JAN 6th-7th Storm Part II

Just finished shoveling. Ended with about 0.01” of very wet snow. The pics of those up north look incredible. Congrats!!

Frank_Wx wrote:Just finished shoveling. Ended with about 0.01” of very wet snow. The pics of those up north look incredible. Congrats!!

Lol similar story reporting across the Hudson in East Village. At one point last night I saw a slushy quarter inch of slop on a few windshields.

1190ftalt - that's the stuff dreams are made of. One day I'm hoping I'll see something like that again here in the city!

The surface low ended up tracking well inside the 40/70 BM. As of this morning it’s found right off the coast of NJ. It’s a weakling at 1000mb.



By Noon, the sub tropical jet streak sneaks its way into the area which allows the surface low to deepen to about 990mb. In the process we will see snow pickup again in the form of a CCB - mostly north of NYC. I can see Long Island getting into the action as well, but have a feeling any precip falls as rain or wet snow.





Current radar. This will all fill in (north of city) by late morning

So a bit of a recap. The storm closed off mid levels around 8 last night over DE. That's why the folks NW were seeing their best rates. Had that storm not got sheared due to resistance there would have widespread 1' with locally 2' amounts NW areas. and I believe I95/LI would have got into the game as it moved towards the BM. That was my wildcard with this storm. Models really didn't say it would happen, but you never know. Anyway I busted a bit in EPA as 3-5" was more the rule, but I think rest was ok. Just wish could have worked out better for more folks. Lets get next Sunday going!


Immediate Jersey Shore - T-1"
I95/LI/NYC some measurable snowfall c-2" LOW CONFIDENCE BUST POTENTIAL TOO LOW
EPA 1-3" approaches 3" closer to 78 LOW CONFIDENCE BUST POTENTIAL TOO LOW
NEPA/NW NJ 5"-10" > 1000' ASL otherwise 4-8" HIGH CONFIDENCE
LHV Orange County 5"-10" HIGH CONFIDENCE

If folks in the 5-10" zone get 1' which I believe is the ceiling it will be isolated incidents.

Very interesting storm….had to drive to EWR yesterday evening….5pm rain in East Windsor….by Monroe heavy mixing….heavy snow from Edison to Linden….rain by Newark…..6:45 return temps around 36 till New Brunswick….crashes to 32….heavy snow till Monroe….temps jump back up to 34 with rain….bizarre

8.6 inches as of 8:00 am and light snow starting to pick up in intensity.

29.8° let the snow blowing begin and congrats to all the 12+ in NWNJ and SENY a little north of me.

Frank_Wx wrote:The surface low ended up tracking well inside the 40/70 BM. As of this morning it’s found right off the coast of NJ. It’s a weakling at 1000mb.



By Noon, the sub tropical jet streak sneaks its way into the area which allows the surface low to deepen to about 990mb. In the process we will see snow pickup again in the form of a CCB - mostly north of NYC. I can see Long Island getting into the action as well, but have a feeling any precip falls as rain or wet snow.





Current radar. This will all fill in (north of city) by late morning

Where do you get this radar? Is it on a website?

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:8.6 inches as of 8:00 am and light snow starting to pick up in intensity.

29.8° let the snow blowing begin and congrats to all the 12+ in NWNJ and SENY a little north of me.

9 inches here CP and light snow continues.30 degrees, calm wind.
Always nice to see after a heavy snow,cloudy, cold with light snow or snow showers.Maybe we can pick up another inch,CP.

As someone else stated earlier, when that heavy band moved through my area in lower Sussex county last night it switched the precip over to sleet for a time, definitely impacting totals.

Still, trained spotter in Lake Hopatcong reporting 6 inches this morning, which seems right on the money as I look out over my deck. Definitely would have been closer to 8-10 had we not experienced the changeover.

Still, compared to other areas of the state I have nothing to complain about. My daughter can play in the snow today and I get to use my blower for the first time in ages.

Hoping to get everything wrapped up by 1 and kick back with some good food and football. Go Bills!

I snowblew out front. Sticking on the deck gave me 13 but the driveway had a bit less. Blowing snow I guess?

toople wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:The surface low ended up tracking well inside the 40/70 BM. As of this morning it’s found right off the coast of NJ. It’s a weakling at 1000mb.



By Noon, the sub tropical jet streak sneaks its way into the area which allows the surface low to deepen to about 990mb. In the process we will see snow pickup again in the form of a CCB - mostly north of NYC. I can see Long Island getting into the action as well, but have a feeling any precip falls as rain or wet snow.





Current radar. This will all fill in (north of city) by late morning

Where do you get this radar?  Is it on a website?

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1knyca_h.gif

Frank_Wx wrote:

toople wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:The surface low ended up tracking well inside the 40/70 BM. As of this morning it’s found right off the coast of NJ. It’s a weakling at 1000mb.



By Noon, the sub tropical jet streak sneaks its way into the area which allows the surface low to deepen to about 990mb. In the process we will see snow pickup again in the form of a CCB - mostly north of NYC. I can see Long Island getting into the action as well, but have a feeling any precip falls as rain or wet snow.





Current radar. This will all fill in (north of city) by late morning

Where do you get this radar?  Is it on a website?

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1knyca_h.gif

Thank you

Light rain here at 33* helping to clear things a little bit, but will make what still has to be removed a little heavier. Looks like most of the forecast worked out, the NYC metro area and LI was a difficult forecast to begin with. I'm thankful we didn't get more snow here as it would have caused a major problem with flooding come Tuesday/Wednesday.

Wraparound banding taking shape nicely

https://meteocentre.com/radar/weather-radar.php?area=qc&anim=1&lang=en

Wrap around bandds have commenced 4" total, sleet with snow now.
Roads wet at 33*

Can not really complain about this storm - the chase was a rollercoaster, as it always is but it verified pretty well. Snow maps were overdone, like wind maps, but rain maps are underdone - go figure!!

Okay so things got even more bizarre last night on fb when i started see all the pretty pics of about a inch or 2 of snow in yonkers!? Literally a mile away. Ive never seen that b4. Apparently there were all types accidents etc. But here a sloppy half inch at the end. The pics posted were taken while it was pouring rain here. So weird. Like a tornado licalized damage.

Moderate snow here again this morning.

31 degrees ,moderate snow.Must be one of the bands coming in that Frank mentioned.

Heavy snows here now nice addition!!

Snow began again in Piscataway about 9:30AM. 34 degrees, light snow now(although there were some big flakes earlier).

It’s snowing here again.  It’s really hard to say how much I got yesterday since I was not at home for much of the snow activity, and precip was mixed by the time I got home.  I’m not sure if it ever went over to rain.  Measuring now on my deck it’s 3.5” which is probably the best number I’m going to be able to get.  NWS storm reports as of 7 am show measurements of around that amount in several nearby areas, but there were fewer reports than usual and the latest reports as of 9:35 am are mostly less than one inch in nearby areas, but that doesn’t make sense since it wasn’t snowing early this morning.

So I’ll go with 3.5” for yesterday, and maybe I will add to that at some point today.

dkodgis wrote:I snowblew out front. Sticking on the deck gave me 13 but the driveway had a bit less. Blowing snow I guess?

No it usually doesnt stick as fast and compresses quickly on blacktop which retains heat. You're most accurate would be on the deck or a concrete patio if you have one.

Most reports around you are 12-14. You're 13 is probably the most accurate.

Heavy snow here now.