12/17 Re-developing Clipper Storm

docstox12 wrote:LOL, just 86 inches to go!

Better head back north to your buddy up in snow belt country to get that 94. 79 from '95-'96 is still the number to beat up in North Bergen county.

Not sure about that Doc. 95/96 saw 76 inches in Central Park and 81 at LaGuardia. I remember Hillsdale NJ had 99 inches that year although I'm not sure if that's Bergen.

I had 112 inches that winter up in Orange County where you'll spend the winter of 2014/15.

algae888 wrote:did anyone see what the 18z gfs does. it stalls the low off of the nj coast and continues the precip to about midnight. doesn't look right to me.

That would be a dream come true, but highly unlikely.

Really like Mt. Holly's map, think it's a good guess as of now, right now I dare to say around 2-4" is a lock with possible higher amounts should the storm intensify a bit like some models are showing.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php

NjWeatherGuy wrote:Really like Mt. Holly's map, think it's a good guess as of now, right now I dare to say around 2-4" is a lock with possible higher amounts should the storm intensify a bit like some models are showing.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/StormTotalSnow/stormtotal.php

They are a little further south than me with the 2-4, but we have the same idea going. Should be a solid 2-3 inch storm for most.

what made you take away the 4-6 inches on the map?

Frank how do i enter my snow total for the year?

pdubz wrote:what made you take away the 4-6 inches on the map?

I think 4+ is still possible for areas north of NYC, but isolated amounts, not widespread. This is a quick moving system and the uncertainty of when it "bombs" out made me retract my original thoughts

7 degrees right now.  If it stayed clear tonight, with the new snow pack and calm winds we easily would have gone below 0.  

I'll take the snow tradeoff any day though.

oldtimer wrote:Frank   how do i enter my snow total for the year?

It's in your profile.....click on the signature tab and enter what you would like to show....

Guys,

Is anyone going to put up an observation thread for the storm??

Temp 16*

Dew Pt 7*

Just came in from a call, it doesn't feel like 16* no wind.....

Any changes with this clipper?

It is amazing to me how the NAM has 1-3 inches of snow tomorrow and the GFS barely has a coating, but has a strong 2nd wave for Wednesday morning.

Uhg.

SKins,

The GFS shows nothing from the 1st wave - morning clipper - warms up the coast and LI then takes the second wave from SE PA and brings it ENE giving C/SNJ 3+" and NNJ about 1-2" and LI 3+". The CMC and NAM has about 3-4" + for NNJ and up through Rockland and Westchester Counties and about 2-3" NYC and North Shore of LI with C-1" south of the Monmouth Co. - these clippers are tough to call and it really becomes a nowcasting type of storm.

Amazing that as a system is about to move in, models still have no clue what's going to happen. The two shortwaves and interactions between both look to still be causing chaos with the models.

Either the gfs is out to lunch or we might have a big surprise on our hands. 


Off to bed. We'll sure as hell know more by morning!!

Mugs

Frank ,

Hey I thought you were studying Finance?? Back to the books kid - these exams are more important than this clipper x 2!! LOL

amugs wrote:Frank ,

Hey I thought you were studying Finance?? Back to the books kid - these exams are more important than this clipper x 2!! LOL

I just got home. Been in school studying since 10:00 am. Now taking a break and will get back at it in the morning. Lol

Good possibility of being in the jackpot here cnj