Re: Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase'

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:46 pm

Alright NAM has started, lez go!

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:46 pm

At hour 6 the 00z NAM is stronger with the initial lead energy vs 18z

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Trend-nam-2022012700-f000-500hv-conus

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Trend-nam-2022012700-f000-500hv-conus

by **amugs** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:46 pm

There is your Westward Lean of the EPS BM and West circled in black

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Image.png.bf53eed37b771e58ad7bb3823436ae54

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Image.png.bf53eed37b771e58ad7bb3823436ae54

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:52 pm

amugs wrote:There is your Westward Lean of the EPS BM and West circled in black

Dear lord I spy a 949mb in there! Crikey

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:52 pm

Already seeing improved vertical shaping across the streams, and the initial disturbance is east of 18z.

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Trend-nam-2022012700-f015-500hv-conus

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Trend-nam-2022012700-f015-500hv-conus

by **amugs** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:55 pm

The isobars are not kinked SW around the 4 Corner Energy as they were on teh GFS and NAM earlier.

by uanswer2me Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:56 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:There is your Westward Lean of the EPS BM and West circled in black

Dear lord I spy a 949mb in there! Crikey

Where? Lowest I see is 959, but I'm half blind. Lol

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 8:58 pm

uanswer2me wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:There is your Westward Lean of the EPS BM and West circled in black

Dear lord I spy a 949mb in there! Crikey

Where? Lowest I see is 959, but I'm half blind. Lol

that batch due south of RI. 959 is right next to it.

by uanswer2me Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:00 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
uanswer2me wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:There is your Westward Lean of the EPS BM and West circled in black

Dear lord I spy a 949mb in there! Crikey

Where? Lowest I see is 959, but I'm half blind. Lol
that batch due south of RI. 959 is right next to it.

It was hiding on me, thank you.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:05 pm

sroc4 wrote:All good Jon just busting chops.

In all seriousness though I am prob not going to be on much tonight. One run isnt going to bring it back or tae it away. If you guys are all reading I have never felt like this was a done deal even after today. This still may not work out for some but I still think it works out better than what some think might be the case. That's not to say I'm right here but just hold on a touch longer.

Side note: We have RAY in our camp for the westward shift.

Because that worked out so well on our last event Sad

I failed you all. Since I’ve not analyzed this threat like I usually do, I’m not making any definitive statements; just commenting haha maybe I should stick to the long range stuff this season; I seem to be doing much better with that this year lmao

by **Irish** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:08 pm

rb924119 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:All good Jon just busting chops.

In all seriousness though I am prob not going to be on much tonight. One run isnt going to bring it back or tae it away. If you guys are all reading I have never felt like this was a done deal even after today. This still may not work out for some but I still think it works out better than what some think might be the case. That's not to say I'm right here but just hold on a touch longer.

Side note: We have RAY in our camp for the westward shift.

Because that worked out so well on our last event I failed you all. Since I’ve not analyzed this threat like I usually do, I’m not making any definitive statements; just commenting haha maybe I should stick to the long range stuff this season; I seem to be doing much better with that this year lmao

Brother, you gotta be kidding me! I wanna hear anything you have to say regardless of how the hell it turns out. Let 'er fly baby! We're a crazed bunch of snowlunatics!

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:09 pm

did i miss something what is the final outcome of the nam? is it still running?

by **Irish** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:10 pm

If things continue to trend in a positive direction, any chance on doing a zoom Friday night?

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:13 pm

I think 00z NAM is gonna look like I believe it was 06z. LP developing way down by FL.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:15 pm

snow showers breaking out friday morning ahead of it.

by Zhukov1945 Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:15 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I think 00z NAM is gonna look like I believe it was 06z. LP developing way down by FL.

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 Namcon10

Confirmed for accurate

by **Irish** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:19 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I think 00z NAM is gonna look like I believe it was 06z. LP developing way down by FL.

I assume that's a good thing and has moved in a positive direction? Where was it before?

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:20 pm

This is looking amazing

by bobjohnsonforthehall Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:23 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:This is looking amazing

But it's the NAM. So....

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:23 pm

Don’t toy with us Frank, Give it to us straight.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:24 pm

You cannot make this up hundreds of miles west shift!!

00z

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 00z10

18z

mawx - Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 12 18z10

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:26 pm

This is go be a monster run the storm is go explode if I am looking at this right.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:27 pm

Frank I am waiting by my computer with the dramatic music of
Game of Thrones in the background(husband is watching this series again..lol) I never watched but music is amazing!! so dramatic

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:27 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Frank I am waiting by my computer with the dramatic music of
Game of Thrones in the background(husband is watching this series again..lol) I never watched but music is amazing!! so dramatic

see the images I posted above, the difference from 18z to 00z arent even close.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:30 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Frank I am waiting by my computer with the dramatic music of
Game of Thrones in the background(husband is watching this series again..lol) I never watched but music is amazing!! so dramatic
see the images I posted above, the difference from 18z to 00z arent even close.

thanks for the images!!

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:33 pm

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:34 pm

can someone explain the surface LP from hour 57 to 60, that makes no sense.

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