March 2nd Nor'easter Update

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Guest on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:14 pm

I just finished golfing. I don’t know what to believe. Frank is in on it now which gives hope. I’m completely mind effed. Don’t know what to believe. Expecting rain

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:14 pm

dsix85 wrote:Good write-up thanks Jman for elaborating. We all know that someone gets slammed with hurricane force winds, most likely around Montauk
Of copurse highest will be along coast (And no, I do not say as of yet that anyone sees hurricane winds, over ocean sure) but if NAM is right I would expect damaging winds to extend into at least northern westchester too and NJ. Could also approach higher than 60mph gusts, we will see. Funny NWS is all over that part for NYC area...and no snow.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:23 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:16 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Nothing worse than losing power in the middle of a snow storm. I know jman loves wind but I’m not a big fan. Give me 200 foot visibility with no wind and I’m good.
I hear ya CP, not wishing anyone to lose power but this has been the one pretty steady thing with this system. Even at 40mph gusts a heavy wet snow will bring trees down sorry to say. But if the 18z NAM plays out it will just be downright bad and honestly I dunno if I want to see it that bad, also looked at some seas maps and the coast is toast if NAM is right. beaches will be bashed.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by crippo84 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:20 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Nothing worse than losing power in the middle of a snow storm. I know jman loves wind but I’m not a big fan. Give me 200 foot visibility with no wind and I’m good.

To each his own right? I don't get the whole wind thing either haha. I HATE windy days especially when precipitation is falling. It causes power outages, downed tree limbs, and all around blows stuff all over the place. I'll take a heavy snow with no wind all day.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:22 pm

crippo84 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Nothing worse than losing power in the middle of a snow storm. I know jman loves wind but I’m not a big fan. Give me 200 foot visibility with no wind and I’m good.

To each his own right?  I don't get the whole wind thing either haha.  I HATE windy days especially when precipitation is falling. It causes power outages, downed tree limbs, and all around blows stuff all over the place. I'll take a heavy snow with no wind all day.
Well can't say I do not understand everything you guys like LOL, and damn CP 200 ft snow with no wind thats a heck of a heavy snow!~!! I would be excited for that too.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:22 pm

I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.

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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SNOW MAN on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:25 pm

Winter storm watch for my area already posted for Friday morning into late Friday night. Calling for 4-8 inches with 10" amounts in the higher elevations. Very Happy
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:25 pm

rb924119 wrote:I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.
Man cut out!!! You gotta be here for the 00z runs we need your reassurance! Do you think the 18z nam winds could veryify? What percentage of those sustained on the map I posted, I am under the 80kt 850mb winds sustained, half? 75%? Needless to say I think gusts could easily surpass 60mph, but just a guess.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:26 pm

rb924119 wrote:I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.

What?! You can't leave us NOW!!!
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:27 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.

What?! You can't leave us NOW!!!
soul you see my post of the 3km 850mb winds? Did ya fall off your chair lol
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:29 pm

UPTON Briefing....going with no SNOW for now. I'm with Rb. Very confused why there is no risk mentioned of snow down to the coast/city.

https://twitter.com/nwsnewyorkny/status/968975679399264256?s=21
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:30 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.

What?! You can't leave us NOW!!!
soul you see my post of the 3km 850mb winds? Did ya fall off your chair lol

Yes, lol, I just about did. Many METS are taking at least the wind threat seriously ATM.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SNOW MAN on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:30 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Nothing worse than losing power in the middle of a snow storm. I know jman loves wind but I’m not a big fan. Give me 200 foot visibility with no wind and I’m good.

I agree with you Cp. I'm not a big fan of wind. Actually I HATE IT ! Evil or Very Mad
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by algae888 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:49 pm

Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Radz on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:52 pm

algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe harps
Unreal!!!!
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Radz on Wed Feb 28, 2018 5:56 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I'm sorry I can't be a part of much tonight as I'm now at work, but I am absolutely APPALLED at how the NWS and on-air mets are handling this. Gotta go. Absolutely appalled.
Man cut out!!! You gotta be here for the 00z runs we need your reassurance! Do you think the 18z nam winds could veryify? What percentage of those sustained on the map I posted, I am under the 80kt 850mb winds sustained, half? 75%? Needless to say I think gusts could easily surpass 60mph, but just a guess.
I love the wind coupled with heavy precip too Jman, think this will be one hell of a storm with both, hoping more white than wet as well
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:02 pm

algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
where do you get that and what does it show?
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:02 pm

RGEM!!! Cave toward NAM.
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by aiannone on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:03 pm



Look familiar?
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Radz on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:04 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
where do you get that and what does it show?
Tropical Tidbits
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:05 pm

Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
where do you get that and what does it show?
Tropical Tidbits
i do not see it does it have another name under the models?
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by amugs on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:06 pm

Shift that with the NAM blend a SHAZZZAAAMMMMMMMM!!




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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by Radz on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:10 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
where do you get that and what does it show?
Tropical Tidbits
i do not see it does it have another name under the models?
under the Rgem, scroll down under mesoscale models
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:10 pm

amugs wrote:Shift that with the NAM blend a SHAZZZAAAMMMMMMMM!!



Thats only good for those NW of NYC, or are you saying it should be more in line with NAM? Still cannot find page of that image on tropical tidbits
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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 6:10 pm

Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Radz wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Wow!!! At tbe hdrps
where do you get that and what does it show?
Tropical Tidbits
i do not see it does it have another name under the models?
under the Rgem, scroll down under mesoscale models
omg it scrools now LMAO, I never knew it scrolled lol, now I see rgem too good lord

ohh and its not nearly donw at the end I see


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Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

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