Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

by **docstox12** Fri Jul 10, 2020 7:24 pm

Winds really picked up now and howling.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jul 10, 2020 7:29 pm

Rain picked up again had rain most of afternoon....wind picked up too...

by **dkodgis** Fri Jul 10, 2020 8:00 pm

Mom, same here. Wind is supposed to get to 28 mph sustained winds tonight

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jul 10, 2020 10:18 pm

dkodgis wrote:Mom, same here. Wind is supposed to get to 28 mph sustained winds tonight

we a rocking now..it has been calm all day....We are getting gusts Def in the 20s

by **dkodgis** Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:49 pm

Power is out but winds, rain are quiet

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jul 11, 2020 2:20 am

Holy crap why does shit (excuse my expression) hit the fan in the middle of the night marina lost power and the wind is crazy right now.coming from the south now ..waves in Hudson are prob 3-4 feet we are rocking right now....dog is holding onto his stuffed lamb and it even woke up the teenager...might get sea sick for the 2nd time in my life...2020 YOU SUCK..

by **docstox12** Sat Jul 11, 2020 6:47 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Holy crap why does shit (excuse my expression) hit the fan in the middle of the night marina lost power and the wind is crazy right now.coming from the south now ..waves in Hudson are prob 3-4 feet we are rocking right now....dog is holding onto his stuffed lamb and it even woke up the teenager...might get sea sick for the 2nd time in my life...2020 YOU SUCK..

MOM, sorry you went through this but the dog made me laugh.
The Hudson can get crazy.My Dad had a two for a nickle 12 foot motorboat in 1962 and when we took it out in the Hudson, Tugboats with barges or tankers would make a 3 or 4 foot wake which was a white knuckle moment for a 12 year old kid at the wheel.I still can hear him..."take it at a 45% angle",LOL.
Looks quiet and calm this morning, hope things settle down for you .

Agree 100% on 2020.Thank God it's half over!!! It's been like a Twilight Zone episode.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jul 11, 2020 7:01 am

Wow mom, I went down to the hudson around 6pm and it was calm as a button. Guess I should stayed up must missed the winds just my luck, oh well. At a height we had like 7000 outages for Coned which is nothing since they service millions.

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Jul 11, 2020 7:58 am

The models got the precip right for my area at least... forecast 1.75-2" ended up with 2.18" Channel 7 forecast 2-3". Some wind, but nothing too terrible, heard of only 1 tree down in town.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jul 11, 2020 8:25 am

Its amazing how localized rain totals were here NYC saw near 3 inches meanwhile 15-20 miles north saw barely a inch in Eastchester NY. Even our old buddy Mike P. out in PA got near 3 inches!!

by **docstox12** Sat Jul 11, 2020 8:31 am

We got roughly 1 1/2 inches here.Wind never got bad and no trees or branches down around my house.

by **frank 638** Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:22 am

jmanley32 wrote:Its amazing how localized rain totals were here NYC saw near 3 inches meanwhile 15-20 miles north saw barely a inch in Eastchester NY. Even our old buddy Mike P. out in PA got near 3 inches!!

your def Right about that I was driving home from queens the cross island was under water and parts of Pelham parkway was flooded I picked almost 3 inches of

by **dkodgis** Sat Jul 11, 2020 9:28 am

It was not really bad at all, Doc, up here either. Rain, but not like a few days ago, and all is well. Then look at mom harbored in Ossining across the river from Stony Point. As the bird flies, not far from you or me. The river is a tough place to be as I found driving home at night over the goat trail that the weather was magically different from Westchester to Orange. It could be rain or fog or snow, and cross the bridge and you were in another world. Why our power was out most of the night, I don't know. It did not seem to match the weather.

by **docstox12** Sat Jul 11, 2020 10:06 am

dkodgis wrote:It was not really bad at all, Doc, up here either. Rain, but not like a few days ago, and all is well. Then look at mom harbored in Ossining across the river from Stony Point. As the bird flies, not far from you or me. The river is a tough place to be as I found driving home at night over the goat trail that the weather was magically different from Westchester to Orange. It could be rain or fog or snow, and cross the bridge and you were in another world. Why our power was out most of the night, I don't know. It did not seem to match the weather.

Hate driving that goat trail Damian.When we had that sudden November snowstorm, a buddies wife in Monroe came from her job at Stony Point and got stuck 8 or 9 hours up there.Big difference from Westchester to Orange for sure.When I am coming back from the Bear Mountain Bridge, I take Seven Lakes Drive and take the exit at Kannawaukee Circle to pick up 17 and go up the Orange Turnpike to avoid the goat trail.

