How Weather Carries Covid-19

WeatherOptics wrote:Over the last few days, our team has developed an experimental COVID-19 meteorological transmission index due to the recent outbreak that has impacted >100 countries. This index predicts the likelihood of spread based ONLY on weather conditions: https://client.weatheroptics.net/coronavirus-transmission

There is preliminary research that STRONGLY indicates weather plays a significant role in the transmissibility of COVID-19. Two of the most important factors include temperature and humidity, especially when looking at the ability for the virus to survive on various surfaces & in the air.

Using this research (which can be viewed in more detail by clicking on the links below) in combination with NCEP's GFS model, we have successfully been able to model the probability of COVID-19 spreading looking ONLY at weather-related factors.

Over the next several days, our team will expand our current page to include more countries as well as zoomed in views of different regions and cities around the world. The data will update on our page around 1 AM EDT each night with a 5-day forecast.

Much of the research that went into this index came from: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3550308 (Temperature & Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread & Seasonality for COVID-19). This study found a number of weather-related similarities between regions experiencing the worst outbreaks.

The most notable similarities were that weather patterns across regions worst hit by COVID19 had temperatures mostly between 5°-11°C (41°-52°F) & humidities between 47%-79%. The cities looked at in the study also did not dip below 0°C (32°F), suggesting a possible temp minimum.

The index that we have made freely available to the public is an experimental tool that should be utilized as such. We ask that for more info about COVID-19 you visit https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html or https://www.who.int/emergen…/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019

You can contact us at info@weatheroptics.net for questions about our new index.

Link to our page with live updates on the COVID-19 Index: https://client.weatheroptics.net/coronavirus-transmission

weatherwatchermom wrote:I am interested in how this plays out from a weather perspective. I have friends in Brazil, who think this is a joke and if it's not it will not effect them due to the warm weather they have. Lets see...We are very fortunate to be in our cocoon at home...husband working and child at his computer doing school work..he loves being home schooled so far..and we are bending rules to allow him to play on his games during the afternoons to have that social contact with his friends. A little nippy today, but I think a walk around the block will do us and the dogs good..as long as no one is around..
STAY SAFE STAY SANE!!