look like a heavy, soaking rain so I think we will see the snow pack melt with some flooding possible

You know if it does rain we will ALL get over 2”. Just the way it is. Been like effin Siberia for two weeks and now we get a LP moving south of us dropping 2” qpf. Evil or Very Mad

I repeat what I said to Damian, I haven't given up for us N & W folk though, not looking great but not throwing in the towel either.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:16 am

I actually really like the look of the ensembles, mainly EURO and GEM over the next 15 days; not because of what they show for the next 15 days, though. Instead, I really like the implications of the pattern they depict as we head into the first 7-10 days of February, which is when I think our Siberian winter will make its return Wink Wink Wink I think I may see another substantial SSWE on the horizon.......

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Jan 09, 2018 9:32 am

rb924119 wrote:I actually really like the look of the ensembles, mainly EURO and GEM over the next 15 days; not because of what they show for the next 15 days, though. Instead, I really like the implications of the pattern they depict as we head into the first 7-10 days of February, which is when I think our Siberian winter will make its return Wink Wink Wink I think I may see another substantial SSWE on the horizon.......

RB, do you see any hope at all for late Friday night Saturday morning, for the north and west people to get some snow?
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 10:21 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I actually really like the look of the ensembles, mainly EURO and GEM over the next 15 days; not because of what they show for the next 15 days, though. Instead, I really like the implications of the pattern they depict as we head into the first 7-10 days of February, which is when I think our Siberian winter will make its return Wink Wink Wink I think I may see another substantial SSWE on the horizon.......

RB, do you see any hope at all for late Friday night Saturday morning, for the north and west people to get some snow?

I honestly haven't even been paying any attention to it these last several days, so I cannot offer any opinion. However, if time permits me today, I will take a gander and revert with my thoughts Smile

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by Frank_Wx on Tue Jan 09, 2018 10:51 am

Prime cutter pattern


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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Jan 09, 2018 11:09 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Prime cutter pattern


Oh well that doesn't look good, a man can dream can't he? Thanks Frank
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by frank 638 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 4:56 pm

lee goldberg has snow for next tues and tues nite my fingers are crossed for a big one

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by rb924119 on Tue Jan 09, 2018 7:47 pm

You know, CP, I'm almost wondering why this system for this weekend couldn't slide in under and behind the western Atlantic ridge and give the NW folks a surprise wintry or even snow event. It doesn't look likely at face value on current guidance, but I would almost argue that we will see a harder south and east trend with it within the next 72 hours. This is certainly an interesting case, but one in which I would say there is a substantial chance for something wintry. I'm gonna watch this carefully, and evaluate further.

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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

Post by NjWeatherGuy on Wed Jan 10, 2018 2:45 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Prime cutter pattern


Yeah it looks to want to shoot the gap right over our area. However, that HP in the north is fairly strong. Despite the consistency so far, it wouldn't surpsise me for it to trend a bit further south, which may be prevented from going too far due to the Atlantic high. I could see a track nearly over or just south of the NYC area, getting our northernmost members into some nasty icing possibility. However, I can also see it hold serve and track just to the north of the area. Not overly concerned about this for my area, but areas that got significantly more snow to the east and northeast should watch for flooding potential. Snowpack will be quickly melted from the next few days and this storm.
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