Light snow event 1/31-2/1

Discuss light snow event.  This could be an overperformer for E LI and Jersey Coast due to baroclinic zone enhancement of mid-level instability.

This could break CPK and Philly's streak!

18Z RGEM.  Check out the heavy snow over JC and E LI.  It's starting to pick up on the enhanced lift.

Looks like every single model is now calling for a few hours of snow for much/all of southern NJ and LI! Still only projecting to an inch or so, but oh man, I'm in for that!!!

Here's a snippet of the 12K Nam for early morning (4 am), bringing decent snow to not only SNJ, but also some of SEPA, NNJ and LI as well:


And here is 6 am and 7 am on the 12K showing at least a chance for a pretty big impact to the morning commute:




And finally, the total precip call from the 12K NAM and heehaw you are right, you can definitely see the potential for higher amounts based on how close the Shore and LI are to those offshore colors that are darker than what they are currently under.



So, things are looking good at just the right time here at the Jersey Coast for some kind of legit snow fall. But like has been said a lot on this board lately, until the snow is actually falling, I'm figuring that it won't, but hoping that it does! lol.      

The GFS is where my head is at with this one.  Note the energy blow up right at the baroclinic zone. That should cause instability inland too.

Ratios will be good.  I think local 3" amounts are possible.  Limiting factor is the strength and speed of the wave. General 1-2" seems reasonable to me.

EURO!!! SNJ JACKPOT...LIKE THEY ....SHEEESH

I wouldn't be shocked if heavier precip pulls north right into NYC.  Philly definitely ends their shutout and think NYC does too.  Temps have already wet bulbed below freezing past the urban corridor. This won't be a white rain thing.

heehaw453 wrote:I wouldn't be shocked if heavier precip pulls north right into NYC.  Philly definitely ends their shutout and think NYC does too.  Temps have already wet bulbed below freezing past the urban corridor. This won't be a white rain thing.

0z HRR suddenly is now a complete miss besides SNJ. Hmmm..

aiannone wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:I wouldn't be shocked if heavier precip pulls north right into NYC.  Philly definitely ends their shutout and think NYC does too.  Temps have already wet bulbed below freezing past the urban corridor. This won't be a white rain thing.

0z HRR suddenly is now a complete miss besides SNJ. Hmmm..

Hopefully that’s not the case, but would certainly be par for the course this season.

And NAM less amped and a tick South as well. Deep sigh. Now cast time I guess

Got a nice fresh coating of snow looks nice outside . Still coming down pretty good I wish I get at least a couple inches

Very light snow in west-central NJ….the intensity will need to pick-up quite a bit if we are going to achieve a dusting….temp is a very respectable 28.

Very light snow. Probably closer to a dusting than a coating on the coldest surfaces. Nothing measurable on the street or sidewalks.

I woke up to a dusting of snow. Not really measurable for me with my yardstick. Maybe 1/8” at best. I’ll check NWS reports later.

Another underwhelming event this winter what a shock.  Coating on all surfaces.  .1" will do it here.  Check the airport reports in a bit.

25.8/21

Central Park streak is over with 0.4 inches.

The quest for the most snowless winter continues. Still need 2.5 inches to get out of last place. That seems like Everest in this pattern.

Barely a dusting in New Hope. 28*

A solid powdering in west-central NJ….about 1 flake deep…but hey…it’s snow!!

PHL has broken the shutout too with .3" LOL  About the kind of amount you'd expect to end it.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Central Park streak is over with 0.4 inches.

The quest for the most snowless winter continues. Still need 2.5 inches to get out of last place. That seems like Everest in this pattern.

Yes.  Got the feeling maybe another car topper or two and that'll do it this season.  The record will be challenged.

A very robust .3” down here at Exit 80 at the Shore. Brings the seasonal snowfall total for these parts to a very robust .35” (cold surfaces only of course).

A very robust .3” down here at Exit 80 at the Shore. Brings the seasonal snowfall total for these parts to a very robust .35” (cold surfaces only of course).

SENJsnowman wrote:A very robust .3” down here at Exit 80 at the Shore. Brings the seasonal snowfall total for these parts to a very robust .35” (cold surfaces only of course).

You’re so excited by 3/10 of an inch of snow that you had to post it twice, LOL.

I has about .1" on the snow board overnight, ground was whitened up a bit as was a large swath of my street. Looked pretty and felt like winter for a change.
La Nina rears its ugly head once again.
Amazing how in Tex, Ark and Tenn they are being crippling by an ice storm at the 33 - 35th parallel !!!!! Extreme that it is.