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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Empty Re: Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

Post by Scullybutcher Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:03 am

Frank I get crushed on those. I can’t wait

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Post by Radz Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:04 am

Got my internet back!! 33° light/moderate snow, about 1/2" on grass and cars, pavement just wet... still no power, built a shed for the generator- 20 gallons of gas, so let it snow!!!!

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Post by Grselig Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:04 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:30 degrees here in the hills of Hopatcong, about 2 inches of snow on the ground. Sticking to everything. Coming down at a light/moderate rate.

ALSO I GOT MY POWER BACK!!!! I made my first cup of coffee in 5 days this morning.

coffee good. congrats - good to have power in this storm. Hope any further damage is limited.
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Post by DAYBLAZER Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:04 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
DAYBLAZER wrote:30 degrees here in the hills of Hopatcong, about 2 inches of snow on the ground. Sticking to everything. Coming down at a light/moderate rate.

ALSO I GOT MY POWER BACK!!!! I made my first cup of coffee in 5 days this morning.

AWESOME news! Perfect timing

Thanks bud. Can't tell you how good it is to make some hot food in here and watch this baby unfold with you all.

What's your confidence level on your final call snow map after seeing the runs/trends overnight? With the eastward trend, will heavy snow still reach out to me on the Eastern Sussex/Morris county border?
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:07 am

There is our secondary

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Pmsl

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Post by dsix85 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:07 am

Frank- do you anticipate thundersnow this afternoon?

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:09 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
DAYBLAZER wrote:30 degrees here in the hills of Hopatcong, about 2 inches of snow on the ground. Sticking to everything. Coming down at a light/moderate rate.

ALSO I GOT MY POWER BACK!!!! I made my first cup of coffee in 5 days this morning.

AWESOME news! Perfect timing

Thanks bud. Can't tell you how good it is to make some hot food in here and watch this baby unfold with you all.

What's your confidence level on your final call snow map after seeing the runs/trends overnight? With the eastward trend, will heavy snow still reach out to me on the Eastern Sussex/Morris county border?

Yes, west and NW NJ are still in line to see 12"+. Eastern PA looks to be on the cut-off now. But I am going to stick with my final call. The only change I would make is spread my dark blue of 8-12 to encompass all of NE NJ, NYC and WLI

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:09 am

dsix85 wrote:Frank- do you anticipate thundersnow this afternoon?

Yes, soundings show instability. Expect thundersnow in NNJ.

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Post by Scullybutcher Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:10 am

Back up to 35*. Waiting for some cooling and that dry slot to disappear
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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Empty Re: Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:10 am

12z HRRR

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:11 am

Snow picking up to light-moderate intensity, about 1 1/2 inches OTG, 31 degrees.It's been all snow.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:14 am

Notice on the HRRR how precip turns to snow along jersey shore and parts of LI

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:16 am

Frank_Wx wrote:12z HRRR

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne
Wow if I am under those pink radar echos could we see thunder snow here too? You wouldnt drop ur 12+ into southern WC just northern? All models showing over a foot here.

Whoever said theres no wind whatsoever yes, it wont be until the storm is close and for not nearly as long fri or anywhere near as strong but it will get gusty this afternoon and evening.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:32 am

Jeeze 12z hrrr still snowing lightly here in southenr westchester at 11pm tonight! Got into some serious bands there, I just hope they let me wife out before it gets too bad. She pretty good in the snow, its mainly other drivers I am concerned about. Or getting stuck.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:36 am

Well unless a miracle happens I will be lucky to see a whole 2 inches...
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:36 am

So Guy, we are looking at snow beginning to come down from let’s say 12 until 9 pm or so? 1-2” per hour avg. is this a safe forecast?

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:37 am

Was spitting some flakes earlier now nothing, I tell you it rained pretty hard, lots big pouddles this concenrs me on if and how it will stick.  Its going to take a long time to overtake all the saturated roads and ground.

Frank does your scroll SNY include my area? Something I have heard us considered south of SNY, patiently waiting to see something happen. What happened with the snownthat was supposed to fall over night, it seems most were rain.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:39 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:37 am

Frank_Wx wrote:How we feeling this morning? Fun day ahead!

Here's some images from the latest HRRR. The pink color represents heavy snowfall. The purple would be your ice/sleet. Look at the scale!

12pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

2pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

4pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

6pm

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Refcmp_ptype.us_ne

Total snow

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Sn10_acc.us_ne

Good Morning....feel hungover with not having had a drink..but that might change...think anyone will notice that my v-8 is actually a bloody mary affraid ..lol...we are pouring rain here right now ..but the cold has not arrived yet..am I correct?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:41 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
DAYBLAZER wrote:30 degrees here in the hills of Hopatcong, about 2 inches of snow on the ground. Sticking to everything. Coming down at a light/moderate rate.

ALSO I GOT MY POWER BACK!!!! I made my first cup of coffee in 5 days this morning.

AWESOME news! Perfect timing

Thanks bud. Can't tell you how good it is to make some hot food in here and watch this baby unfold with you all.

What's your confidence level on your final call snow map after seeing the runs/trends overnight? With the eastward trend, will heavy snow still reach out to me on the Eastern Sussex/Morris county border?

whoo hoo..so happy for you guys getting your power back...now to enjoying the snow and not loosing your power again!! enjoy that cup of coffee!!
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Post by Smittyaj623 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:45 am

Is this rain going to stop and drop snow to Bayville, it’s 38*

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Post by RJB8525 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:48 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
DAYBLAZER wrote:30 degrees here in the hills of Hopatcong, about 2 inches of snow on the ground. Sticking to everything. Coming down at a light/moderate rate.

ALSO I GOT MY POWER BACK!!!! I made my first cup of coffee in 5 days this morning.

AWESOME news! Perfect timing

Thanks bud. Can't tell you how good it is to make some hot food in here and watch this baby unfold with you all.

What's your confidence level on your final call snow map after seeing the runs/trends overnight? With the eastward trend, will heavy snow still reach out to me on the Eastern Sussex/Morris county border?

glad to hear..Mt Holly is going all in for Sussex lol

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Stormt24
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Post by heehaw453 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:51 am

32 degrees with 2.5" so far. treated roads are fine. Side roads slushy. Looks like action is about to start picking up as wind and snow are picking up.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:51 am

Never mind Frank I missed the time stamps on your post.... Smile
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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:55 am

Heavier bands organizing to our south.Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 9 Ef3bf910
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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:57 am

FWIW TWC now has 8-12” for the south shore of LI. 12-18” for all the rest of LI, NYC and NNJ

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Post by 2004blackwrx Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:58 am

When will this thing start to look more organized on radar

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Post by Smittyaj623 Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:59 am

Do the models have an agreement on Jersey Shore getting 8+? Why would Mt. Holly say 0.hahaha I trust our pros. Just looks very wet on the radar for me.

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