Long Range Discussion 20(20) (Ha!)

amugs wrote:

The winter-cancel forecasts for February are in danger. pic.twitter.com/Dq2LKV4wBJ

— Sam Lillo (@splillo) January 29, 2021

What does this mean?

Irish wrote:

amugs wrote:

The winter-cancel forecasts for February are in danger. pic.twitter.com/Dq2LKV4wBJ

— Sam Lillo (@splillo) January 29, 2021

What does this mean?

It means two things.  First many of the long range forcasts had Feb the warmest month of the winter season flipping to a torch in fact.   If what you see here comes to fruition THAT WILL NOT HAPPEN.  Second, if this happen it WILL be cold and there will likely be several snow chances.  

I know, one storm at a time, but after the biggie we're currently pumped to see, late in the next week we warm up a bit, but then somewhere between the 8th-10th we may be tracking another doozy! Exciting times!

Irish wrote:I know, one storm at a time, but after the biggie we're currently pumped to see, late in the next week we warm up a bit, but then somewhere between the 8th-10th we may be tracking another doozy!  Exciting times!

Certainly not unheard of. In the initial storm thread for tomorrow I was pointing out similarities in this storm and the blocking set up for the Feb 9-10, 2010 storm and dynamics. In Feb 2010 there were three major storms to hit this region: Feb 5-6, Feb 9-10, and Feb 26 (I think). Maybe this month will be echos of 2010.

Guidance hs lost the wound up cutter now has a frontal passage followed by a follow up wave which could bring more wintry weather next weekend

algae888 wrote:Guidance hs lost the wound up cutter now has a frontal passage followed by a follow up wave which could bring more wintry weather next weekend

What happens when the pattern changes Al. Bucjle up my friend could be a long short February LOl!

amugs wrote:

algae888 wrote:Guidance hs lost the wound up cutter now has a frontal passage followed by a follow up wave which could bring more wintry weather next weekend

What happens when the pattern changes Al. Bucjle up my friend could be a long short February LOl!

Yes mugs. What's interesting is the mjo in 6 heading to 7 should have a se ridge/ warm east and trough in the west in February.  But that  doesn't look to be the case this February.  It's been pretty clear that the MJO had very little influence on the pattern this year.

Neg EPO coming up, Negative NAO, Negative AO,; All good for cold air here. Not sure what to make of the fact that MJO is in 7 and there is a Negative PNA signal. Seems like some of these signals are at odds.

BUCKLE UP BRONCOS WE MAY BE DOING TJIS RODEO AGAIN .......FRIDAY/SAT?

Let’s run it back again next weekend lol. Totals snowfall through next Monday the 9th.

Not a Forecast pic.twitter.com/2gKb0kRIGX

— BGWX (@Brady30951303) January 31, 2021

amugs wrote:BUCKLE UP BRONCOS WE MAY BE DOING TJIS RODEO AGAIN .......FRIDAY/SAT?

Let’s run it back again next weekend lol. Totals snowfall through next Monday the 9th.

Not a Forecast pic.twitter.com/2gKb0kRIGX

— BGWX (@Brady30951303) January 31, 2021

Holy Hell that'd be awesome!!