The Hudson by Mom is wide open like a wind tunnel so I can see why she was rockin' and a rollin'. We have had worse T Storms this summer wind and rain wise than Fay but the rain was welcome.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jul 11, 2020 11:18 pm

docstox12 wrote:
dkodgis wrote:It was not really bad at all, Doc, up here either. Rain, but not like a few days ago, and all is well. Then look at mom harbored in Ossining across the river from Stony Point. As the bird flies, not far from you or me. The river is a tough place to be as I found driving home at night over the goat trail that the weather was magically different from Westchester to Orange. It could be rain or fog or snow, and cross the bridge and you were in another world. Why our power was out most of the night, I don't know. It did not seem to match the weather.

Hate driving that goat trail Damian.When we had that sudden November snowstorm, a buddies wife in Monroe came from her job at Stony Point and got stuck 8 or 9 hours up there.Big difference from Westchester to Orange for sure.When I am coming back from the Bear Mountain Bridge, I take Seven Lakes Drive and take the exit at Kannawaukee Circle to pick up 17 and go up the Orange Turnpike to avoid the goat trail.

The Hudson by Mom is wide open like a wind tunnel so I can see why she was rockin' and a rollin'. We have had worse T Storms this summer wind and rain wise than Fay but the rain was welcome.

Did not hit send so will update a bit...jman.it was calm all day..around 8 or so winds picked up for a short time...went to bed and at 2 it was wild...t h e winds were no longer coming from the east..now from the south..was blown w ing hard must have had gusts over 30 water I should say waves breaking over concrete floating docks that were waving like they were cardboard ...Shattuck has big solid concrete docks it was wild...then power went out...it was ok in morning...We left f o r jersey city to beat in c coming storms and to ride the current...was a bit rough but we flew down..in and had thunderstorms all afternoon st o Dmitry then sun and beautiful rainbow..a nd then repeat....wettest vacation in years...Doc...yes Dash has to have his lamb when he is upset..I had to find I t for him...once he had it he calmed down...yes we have been in bad storms before..but we never rocked like we Ritchie time and I was afraid another b o at might not have been tied up as good as we had ours and would s m ash into us..yes..I could see how you would be scared as a kid...in those conditions...all good now just the darn heat..We have another week going to head to long island..let's hope helps gate is quiet!!

by **docstox12** Sun Jul 12, 2020 7:14 am

Beautiful morning after mild T Storm and then a shower last night.68 degrees.Looks like a clear sunny day today.

Mom, hope you have calm waters and sunny weather for the balance of the trip.Thanks for all your reports , very interesting from the aspect of being right on the water.

by **dkodgis** Sun Jul 12, 2020 8:34 am

Friends were in New Baltimore in Greene county, on the water. They said it was “difficult to sleep with high waves crashing against the boat”. I think the boat is a 40 footer. So farther upstate yet worried about the storm. They said they too got winds and heavy rain at night

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Jul 12, 2020 10:10 am

docstox12 wrote:Beautiful morning after mild T Storm and then a shower last night.68 degrees.Looks like a clear sunny day today.

Mom, hope you have calm waters and sunny weather for the balance of the trip.Thanks for all your reports , very interesting from the aspect of being right on the water.

thank you I hope so too I am terribly with posting pics on this s ite maybe tonight I can get my husband to help me...We are going to go thru hells gate later this morning..always a n adventure along with the east river..lol

by **amugs** Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:58 pm

African Dust going to knock down the waves coming off Africa so the Atlantic MDR zone is going to be non existent. BUT in about 10 days this is predicted to end and once that happens with a MJO hanging in phases 1&2 (Gosh darn it if it were winter we'd be crying UNCLE with cold and snow!!), the La Nina taking shape knocking down the Easterly winds we are going to be in some action, Big High Pressure over the High Lattitudes - above our area into Toronto region/Maine possibly big action due to these favorable conditions for Tropical Cyclones to develop and traverse the Atlantic.

Prediction ~10 days we'll be dealing with another Trpoical Cyclone coming at Mainland USA - this time I think it its the Gulf of Mehico states turn.

