Re: 2021 Tropical Season

by **hyde345** Sat Aug 28, 2021 12:18 pm

GFS and ICON both continue to show 3-5 inches for the area mid week. 00z Euro also show a couple inches NYC metro. Could be problems. Im not sure why my avatar is so big.

by **sroc4** Sat Aug 28, 2021 12:24 pm

hyde345 wrote:

GFS and ICON both continue to show 3-5 inches for the area mid week. 00z Euro also show a couple inches NYC metro. Could be problems. Im not sure why my avatar is so big.

LOL I noticed that too.

by **hyde345** Sat Aug 28, 2021 12:35 pm

sroc4 wrote:
hyde345 wrote:

Something is messed up. Any suggestions?

GFS and ICON both continue to show 3-5 inches for the area mid week. 00z Euro also show a couple inches NYC metro. Could be problems. Im not sure why my avatar is so big.

LOL I noticed that too.

by **amugs** Sat Aug 28, 2021 1:08 pm

RI taking shape.

GOES16 - 2021 Tropical Season - Page 34 Sat_conuse_2km_wvenh_20210828_1636.gif.3a2f7dfb0ad192330011c23883147159

by **jmanley32** Sat Aug 28, 2021 2:27 pm

dkodgis wrote:Ida is now a Cat 4. The girl’s gonna kick up some sand New Orleans-way

Id is a cat 2 with 100mph winds as of 2pm, she was a 85mph cane this morning so not sure where you got shes a cat 4 now, or did you mean progged to be?

by **jmanley32** Sat Aug 28, 2021 2:29 pm

amugs wrote:RI taking shape.

looks like it, no way the entire area will be able to evacuate as they are mandating, thats literally millions of people. That would take probably a week to do maybe more. Sadly I think there may be a lot of lives lost from this one. People stupidly staying and people trying to get out why can't due to gridlock.

by **dkodgis** Sat Aug 28, 2021 7:55 pm

Looks like the reality of the storm is that it is the worst since 1850’s

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1277851

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Aug 28, 2021 8:52 pm

dkodgis wrote:Looks like the reality of the storm is that it is the worst since 1850’s

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1277851

It is so frightening and sad

by **amugs** Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:30 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:RI taking shape.

looks like it, no way the entire area will be able to evacuate as they are mandating, thats literally millions of people. That would take probably a week to do maybe more. Sadly I think there may be a lot of lives lost from this one. People stupidly staying and people trying to get out why can't due to gridlock.

Jman that is 2hy u have an evacuation plan in place and u call up all the resources u need to get the job done. It is a massive concerted effort BUT that is why unplan and do exercises. No excuses. 48 hours notice. Lazy and complacent by govt officials again.

We are going to get flooding rains again wed/thurs.
She is RI and continues to pressure dropping. By this rate she will be a sub 950 storm by landfall at this rate. Her winds should catch up and she is a tad more east than the mean path. NOLA IS FLUXED by the 10-15' storm surge and flooding rains of 10-16" plus.

by **amugs** Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:30 pm

After making landfall over the central Gulf Coast Hurricane Ida is forecast to take a road trip north from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by way of the Ohio and Tennesee Valleys, all while leaving behind a heavy rainfall 🦶-print shown below. pic.twitter.com/iYfRDHeb6F
— NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) August 28, 2021

by **dkodgis** Sun Aug 29, 2021 4:44 am

The LA governor now saying the storm surge will be “unsurvivable”.

by **Radz** Sun Aug 29, 2021 5:05 am

140mph estimated pressure 946

by **SENJsnowman** Sun Aug 29, 2021 8:00 am

The convergence of dire factors here is the worst I've seen. Wind + Rain + Surge is the terrible trifecta and they all appear to be worst case scenario already and yet still worsening...

by **nutleyblizzard** Sun Aug 29, 2021 8:05 am

8am update: 150 mph 933mb. On the cusp of becoming a cat 5.

by **Joe Snow** Sun Aug 29, 2021 8:53 am

[wow what a beast. Tracking using RadarScope on my iPad, still strengthening, going to be catastrophic

wurl=https://servimg.com/view/19127108/132]

GOES16 - 2021 Tropical Season - Page 34 E768e010

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by **Frank_Wx** Sun Aug 29, 2021 8:56 am

Remnants of Ida arrive here Wednesday-Thursday. Could be over 4 inches of rain…

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Aug 29, 2021 9:04 am

dkodgis wrote:The LA governor now saying the storm surge will be “unsurvivable”.

National weather service unfortunately said that yesterday...so sick to my stomach..

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Aug 29, 2021 9:08 am

Oh my

just heard it will hit at 155 mph winds ..

by **Joe Snow** Sun Aug 29, 2021 9:18 am

3.5 million people under a tornado watch. Outer bands are going to set off a few.

by **Joe Snow** Sun Aug 29, 2021 9:48 am

186 mph wind measured at 936 mb. Incredible

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?aircraft_page=NOAA3&product_page=sonde

by **sroc4** Sun Aug 29, 2021 9:51 am

Joe Snow wrote:186 mph wind measured at 936 mb. Incredible

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?aircraft_page=NOAA3&product_page=sonde

OMG!!

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:05 am

https://twitter.com/stuostro/status/1431979557083566082?s=21

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:05 am

https://twitter.com/ryanmiller_wx/status/1431979509889355778?s=21

by **amugs** Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:26 am

Oh my Lord this is going to be catastrophic. Holy poop I thought sub 950 easily but she took of RI overnight. Jesus H AND THEY DID NOT EVACUATE NOLA A FRIGGIN BOWL 6'BELOW SEA LEVEL in some areas. It's a swamp and nature will reclaim it again. God help those in her way.

To Frank's point for us.
From Pro Met I follow.

I know it's hard to think about now... but if applicable- you shoudl start preparing here in the tri-state for a potential 4-7" rain even next week from the remnants of #Ida - flood concerns will be significant

by **jmanley32** Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:47 am

Jeeze Idea when from 105 late last night to almost cat 5!! There is going to be nothing left down there. This is aweful, cannot even imagine. And if you stayed, god help you. Did any of you see the NWS discussion, it was the most bold and downright blunt thing ive ever seen from them.

by **sroc4** Sun Aug 29, 2021 10:59 am

jmanley32 wrote:Jeeze Idea when from 105 late last night to almost cat 5!! There is going to be nothing left down there. This is aweful, cannot even imagine. And if you stayed, god help you. Did any of you see the NWS discussion, it was the most bold and downright blunt thing ive ever seen from them.

It is now cat 5. Down to 932mb

by **jmanley32** Sun Aug 29, 2021 11:06 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Jeeze Idea when from 105 late last night to almost cat 5!! There is going to be nothing left down there. This is aweful, cannot even imagine. And if you stayed, god help you. Did any of you see the NWS discussion, it was the most bold and downright blunt thing ive ever seen from them.

It is now cat 5. Down to 932mb

crikey, i dont even know what to say. And hospitals are at capacity too.

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