Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Hopefully somebody out there is making out okay with the storm. It looks like aces area might not do to bad.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
A nice cold rain here in western Monmouth
Dwsi91- Posts : 28
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:0.8 inches. For here that looks like it.
Got maybe 2 inches here.Radar looks good for areas south and east, but this thing is moving fast.No way we reach 4 inches from what I see on the radar so far.The storm will really have to intensify and kick back snow to produce 4 inches.Not seeing that.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
...and more behind it developing over Chesapeake Bay
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Radar for 10:45 looks a little better.More filling in and some northward movement.Stay tuned,LOL!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Snow is starting to fall again along with the Market in midtown Manhattan. Based on NOAA Mt. Holly radar the precip shield is really starting to fill in northward. We shall see.
crippo84- Posts : 383
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Cold rain here northern ocean county
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Snowing again but mixing with sleet.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
LLC, or low level center, is getting ready to form in eastern pa or central nj which should make radar explode. Rain expected along jersey shore and areas south of central nj, with snow in northern nj. Some rain could mix in around NYC area. Long Island should remain snow on north shore, but rain likely to mix in south shore.
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Light snow began again.Some heavier stuff headed this way.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
docstox12 wrote:Light snow began again.Some heavier stuff headed this way.
From your mouth to Gods ear.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Snowing moderately in Hanover in Morris County. Busy road outside my office is totally covered with cars driving very slow.
Any idea when it might stop? Need to drive to Wayne this afternoon.
Any idea when it might stop? Need to drive to Wayne this afternoon.
sabamfa- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Moderate snow here in West Orange.
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Looks like it's headed your way,CP.Moderate snow now in Mahwah.NWS says low forming near Southern Jersey and headed to Cape Cod.Snow should intensify during the afternoon.
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
docstox12 wrote:Looks like it's headed your way,CP.Moderate snow now in Mahwah.NWS says low forming near Southern Jersey and headed to Cape Cod.Snow should intensify during the afternoon.
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
Clippers are the worst. I talked to a professor in school once at Rutgers New Brunswick in the Meteorology sector, and he told me these type of short waves that travel vastly through the jet stream and eject out to form a low pressure system along the coast are almost impossible to forecast due to their volatility.
So far though, things are going as suspected. I got about an inch earlier this morning. Most people should reach the 2-inch forecast. Next time, I may not even do a snow map for clipper storms and just nowcast them.
Snowing moderately here now.
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
docstox12 wrote:Looks like it's headed your way,CP.Moderate snow now in Mahwah.NWS says low forming near Southern Jersey and headed to Cape Cod.Snow should intensify during the afternoon.
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
Right you are Doc, moderate snow now. 16 Degrees too, would be a shame to waste all this nice cold air.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
CP, you're about to get smoked. It's your winter. Congrats.
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Frank_Wx wrote:CP, you're about to get smoked. It's your winter. Congrats.
bring it on Frank.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Frank_Wx wrote:docstox12 wrote:Looks like it's headed your way,CP.Moderate snow now in Mahwah.NWS says low forming near Southern Jersey and headed to Cape Cod.Snow should intensify during the afternoon.
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
Clippers are the worst. I talked to a professor in school once at Rutgers New Brunswick in the Meteorology sector, and he told me these type of short waves that travel vastly through the jet stream and eject out to form a low pressure system along the coast are almost impossible to forecast due to their volatility.
So far though, things are going as suspected. I got about an inch earlier this morning. Most people should reach the 2-inch forecast. Next time, I may not even do a snow map for clipper storms and just nowcast them.
Snowing moderately here now.
I like your snow maps, Frank.I think everybody here knows clippers are a coin toss.I vote for clipper maps,LOL!
I like clippers because it's Mother Natures way of humbling science.Your Prof admitted that.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:docstox12 wrote:Looks like it's headed your way,CP.Moderate snow now in Mahwah.NWS says low forming near Southern Jersey and headed to Cape Cod.Snow should intensify during the afternoon.
Frank, so far you are nailing this down!
Right you are Doc, moderate snow now. 16 Degrees too, would be a shame to waste all this nice cold air.
Yep, that's the biggest shame in winter. To have nice cold air but no moisture for snow.
Can't wait to move up to Monroe for next winter.HV beats Mahwah by 20 to 25 inches every year ,colder better ratios,elevation.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
In the Bronx now snowing at moderate clip. Twc future cast shows a heavy band filling in around 3pm. Think this is accurate?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
In the Bronx now snowing at moderate clip. Twc future cast shows a heavy band filling in around 3pm. Think this is accurate?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Haven't seen anything other then light snow
Def of snow intensities
Light --vis is greater than .5 miles and up to 1.5 miles or so
Mod--- .26 miles to .5 miles
Heavy--- less than .25 miles
Def of snow intensities
Light --vis is greater than .5 miles and up to 1.5 miles or so
Mod--- .26 miles to .5 miles
Heavy--- less than .25 miles
Noreaster- Posts : 463
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Sabamfa Roads in Wayne were clear at 10 this morning with about half an inch. The hill on Ratzer was clean. I hope it stays that way till later when I get home.
Grselig- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Ok thx that's kind of hard to Guage here the visibility is Def lower than normal but not sure how far. I was merely asking if the sudden pop up of precip on twc at 3pm future cast will happen regardless of intensity. The colors indicated to me it wouldn't b light.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
The original forcast was for it to be over by now.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Observation Thread 12/17 Clipper Storm
Your right.Now they are saying steady snow until evening.Possible mix with freezing rain and sleet at the end near NYC.
Maybe it took longer to get organized.It did start later than forecast.They had said 3 AM yesterday and it wasn't until 5:30 by me.
Maybe it took longer to get organized.It did start later than forecast.They had said 3 AM yesterday and it wasn't until 5:30 by me.
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