Re: FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes?

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:48 pm

of course me and soul sit in the eye with no wind lol, but goping into it oh boy that would be fun....

FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes? - Page 9 Gfs_ms18

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:49 pm

WOW!!! its a NYC landfall at hour 252!!!

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:50 pm

Incredibly fast moving but look at the rain wow

FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes? - Page 9 Gfs_ms19

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:51 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:WOW!!! its a NYC landfall at hour 252!!!

And? We all know IF this storm is again 10+ days out that means nada, I canot do this for another 10 days lol, i really hope its timing is the end of the week to hit or depart.

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:53 pm

Hey guys, can we wait until the runs finish and minimize the play by play? We are going to have 100 pages to this thread if we keep it up...

Thanks! geek

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:55 pm

It looks like that block is hanging tough, even blocks westward movement.. long way to go

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:58 pm

jmanley32 wrote:of course me and soul sit in the eye with no wind lol, but goping into it oh boy that would be fun....

LOL, as soon as I post about nothing coming up here, Jman! Haha

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:00 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:WOW!!! its a NYC landfall at hour 252!!!
And? We all know IF this storm is again 10+ days out that means nada, I canot do this for another 10 days lol, i really hope its timing is the end of the week to hit or depart.

Seriously, odds of what the GFS showed has a very remote chance of happening. That being said, it shows we are by no means out the woods of any direct or indirect effects with this dangerous storm.

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:08 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:WOW!!! its a NYC landfall at hour 252!!!
And? We all know IF this storm is again 10+ days out that means nada, I canot do this for another 10 days lol, i really hope its timing is the end of the week to hit or depart.
Seriously, odds of what the GFS showed has a very remote chance of happening. That being said, it shows we are by no means out the woods of any direct or indirect effects with this dangerous storm.

True enough,

and zoo thats fine but usually we do that in the winter just doing what we usually do. But its fine I will stop myself cant speak for others. And we still do not know exactly how dangerous she will be, we will find out in the next few days starting tonight.

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:15 pm

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:17 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:WOW!!! its a NYC landfall at hour 252!!!
And? We all know IF this storm is again 10+ days out that means nada, I canot do this for another 10 days lol, i really hope its timing is the end of the week to hit or depart.
Seriously, odds of what the GFS showed has a very remote chance of happening. That being said, it shows we are by no means out the woods of any direct or indirect effects with this dangerous storm.

True enough,

and zoo thats fine but usually we do that in the winter just doing what we usually do. But its fine I will stop myself cant speak for others. And we still do not know exactly how dangerous she will be, we will find out in the next few days starting tonight.

Thanks jman, it's tough to be away all day and then have to read through 7-8 pages to catch up! I know it's exciting to track and you want to discuss the progess with someone, I feel it too! Wish we had a good place to chat!

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:17 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Hey guys, can we wait until the runs finish and minimize the play by play? We are going to have 100 pages to this thread if we keep it up...

Thanks!

This is what my son would say to me...."awww come on Mom...I have been so bored...let me just have some fun!!!" Rolling Eyes

by **jmanley32** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:23 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:

Two of that comes the beginning of the week so NYC sees 7 inches in roughly 12 hrs or less, plus hurricane force winds I would say a strong cat 1, being like ace said the pressure is likly too low at 972mb.

by **Sanchize06** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:53 pm

18z GEFS

FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes? - Page 9 06L_gefs_18z

by **rb924119** Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:56 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:18z GEFS

LOCK. IT. IN. lol

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Sep 08, 2018 8:28 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:18z GEFS

LOCK. IT. IN. lol

It’s a blend of our tracks, RB! lol!

by **Sanchize06** Sat Sep 08, 2018 8:29 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:18z GEFS

LOCK. IT. IN. lol

Haha I think where the mean is exactly where it'll track. Somewhere around Hatteras right along the coastline until it goes east

by jwalsh Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:56 pm

NHC moves the cone north again at 11PM advisory

by jwalsh Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:00 pm

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:01 pm

We've seen these cone shifts before, kids. Wilmington must be losing their sh*t right about now tho...

FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes? - Page 9 8a0f5010

by **amugs** Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:22 pm

Soul and RB to your map from a pro met on another site
NFS pro wx

FLORENCE: East Coast Threat or Does She Sleep With the Fishes? - Page 9 30c5c610

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:28 pm

amugs wrote:Soul and RB to your map from a pro met on another site
NFS pro wx

Nice! Thanks for sharing, Mugs. I do really think starting especially with 00z's tomorrow night that we'll see models showing her landfalling near/on OBX & then moving north along the coast. How far north is the question for our area.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:45 pm

Soul the icon is running are you looking at it?

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:50 pm

Icon has flo come up the coast

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:00 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Icon has flo come up the coast

I haven't seen it yet but I just saw someone tweet that it looks "ominous" at Hr 180...

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:03 am

GFS coming in slightly east of 18z at hr 108. Ridge a little bit weaker as well

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:06 am

Hr 120 looks like the ridge isn't pressing down as much on it. This could get a little further north this run

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