Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II

by adamfitz1969 on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:55 pm

Wow the Euro shows us storming until late Thursday afternoon!!

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 2 IMG_2132.PNG.5d8ad8357c067e67fde17df9d691711c

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 2 IMG_2132.PNG.5d8ad8357c067e67fde17df9d691711c

by **nutleyblizzard** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:56 pm

4'' with moderate snow. 32*.

by **jmanley32** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:57 pm

Yes this is finally looking good went out roads are very slippery gotta get back soon roads have maybe an inch but all else maybe 3 or 4. If it gets more intense and snows all night def go see a foot or maybe more. Its 32 out baby!! Much colder than last.

by **Frank_Wx** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:58 pm

@adamfitz1969 wrote:Wow the Euro shows us storming until late Thursday afternoon!!

This is 5am

by **docstox12** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:58 pm

@algae888 wrote:Approaching 4in snowing heavily for the last hour or so I already have almost as much snow as the previous three nor'easters combined. this one's not a bust here

AL, that is great news and I hope you and J Man really cash in.

Still nothing here, a few flurries, a coating at best.

by **essexcountypete** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:58 pm

3.6" and mod snow, 34 degrees, up a degree in last hour.

(last report the total was really 2.5, not 3.5)

by Guest on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:59 pm

Need this to rotate through east. Otherwise central NJ and eastern PA jackpot again. I’ll keep the faith

by adamfitz1969 on Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:59 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@adamfitz1969 wrote:Wow the Euro shows us storming until late Thursday afternoon!!

This is 5am

I stand corrected. (Tips hat).

by **jmanley32** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:00 pm

@adamfitz1969 wrote:Wow the Euro shows us storming until late Thursday afternoon!!

that 9am Zulu so it's tonight 5am. Which is still awesome lots to come.

by brownie on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:01 pm

@billg315 wrote:Brownie, also note the radar I posted is high res so it picks up well on the difference between dry areas and heavy precip. And you may have other radars that would actually show snow over that dry slot so that you might think it’s snowing by looking at the radar but you look out the window and it’s not. Some radars do better at picking up what’s really reaching the ground vs what is just falling aloft. Hope that helps.

Thanks Bill. I think I got confused because I am used to blue being the color of snow precip on most maps, so I saw dark blue and thought “snow” rather than “nothing.” *smacks forehead*

For what it’s worth, it has been snowing here all day, since I first looked out at 6 am. It is now, finally, starting to look like it may amount to something.

by **docstox12** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:02 pm

Wow, all of a sudden, the winds picked up! Still no snow.Funny, radar looks great over me,LOL.

by **Frank_Wx** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:02 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:The southern-most low will soon begin feeling the affects of the closed 500mb low entering the Mid-Atlantic. Question is, can this low remain close enough to the coast so it can be tugged west a bit. Or at least stall.

Question back what is the time frame of knowing this answer? Asking not to complain we are going to get what we get just curious

I know the answer now.

Here is the 500mb closed vort over VA

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 2 500mb_sf

And we now have a well defined 994mb low east of DE

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations Part II - Page 2 Pmsl

Isobars suggest the low will drift NNE, and the NW flank of the precip shield will be greatly enhanced once the 700mb low moves closer to our area

by **Frank_Wx** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:03 pm

NYC already at 4.5" of snow

I remain confident they will hit the 10-15" range I forecasted

by **aiannone** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:04 pm

Eyeballing about 2" out there. We are now past solar noon and the sun angle will decrease through the rest of the day. Might not be so bad that the heaviest precip was delayed and happening later in the day. Long way to go

by **WeatherBob** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:04 pm

Looks like LI sound is getting a lot of action.

by mancave25 on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:05 pm

Is this going west of the bm

by **WeatherBob** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:08 pm

Approaching 3 in, in favorable snow growth temp range at 850 mb of -3 to -5 C per SPC meso scale. Snow weight is light and powdery.

If people want to learn about real life forecasting , watch the radar and see the SPC meso scale map updates. Look, see and learn.

by **dkodgis** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:10 pm

All quiet here. So far looking for my first flake. It is 2:11 pm. I have high hopes for later on.

by **jmanley32** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:11 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:NYC already at 4.5" of snow

I remain confident they will hit the 10-15" range I forecasted

here too frank? We are nearing that amount too but I gotta measure for sure. It's light snow now very light.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:12 pm

@dkodgis wrote:All quiet here. So far looking for my first flake. It is 2:11 pm. I have high hopes for later on.

I was just tanning outside.

Still keeping hope alive though up here.

by **Dunnzoo** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:13 pm

Finally at 2" puking snow, little wind, just an occasional gust

by **WeatherBob** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:13 pm

Look at the directional point of the 850 mb and 700 mb. Looks like system will move more ENE to NE rather than more east from the coast. Similar to when Hurricane gets an elongated point and moves in that direction.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:14 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:NYC already at 4.5" of snow

I remain confident they will hit the 10-15" range I forecasted

That is the best news I've heard all day.

Awesome I was always in this one for the stats anyway, and that means the Conservancy is actually on the job measuring.

Nothing here but I don't really care.

by **oldtimer** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:14 pm

3" I guess 1" Melted Light snow 33*

by **jmanley32** on Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:14 pm

Roads are horrible here get home now.

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