Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm

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Post by oldtimer on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:12 pm

What happened to all the sleet? Totally confused Is it only the Nam that showed all the sleet?

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:12 pm

6 inch Spring Snowfalls in NYC

1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915
2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875
3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982
4.......9.0.....March 22, 1967
5.......8.5.....April 1, 1924
6.......6.5.....April 5, 1944
7.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917
8.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938

Looks like the above is definitely in Play for NYC, maybe number 1? Now I'm reaching to far. Lets get the 3 inches first and get them over 30 for the 5th straight year.
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Post by hyde345 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:13 pm

jimv45 wrote:Yea Hyde I am just north of 84 on the nam its well over a foot for me but close.

Yup. 30 miles north of you gets 2-3 inches on 3k.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:16 pm

hyde345 wrote:
jimv45 wrote:Yea Hyde I am just north of 84 on the nam its well over a foot for me but close.

Yup. 30 miles north of you gets 2-3 inches on 3k.

I'd say somewhere between central Rockland to northern Dutchess will be in a serious cutoff zone. The question is where will that line be?
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Post by adamfitz1969 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:19 pm

Im about 58 miles south of Dutchess.....according to the 3K im in a prime spot, last 3 storms shafted me with two blanks even. I'd like to see 12 plus this go round along with Jman.

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Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:25 pm

RGEM...still snowing heavily too

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Sn10_acc.us_ne


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Post by SoulSingMG on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:34 pm

Lots of chatter on Twitter right now regarding how dangerous and distructive this storm might be (even @cranky seems alerted finally), with inches of sleet, centimeters of ice underneath 6 inches or so of heavy wet snow. Could be a doozy.

Incidentally, my best friend is going thru a tornado right now down in ATL. March does NOT f*ck around.


Last edited by SoulSingMG on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:35 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Lots of chatter on Twitter right now regarding how dangerous and distractive this storm might be, with inches of sleet, centimeters of ice underneath 6 inches or so of heavy wet snow. Could be a doozy.
yeah may be worst cause for power outages out of all the storms we have had.
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Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:43 pm

GFS is west of 18z, good hit

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Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:45 pm

Huge hit actually for Jersey Shore, NYC Metro, and LI. 12"+ and should be mostly all snow

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:50 pm

Gfs huge hit NYC southern wc and western long is jackpot 12 to 18.
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Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:51 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Sn10_acc.us_ne

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:51 pm

So who thinks there will be school wed and Thurs? For NYC area?
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Post by aiannone on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:52 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Captur72
Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Captur17
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:52 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Sn10_acc.us_ne
beautiful and I checked precip types on wxbell no rain no frz and a tiny bit sleet that's all heavy snow baby!
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Post by Sanchize06 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:57 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Sn10_acc.us_ne
beautiful and I checked precip types on wxbell no rain no frz and a tiny bit sleet that's all heavy snow baby!

Yeah, it's nice to have the GFS finally on board with the cold unlike previous storms this month where it was very warm

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Post by jimv45 on Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:58 pm

And that's the GFS how good has this model been of late?

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Post by SoulSingMG on Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:07 am

00z UKIE just (N)UKIE'D us.
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Post by Guest on Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:12 am

I’m 18” jackpot on GFS, RGEM, 3kNAM, but on regular NAM 4-6” and tons of sleet. If EURO shows me tons of snow that’s 4 v 1. Toss the regular NAM. Oh I’m also 18-24” jackpot on the RAP.

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Post by Radz on Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:32 am

6z NAM no consistency... like night and day, at least for those North and West...


Last edited by Radz on Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:41 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Radz on Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:39 am

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Namcon10
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Post by Guest on Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:56 am

Wow upton being bullish. Warning now for me in Nassau on LI

* WHAT...Heavy mixed winter precipitation transitioning to heavy
snow is expected. Total snow accumulations of 11 to 15 inches
and light ice accumulations are expected

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Post by Scullybutcher on Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:12 am

This is what Upton has for me.

* WHAT...HEAVY MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONING TO HEAVY
SNOW IS EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES,
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 13 INCHES, AND LIGHT ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

The weather channel has me for 13 - 20”
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:34 am

NWS has Orange County for 10-16 inches but I'm not buying it 100% yet.

The 6Z NAM has me concerned as do other runs that seem to hit a brick wall with the precip at certain points north and west. Nowcast as usual.
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Tue Mar 20, 2018 5:35 am

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 27 Rgem_a11

RGEM
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