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Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:06 am

Southern energy will get out ahead of a trough and possibly cause the I95 first measurable snowfall of the season on Sunday night.  This storm may trend wetter and more expansive (northward) as time goes on due to the fetch from GOM and an ULL far enough away to allow the ULL energy room to come up and not OTS.  The precip comes in at night and air should be cold enough for c-2" type deal with possible moderate upside.

Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Gfs50017
Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Gfshum10

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:33 am

GFS has some bursts of snow showers Sunday night into early Monday. Gotta check the temp profiles, because this could be white rain.

Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 2dd14210


Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Bfb2e110

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:42 am

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS has some bursts of snow showers Sunday night into early Monday. Gotta check the temp profiles, because this could be white rain.

Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 2dd14210


Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Bfb2e110

Comes in at night and heavy enough that I think colder surfaces it sticks.  But yes on the coastal plain always have to be concerned about that unless deep cold air is entrenched which it is not.

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Post by heehaw453 Sat Jan 07, 2023 3:13 pm

Not much change in thinking.  C-2" and I95 should get on the board. Personally I'll enjoy whatever I get as not sure how many times we'll see snow this year.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 07, 2023 4:03 pm

Euro is most ambitious with qpf. Other models not nearly as wet.

Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Cd135b10

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 08, 2023 11:12 am

So is this still a shot for NYC area? I gotta drive home from Westfield NJ tonight, visiting my wife's best friend. The 3km NAM has almost nothing.
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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 08, 2023 12:49 pm

I think CPK records a c-1" from this little guy...

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Jan 08, 2023 1:47 pm

Lol.  Very modest, but I like what Euro shows.  I-78 corridor with best shot at 1"+ mainly on colder surfaces.

Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Euro90

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Post by phil155 Sun Jan 08, 2023 2:25 pm

Would be nice to get a little something out of this as I don't thinkbwebsee much more until maybe the very end of this month through the first half of next

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 08, 2023 3:37 pm

Timing is after 1am this morning which plays in our favor. C-1” on colder surfaces is a good call for NNJ including the city. CNJ and south will probably be too warm

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Jan 08, 2023 5:47 pm

Got to 40* today, currently 32 and falling. Since precip is coming in the early morning I'm sure it will be cold enough by then to get some stickage.

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Snowfall winter of 2022-2023  1.5"  

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 08, 2023 6:18 pm

We are currently 37*
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 08, 2023 10:42 pm

30* here and welcome the white gold. Gonna cause some travel issues since it will be the 1st snow during a rush hour albeit light it'll still cause issues.

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Post by docstox12 Mon Jan 09, 2023 5:58 am

Not even a flake here, the "winter of horror" continues, even a C-1" snow busts.Back to OTI to conjure up some atmospheric change.
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 09, 2023 6:52 am

So true Doc.  As you can see even surface wet bulb temps are warm for most and w/out good rates we aren't going to even see a coating on colder surfaces.  The WAA moisture didn't work for us.

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Minor snow event Sunday night 1/9/2023 Mesosc12

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Post by brownie Mon Jan 09, 2023 7:43 am

Woke up to the very barest of a dusting on grass and car roofs.  Not measurable.

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Post by kalleg Mon Jan 09, 2023 8:06 am

Deck a little damp, droplets on the shrubs--nothing measurable in New Hope, sun now peeking out in the East...

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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jan 09, 2023 9:21 am

A few flakes on car tops, and now the sun is out...

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Snowfall winter of 2022-2023  1.5"  

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by phil155 Mon Jan 09, 2023 9:41 am

looked like just rain here in edison

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Post by heehaw453 Mon Jan 09, 2023 10:25 am

Sorry about that Phil.  Thought there was a shot for you I95 folks on this one.

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 09, 2023 11:06 am

Had some stickage to colder surfaces - car tops and mulch.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 09, 2023 8:38 pm

Maybe a drizzle this morning, not sure but was just a bit wet this morning, so sign of any snow. Next, if we can even get that before 2023/24 winter.
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