HomeLong Range Thread 16.0
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:05 am
NAM
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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by CPcantmeasuresnow on Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:34 am
We should probably open up a thread for this. Someone on this forum looks likely to get accumulating snow from it.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by jmanley32 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:48 am
someone that's almost everyone! Jeeze crazy@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
We should probably open up a thread for this. Someone on this forum looks likely to get accumulating snow from it.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Smittyaj623 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 11:00 am
And the shore? Please I can’t keep living with all this hype and get nothing again. Should be cold enough correct? We have plenty of cold air to play with.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 11:45 am
@Smittyaj623 wrote:And the shore? Please I can’t keep living with all this hype and get nothing again. Should be cold enough correct? We have plenty of cold air to play with.
No hype smitty. This is a snow storm in April. If this storm happens like the NAM showed verbatim it will accumulate for many on our form. In your back yard??? I dont know yet. So when you live along the NJ shore and its April you keep expectations low.
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by sroc4 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 11:47 am
_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS 35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by heehaw453 on Wed Apr 04, 2018 11:58 am
12Z GFS outputs very healthy snow amounts for many on order of 6"-12". The 850's are very cold (-5 to -10) and even surface temperature below freezing. I can only hope this pans out.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by amugs on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:03 pm
THIS IS insane - GFS SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE A SECS TO MECS FOR SOME AREAS - COLD TOO AS HEEHAW HAS POINTED OUT!
DID I SAY OTHER DAY HISTORIC TIMEFRAME /APRIL - COULD VERY WELL BE!
ZOO LOOK OUR SCREW ZONE IS HERE TOOO - CAN MAKE THIS SUP!!!!!!!!!
DID I SAY OTHER DAY HISTORIC TIMEFRAME /APRIL - COULD VERY WELL BE!
ZOO LOOK OUR SCREW ZONE IS HERE TOOO - CAN MAKE THIS SUP!!!!!!!!!
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by amugs on Wed Apr 04, 2018 12:04 pm
Look at this Northern Trend - WOW
from Alex123
from Alex123
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Smittyaj623 on Thu Apr 05, 2018 9:35 pm
I know it’s only one model but the CMC May be onto something on the 10-11th...looks like a New England Storm rn but it’s close...
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by jmanley32 on Thu Apr 05, 2018 10:24 pm
Theres not gonna be anymore snow, Note Frank took down all the snow index meaning he does not feel there are any threats.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by CPcantmeasuresnow on Thu Apr 05, 2018 11:23 pm
@jmanley32 wrote:Theres not gonna be anymore snow, Note Frank took down all the snow index meaning he does not feel there are any threats.
This weekend looks dead as a door knob.
I'm still holding out hope for Tuesday.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by jmanley32 on Thu Apr 05, 2018 11:44 pm
Well I hope you get snow, let it rain here, not gonna give up another day from our next school vacation for snow day.@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:@jmanley32 wrote:Theres not gonna be anymore snow, Note Frank took down all the snow index meaning he does not feel there are any threats.
This weekend looks dead as a door knob.
I'm still holding out hope for Tuesday.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by billg315 on Sat Apr 07, 2018 9:49 am
Flow becomes a little less zonal and more active the third week of April. Could make for some heavy rain events (snow well in the interior) and maybe our first severe weather outbreak(s)?
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by amugs on Sun Apr 08, 2018 10:00 pm
This is nuts from JB
Harping on an end game storm around April17th. We get a coastal hugger through here next Monday and behind it pulls down cold air again and we have a storm ala 2007.
GEFS show this
Harping on an end game storm around April17th. We get a coastal hugger through here next Monday and behind it pulls down cold air again and we have a storm ala 2007.
GEFS show this
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by amugs on Tue Apr 10, 2018 4:33 pm
Huge BDCF =back door cold front will be sweeping through taking the 80''s to low40''s in parts of our family area from Saturday through Sunday.
And this for Monday Ice Ice baby wth??? From earthlight aka JH
And this for Monday Ice Ice baby wth??? From earthlight aka JH
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Math23x7 on Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:01 pm
Before anyone says "Worst Spring Ever", let's go back to 2003:
Here are a more date specific temperature anomaly (March 31st to June 22nd) with temperature anomalies in Kelvin as opposed to Fahrenheit:
And here is the Friday to Monday of Memorial Day weekend (23rd to 26th). In NYC, the highest temperature during those four days was 62 degrees(!) It was overcast/rainy the whole time:
Here are a more date specific temperature anomaly (March 31st to June 22nd) with temperature anomalies in Kelvin as opposed to Fahrenheit:
And here is the Friday to Monday of Memorial Day weekend (23rd to 26th). In NYC, the highest temperature during those four days was 62 degrees(!) It was overcast/rainy the whole time:
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by CPcantmeasuresnow on Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:18 pm
@Math23x7 wrote:Before anyone says "Worst Spring Ever", let's go back to 2003:
Here are a more date specific temperature anomaly (March 31st to June 22nd) with temperature anomalies in Kelvin as opposed to Fahrenheit:
And here is the Friday to Monday of Memorial Day weekend (23rd to 26th). In NYC, the highest temperature during those four days was 62 degrees(!) It was overcast/rainy the whole time:
Best Spring ever. It's all how you view things.
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Math23x7 on Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:36 pm
@amugs wrote:This is nuts from JB
Harping on an end game storm around April17th. We get a coastal hugger through here next Monday and behind it pulls down cold air again and we have a storm ala 2007.
GEFS show this
Two years ago, when it was very chilly in spring, Frank put "Worst Spring Ever" on the banner crawl
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by dkodgis on Wed Apr 11, 2018 2:21 pm
The trend north from guidance “looks” waaaay north in a hurry. I’d be pleased to see some pink move back down a bit toward us. The temps will determine our fates
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Snow88 on Thu Apr 12, 2018 6:28 pm
Icestorm for Central and New England on the Euro
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by dkodgis on Fri Apr 13, 2018 8:19 am
And so...peekng ahead four days.:..what are we looking at?
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Re: Long Range Thread 16.0
by Fededle22 on Tue Apr 17, 2018 9:12 pm
I know a lot or people are still looking for more snow but I just can't take this cold anymore. Do we know when we are at least going to be at normal temperatures? Above normal? I'm not expecting Friday and Saturday temps but upper 60s would be nice.
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