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2021 Tropical Season

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 2021 Tropical Season Empty 2021 Tropical Season

Post by amugs Sun Jun 13, 2021 9:16 pm

Folks,
Tropical season is among us adn we have our first activity in the GOM forming.
Most calls are for above normal storms, activity this season.
Lets discuss in here.

 2021 Tropical Season E3ycyDKWUAYUunO?format=jpg&name=large

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Jun 14, 2021 8:15 am

 2021 Tropical Season E311XibWQAICEfN?format=png&name=900x900

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by amugs Wed Jun 16, 2021 9:56 pm

GOM storm then it comes out off the Mid Atlantic and forms again. SNJ may have to keep an eye on this one for some issues next week.

 2021 Tropical Season E4c3qt10
 2021 Tropical Season E4c3pe10

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jun 20, 2021 10:01 am

Hey all, sorry your tropics man has been MIA, I just got a new job FINALLY and its very intense, I will not be able to be on the weather at all during the day except maybe my lunch. Looks like Claudette will reform as a TS overland, I swear each year these things do weirder and weirder stuff, last time I checked a tropical system needed water to strenthen. Hope everyone is well. I will pop in from time to time.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jun 22, 2021 4:25 pm

Looking quiet right now. Per usual we'll need to wait until end of July and August to start the tropics train. My guess is a very active Sept/Oct :/

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Post by sroc4 Thu Jul 01, 2021 10:21 am

 2021 Tropical Season Two_atl_0d0

 2021 Tropical Season 115028_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jul 01, 2021 11:20 am

This wave is already being hyped in the media. I’m not so sure I agree that it’s a conducive environment for a cat 5 hurricane. Maybe cat 1-2...

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Post by sroc4 Fri Jul 02, 2021 1:08 pm

 2021 Tropical Season 154708_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 02, 2021 6:09 pm

@sroc4 wrote: 2021 Tropical Season 154708_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind
Interested went from minimal TS to hurricane now, looking like last yr where they were downplayed or blew up much stronger. Also taking a hook much further east over FL now, might this re-emerge and become a threat to the EC? Or will it go OTS? I imagine we wont even know whats in store for FL until she makes it over the mountanous areas.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jul 02, 2021 6:11 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:This wave is already being hyped in the media. I’m not so sure I agree that it’s a conducive environment for a cat 5 hurricane. Maybe cat 1-2...
Been so busy did not even know she was now a minimal hurricane, looked like NHC thought she would stays a TS, whos saying cat 5? You gotta love the hype (thought it isn't good to make people panic especially FL).
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jul 03, 2021 11:46 am

Looks possible in LR Elsa could impact the area as a weak TS or remnant by Friday or so. Long ways to go.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jul 04, 2021 11:19 am

Hey guys we are on vacation on our boat for 3 weeks..in CT...do you think Elsa could effect us..we will be in Rhode Island the end of the week??
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jul 04, 2021 8:00 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey guys we are on vacation on our boat for 3 weeks..in CT...do you think Elsa could effect us..we will be in Rhode Island the end of the week??
current cone has her regain as a ts aeound the benchmark. Might be marine concerns if that did happen and it would be arpund Fri sat.
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jul 05, 2021 12:00 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Hey guys we are on vacation on our boat for 3 weeks..in CT...do you think Elsa could effect us..we will be in Rhode Island the end of the week??

Hey Weathermom.  There is def a chance for both direct and/or indirect effects from Elsa as we head into the end of the week and weekend.  There is a trough sweeping in as Elsa head up towards the Carolina's, so timing and positioning will determine the details.  Even if Elsa stays south and us as it heads OTS the cold frontal boundary will likely bring us gusty unsettled weather.   Stay tuned.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 05, 2021 12:35 pm

I wanted to hit the unlike because not happy with the weather this year 🤣 we are still having a lot of fun..we are keeping an eye we will be in watch hill wed and Thurs supposed to travel Fri...but we will see thank you for the updates


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Mon Jul 05, 2021 12:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 05, 2021 12:35 pm

Sound is wicked today..😠😠 puppy threw up all over me..lol on way to mystic
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 05, 2021 1:26 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:Sound is wicked today..😠😠 puppy threw up all over me..lol on way to mystic
love watch hill. Used to love the 100 yr old carousel as a kid. I think Sandy took it out though if I heard correctly. Mystic also very nice I used to work in Norwich and we frequent mohegan Sun when we want a short getaway.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 05, 2021 7:25 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:Sound is wicked today..😠😠 puppy threw up all over me..lol on way to mystic
love watch hill. Used to love the 100 yr old carousel as a kid. I think Sandy took it out though if I heard correctly. Mystic also very nice I used to work in Norwich and we frequent mohegan Sun when we want a short getaway.
Yes, we love Mystic and are hear right now. Just discussing if we get to watch hill we might not be able to leave..
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Post by amugs Mon Jul 05, 2021 8:44 pm

Latest from NHC - wth?? Going to be in Wildwood this week.

 2021 Tropical Season 204840_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.8e9e26f1da16b2bc523552a11de52cee

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Jul 05, 2021 9:41 pm

@amugs wrote:Latest from NHC - wth?? Going to be in Wildwood this week.

 2021 Tropical Season 204840_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.8e9e26f1da16b2bc523552a11de52cee
Yep does not sound good for us too😢😢
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 05, 2021 10:21 pm

@amugs wrote:Latest from NHC - wth?? Going to be in Wildwood this week.

 2021 Tropical Season 204840_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.8e9e26f1da16b2bc523552a11de52cee
Subtropical at that point but still unsettled and potentially disruptive weather, much closer now within benchmark than last few days. Will have keep watch, these things are always surprises, right now shes being torn apart and is tiny.
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Post by amugs Mon Jul 05, 2021 10:24 pm

Soaker

 2021 Tropical Season E5k6of10

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 05, 2021 10:26 pm

Anyone see Euro operational...its disconcerting to say the least for nice end of the week/weekend, has a pretty well defined LP still as Elsa zips up the EC over land until looks like NC. Just had a very dreary weekend in VT, of course today our ride home was beautiful and my parents who stayed as it is their house said i got into 70s.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jul 05, 2021 10:29 pm

@amugs wrote:Soaker

 2021 Tropical Season E5k6of10
might we salvage the weekend if this time stamp stays?
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Jul 06, 2021 7:28 pm

Elsa going to be a hurricane at FL landfall. By looks of the track parts of our area may see ts advisories if she stays where they have the center. It hasn't wavered much but 150 miles in either direction error..
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