Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast

21.2/19.5 Moderate snow

I'm hearing part of Lower Bucks County PA approaching 5". I'm probably close to 1", bur rates are improving.

Light Snow in Commack-Roads coated- 27 degrees

Light snow 24 in Wayne

Snowing heavily here, close to 2 inches. I think getting a half foot is easily in the cards and wouldn't be shocked to see places hit a foot.

May have to do a quick update on the final show map, Frank. Thoughts?

Light snow in Port Jefferson. 26*

Kings Park, NY light snow already a dusting on the driveway.

24* not a flake up here in Northern Westchester

Moderate snow here in Brooklyn NY

25 degrees

Sticking nicely

New Hope update: Small flakes an hour ago, now distinctly larger, an inch on the ground, sticking on the walk and street. Temp up a degree to 24*

ok went from moderate/heavy sleet to a light-moderate snow now, I hope this stacks up quick we got some catching up to do down here! temp is down to 27.3 from 31.6 at 630am

Good to hear Seadoo! Still sleeting myself. So far sorely disappointed of course, but we’ll see what happens.

Frank_Wx wrote:Current R/S line

Update

Moderate to heavy snow now. About 2" OTG. Small sized dendrites. Wind picking up too.

21.4/20.6

In terms of the sleet based on the 700 mb isotherms bending I suspect it stays mostly south of I-78 today.

Nothing here at my location in the Pocono's. 18.6* 15*dew point.

Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here, close to 2 inches. I think getting a half foot is easily in the cards and wouldn't be shocked to see places hit a foot.

May have to do a quick update on the final show map, Frank. Thoughts?

I actually think I am going to leave it as is. One obvious change I would make is drag the 3-6 line down more. But I don't think CNJ/SNJ area stay all snow and will see it changeover to sleet/mix by 1pm. Most places across NNJ/PA/NYC will land in the high end of my range.

300 mb jet streak setting up. Pretty strong. Position still a bit west but its on the move.

Mod snow at home in Mt Vernon. Nice band about to move in. Precip shield now starting to expand northward

Warm tongue at 850's (1 mile ASL) now popping up in SE NJ.

Areas in and around Philly towards Southern Bucks/Montgomery Counties are already passing 1/2' of snow. Those areas in Southern Bucks may obtain close to 1' IMO.

The snow has become heavy and easily 1"/hr now. There are numerous 35 dbz bands popping up.

heehaw453 wrote:Warm tongue at 850's (1 mile ASL) now popping up in SE NJ.

Maybe popping up on the radar now, but’s it’s been my reality since 7 am. Is it possible to laugh and cry simultaneously?

Went to bed last with WU saying 4-6". Now they are showing 6-11" with 1-3" for Friday.

Right Snowman, its actually feezing rain sleet mix now by me, got a coating OTG and never really got more than 15 mins of all snow falling, just does not want to deliver the goods down here

sroc4 wrote:300 mb jet streak setting up.  Pretty strong.  Position still a bit west but its on the move.  

Woah, check out all that upper level divergence in NJ

VERY large flakes here in Kinnelon 650ft elev heavily snowing 28 deg