1821 Hcane - read about it - today it would destroy/devastate the coast from Va through Cape Cod. It was a Cat 3 low end Cat 4. It has happened before and ......it will happen again. Weather history loves to repeat itself - well nature and Bog Momma do!

https://patch.com/new-jersey/manasquan/storm-centuries-1821-new-jersey-hurricane

USA TODAY: https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/09/18/east-coast-hurricane-disaster/15829585/

by **amugs** Tue Jul 21, 2020 9:18 pm

amugs wrote:African Dust going to knock down the waves coming off Africa so the Atlantic MDR zone is going to be non existent. BUT in about 10 days this is predicted to end and once that happens with a MJO hanging in phases 1&2 (Gosh darn it if it were winter we'd be crying UNCLE with cold and snow!!), the La Nina taking shape knocking down the Easterly winds we are going to be in some action, Big High Pressure over the High Lattitudes - above our area into Toronto region/Maine possibly big action due to these favorable conditions for Tropical Cyclones to develop and traverse the Atlantic.

Prediction ~10 days we'll be dealing with another Trpoical Cyclone coming at Mainland USA - this time I think it its the Gulf of Mehico states turn.

1821 Hcane - read about it - today it would destroy/devastate the coast from Va through Cape Cod. It was a Cat 3 low end Cat 4. It has happened before and ......it will happen again. Weather history loves to repeat itself - well nature and Bog Momma do!

https://patch.com/new-jersey/manasquan/storm-centuries-1821-new-jersey-hurricane

USA TODAY: https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/09/18/east-coast-hurricane-disaster/15829585/

Right on cue LOL!
NJwx - Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 8 Two_atl_0d0

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Jul 22, 2020 9:06 am

amugs wrote:African Dust going to knock down the waves coming off Africa so the Atlantic MDR zone is going to be non existent. BUT in about 10 days this is predicted to end and once that happens with a MJO hanging in phases 1&2 (Gosh darn it if it were winter we'd be crying UNCLE with cold and snow!!), the La Nina taking shape knocking down the Easterly winds we are going to be in some action, Big High Pressure over the High Lattitudes - above our area into Toronto region/Maine possibly big action due to these favorable conditions for Tropical Cyclones to develop and traverse the Atlantic.

Prediction ~10 days we'll be dealing with another Trpoical Cyclone coming at Mainland USA - this time I think it its the Gulf of Mehico states turn.

1821 Hcane - read about it - today it would destroy/devastate the coast from Va through Cape Cod. It was a Cat 3 low end Cat 4. It has happened before and ......it will happen again. Weather history loves to repeat itself - well nature and Bog Momma do!

https://patch.com/new-jersey/manasquan/storm-centuries-1821-new-jersey-hurricane

USA TODAY: https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/09/18/east-coast-hurricane-disaster/15829585/

I really hope we have some snow this winter..2 inches last winter!!!

by **amugs** Thu Jul 23, 2020 11:47 pm

NJwx - Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 8 02594910

And 3 waves coming off the Senegal coast. The wave train has thus begun.

by **rb924119** Sat Jul 25, 2020 2:56 pm

While the system of interest in the eastern Atlantic may be a “threat” to the US, based on my very brief peek at things, I’m not so sure it will be a “substantial” one (i.e. stay on the relatively weaker end of the scale, TS/low-end hurricane, and probably stay offshore). I’ll have to follow up when I have more time, though.

by **amugs** Sat Jul 25, 2020 3:45 pm

Hannah strengthening to CAT 2 hope these peeps are hunkered down along the coast.

NJwx - Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 8 20200712

She has 30-40 dbz around here eye and growing. Pray they took precautions in Texas.

by **jmanley32** Mon Jul 27, 2020 10:41 am

GFS has 92 fizzle out, Euro doesnt have much development, CMC has a eastern long island landfall at 977mb....well we know which one to likely take out of the equation as it handles the tropics horribly usually.

by **Sanchize06** Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:00 pm

Still need to keep an eye on soon to be Isaias. While a lot of models don't develop Isaias into a hurricane as they did a few days ago, the NAVGEM, UKMET, and some GFS ensembles still do. And going off the GFS ensembles, the more developed and stronger solutions are the ones that are brought up the coast. The weaker solutions go into Florida and the gulf, but with not much to steer this system out to sea at the moment, the east coast should be on high alert if Isaias strengthens more than anticipated.

NJwx - Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 8 09L_gefs_12z

NJwx - Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 8 09L_gefs_12z

by **weatherwatchermom** Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:23 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Still need to keep an eye on soon to be Isaias. While a lot of models don't develop Isaias into a hurricane as they did a few days ago, the NAVGEM, UKMET, and some GFS ensembles still do. And going off the GFS ensembles, the more developed and stronger solutions are the ones that are brought up the coast. The weaker solutions go into Florida and the gulf, but with not much to steer this system out to sea at the moment, the east coast should be on high alert if Isaias strengthens more than anticipated.

thank you for the update...

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