1st Impacts Map for Pre-Thanksgiving Storm

Here are my initial thoughts on the storm system to impact us mid-week. If needed, I will make a final map tomorrow night.

Overall, given the lack of phasing between both pieces of energy from different jet streams, I think a rather disorganized system will ride up just east of the Apps. Disorganized systems usually bring milder air from the south up along with them, and lack to produce their own cold air (dynamic cooling). Therefore, I think many people will see rain out of this, including the people who could see some accumulating snow.

Very cold air and gusty winds will follow behind it just in time for Thanksgiving Day. Could be areas of icing to worry about once the colder air moves in and temps. drop below freezing with saturated grounds from the rain.

As of this morning, looks like you are spot on with this map,Frank.We definitely are on the warm side.Too bad, we have all this cold air and a potent storm, but the track is horrible for snow.

Then again, a lot of people are traveling for the Holiday and rain is easier to deal with than snow or slop.Personally, I'd rather have all rain or all snow, I hate driving in or shoveling slop.

We get much needed rain and maybe a re-set of the pattern to favor snow next time.

Took a break yesterday to spend time with the family and watch the heart breaking Giant loss.  It does look like the details of the track are pretty clear with maybe a little wiggling last minute.  Any last min wiggle; however, will not change the fact that for most of us a cold wet heavy rain is on the way with a mix for those in the higher elevations of NW NJ and N HV only least a brief time.  I made this map zoomed out with a general idea of what will happen.  It looks like Franks map is similar zoomed in with the details.  It was fun to track none the less despite the lack of the "white gold" for most of us.  Have a great week everyone, and a Fantastic Turkey day.  

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BLAAHHHH!! WTF all this cold air before and after the storm and we torch during the storm - I hope this doesn't become the pattern or else  .............We need blocking of some sort to help this pattern.