January 28th-29th Ice Threat
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Snow88
aiannone
6 posters
January 28th-29th Ice Threat
A warm front will be approaching the region during the day Monday along with an area of low pressure. This will result in a burst of precipitation that will be cold enough at the begining of the storm to start as snow and then gradually change to sleet/freezing rain and then rain as we head into Monday Night. The concern is during that Snow/Sleet/Freezing Rain period that will occur during Monday Afternoon will cause some slick travel and light ice accretions. We will use this thread to track this event.
Last edited by Mets2695 on Sat Jan 26, 2013 10:32 pm; edited 1 time in total
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-Alex Iannone-
aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Upton for my area
Monday : A chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain, snow, and sleet between noon and 3pm, then rain and snow likely after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Light south wind increasing to 6 to 11 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Many thanks to Alex for starting the thread. I'm very busy. So if there is a thread you feel needs to be started, please don't hesitate to do so.
As for Monday, morning commute could be a rough one. EURO showed several hours of freezing rain that morning.
As for Monday, morning commute could be a rough one. EURO showed several hours of freezing rain that morning.
Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Upton
Monday Snow likely before 2pm, then rain, snow, and sleet. High near 37. Light southwest wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Monday Night Rain, snow, and sleet, becoming all rain after 7pm. Low around 36. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Current Surface Temps: http://www.greencastonline.com/tools/soiltempmaps.aspx
NYC and Especially LI have a surface temp of 10-15 right now. Your telling me that they are going to warm above freezing tmw with a temp of only 35 quick enough to not allow ice and therefore not issue a WWA NWS? Ur gonna be sadly mistaking tmw.
NYC and Especially LI have a surface temp of 10-15 right now. Your telling me that they are going to warm above freezing tmw with a temp of only 35 quick enough to not allow ice and therefore not issue a WWA NWS? Ur gonna be sadly mistaking tmw.
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-Alex Iannone-
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Upton has posted a WWA for my area....
Western Passaic
Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 10AM EST MON until 6PM EST MON
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY.
LOCATIONS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY OUTSIDE OF THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA.
HAZARD TYPES
A WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED
WITH A SNOW AND SLEET EARLY IN THE DAY
BECOMING FREEZING RAIN FOR A PERIOD TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
ACCUMULATIONS
SNOW ACCUMULATION LESS THAN HALF AN INCH
ALONG WITH A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE.
WINDS
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
TIMING
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW LATE TOMORROW MORNING
MIXING WITH SLEET AROUND MIDDAY. A TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN/SLEET MIX IS EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON
WITH THE PRECIPITATION BECOMING ALL RAIN BY TOMORROW EVENING.
IMPACTS
SNOW EARLY IN THE DAY MAY MAKE FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON THE ROADWAYS. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION TOMORROW AFTERNOON ON TOP OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
ESPECIALLY ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
SLEET
OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES
AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
Western Passaic
Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 10AM EST MON until 6PM EST MON
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY.
LOCATIONS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY OUTSIDE OF THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA.
HAZARD TYPES
A WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED
WITH A SNOW AND SLEET EARLY IN THE DAY
BECOMING FREEZING RAIN FOR A PERIOD TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
ACCUMULATIONS
SNOW ACCUMULATION LESS THAN HALF AN INCH
ALONG WITH A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE.
WINDS
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
TIMING
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW LATE TOMORROW MORNING
MIXING WITH SLEET AROUND MIDDAY. A TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN/SLEET MIX IS EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON
WITH THE PRECIPITATION BECOMING ALL RAIN BY TOMORROW EVENING.
IMPACTS
SNOW EARLY IN THE DAY MAY MAKE FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON THE ROADWAYS. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION TOMORROW AFTERNOON ON TOP OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
ESPECIALLY ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
SLEET
OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES
AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
HeresL- Posts : 122
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
I need an early release from school tmw Frank!!!!!!
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
I hear you - I definitely believe that the school officials (like my school in Allendale BC) will have the presence to send everyone home early - you still count it as a day of school and move on. Ice is the scary part of this and it seems we will have a small but decent accreation - 1 to 2/10's is what they are saying.
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
The radar looks really nice. Nam has snow to sleet to rain for the NYC area with temps near freezing throughout the event with more wintry precip to the north.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
WOW THIS IS FOR 1PM TMW!!!
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RAP/from_jet/rap_jet/2013012801/t3/ptyp_t3sfc_f17.png
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RAP/from_jet/rap_jet/2013012801/t3/ptyp_t3sfc_f17.png
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-Alex Iannone-
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Rgem shows snow to ice to rain for NYC
http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
31 degrees with a dew point of 10.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Latest HRRR
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/from_jet/hrrr_jet/2013012808/t3/acsnw_t3sfc_f13.png
http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/from_jet/hrrr_jet/2013012808/t3/acsnw_t3sfc_f13.png
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-Alex Iannone-
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
Light snow just started here in Brooklyn.
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: January 28th-29th Ice Threat
started as snow, mixing at about noon, rain and sleet this afternoon, ground is getting slick in spots. I am at 32.6* now...have .17" of precip so far
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