Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
The highest QPF in the area is in CNJ where there is about .2" QPF. The NAM has been consistent in saying that NYC and LI get closer to .1". If this continues I will make a forecast for 1-3" for most of NJ and T-1" for NYC/LI.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
hey mugs, not bashing any meterologists maybe we should add DPW to the list too lol. I dunno about your area but here everyone feels something fishy is going on. Very well may not be was just saying no hard feelings I know those guys work hard but honestly have not seen any plows and on Wed-Friday did not see any either.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Ratios will be worse in southern NJ and rain looks possible depending on the solution. Check out the SREF p-types and SFC temps.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21TYPNE_15z/srefloop.html
RIGHT NOW (this can change)
Northern half of NJ/lower HV 1-3"
Southern NJ, PHI, NYC and parts of LI T-1"
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21TYPNE_15z/srefloop.html
RIGHT NOW (this can change)
Northern half of NJ/lower HV 1-3"
Southern NJ, PHI, NYC and parts of LI T-1"
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
jmanley32 wrote:Snowman, small world I live right off MClean Ave! My road is bad all parking spots are ice now, impossible to get in and out of unless you have a pick ax. I feel there is something going on either with Yonkers budget or there is some kind of boycot. It was on News 12 how much in a uproar people are. No matter how difficult it may be I feel they should continue alternate side parking and clean the snow from the streets so cars can park. There are shoveled pile 5 feet high and some cars are completely blocked in and what snow has been plowed is now so hard its impossible to drive through and thus has to be chopped through, risk to your health esepcailly older people. I am totally disappointed with my city to say the least. If we get another 1-3 or man 3-6 itsd justy got to be a majoe mess, there is NOWHERE to put it!
After these last back to back storms the resulting snow pack looks like after one big 20" blizzard. Parking is horrible, and the worst is it always seems easier to barrel your way into a snowy parking spot than it is to leave. The truth is anywhere with 24/7 street parking will never be fully clean after a significant snowfall. Urban living inconveniences. The towns around where I work further north in Westchester get there streets so clean I was baffled cuz even when they get more snow its better there. Most of those places either have no street parking or overnight parking is infrequent or banned. It lets them fully plow, and there is not blocks of cars encased in snow and ice that just gets shoveled back in the street which leave many side streets snow covered long after then storm is gone. This ice covered snow seems to make it worse too. We have less open space to dump snow too so its just an never ending battle everyone is pushing snow in someone elses way.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
jmanley32 wrote:WOW, mugs! Thats sincerely scary as I feel we will get our major storm before the winter is over. I have a feeling its the same situation. Heres somethibng odd I saw a few storms back. A snow plow stopped outside and spun his salt spreader putting aimmensie amount of salt in one spot, so much it made a pile, what a waste!!! No wonder they are running out, is it sabotage or pure idiotic workers.
jman, it happened here in front of my house too, so when he left my husband ran out with a bucket and shocel and scooped it all up! Best salt we ever had! lol
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Looks like a quick hitter a good 1-3" to refresh the snirt!!
Last edited by amugs on Sat Feb 08, 2014 9:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
NYC DSNY has issued a Snow Alert for tomorrow
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
It looks like 1-3 it shall be. No real changes in any runs tonight regarding the snow tomorrow night.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:It looks like 1-3 it shall be. No real changes in any runs tonight regarding the snow tomorrow night.
CP - I concur and it will freshen up my snowpack that is at 12" - a 3-4" layer of ice on the top. Like a frickin' glacier. RGEM was a tick wetter but only a few mm which is nothing really. Let this be a tune up hopefully for the Wed - Thursday storm.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Radar looking good for 1-3 for most.
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
24* and snowing lightly.
SNOW MAN- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Ace you think we be on the high end of that 3inches
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Probably end up near 2-2.5 unless the radar really expands when the low hits the coast.skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace you think we be on the high end of that 3inches
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
got you lets hope I tried to find what our highest snowfall season was no luck
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Could not find it either. But i would bet we re not close to it what so ever.skinsfan1177 wrote:got you lets hope I tried to find what our highest snowfall season was no luck
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Well, first let's see if the mountains eat any up lol
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Quietace wrote:Could not find it either. But i would bet we re not close to it what so ever.skinsfan1177 wrote:got you lets hope I tried to find what our highest snowfall season was no luck
I would guess that 95/96 when NYC set their record with 75.6 inches was your probably your best year also. Not that many borderline storms that year but I don't know what your closes town is that records official NWS stats?
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
It's coming in very fast, doesn't look all that juicy I think 1" is the most common number with isolated 2-3" in spots with the best banding.
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USCT0094&animate=true
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USCT0094&animate=true
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Probably Belmar. I wouldn't use Lakehurst NAS as its too far inland to be accurate.CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Quietace wrote:Could not find it either. But i would bet we re not close to it what so ever.skinsfan1177 wrote:got you lets hope I tried to find what our highest snowfall season was no luck
I would guess that 95/96 when NYC set their record with 75.6 inches was your probably your best year also. Not that many borderline storms that year but I don't know what your closes town is that records official NWS stats?
Quietace- Meteorologist - Mod
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Ryan & Skins:
Your closest stations with long time records are NYC and Atlantic City, since your pretty much in the center between both I would guess 95/96 wasn't your year like I originally thought. NYC set their record with 75.6 that year but AC only had 18 inches, sharp cut off.
Your record year was most likely 2009/10 when AC set their all time record with 58 and NYC had 51.4 inches that year. I would guess your record would be somewhere in the 55-65 range from that year. It's recent enough that someone in the Belmar area must have been logging daily totals.
Your closest stations with long time records are NYC and Atlantic City, since your pretty much in the center between both I would guess 95/96 wasn't your year like I originally thought. NYC set their record with 75.6 that year but AC only had 18 inches, sharp cut off.
Your record year was most likely 2009/10 when AC set their all time record with 58 and NYC had 51.4 inches that year. I would guess your record would be somewhere in the 55-65 range from that year. It's recent enough that someone in the Belmar area must have been logging daily totals.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
23* moderate snow.
SNOW MAN- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ryan & Skins:
Your closest stations with long time records are NYC and Atlantic City, since your pretty much in the center between both I would guess 95/96 wasn't your year like I originally thought. NYC set their record with 75.6 that year but AC only had 18 inches, sharp cut off.
Your record year was most likely 2009/10 when AC set their all time record with 58 and NYC had 51.4 inches that year. I would guess your record would be somewhere in the 55-65 range from that year. It's recent enough that someone in the Belmar area must have been logging daily totals.
95-96 was likely my highest totals year, 30" alone from the blizzard of '96 and several other storms I did well. This was the year that made me get a snowblower.
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
You better get a snowblower for midweek Tom.
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
...SNOW OVERSPREADING THE AREA...
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO AROUND A HALF MILE AT TIMES. A WIDESPREAD ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED. THE SNOW WILL COME TO
AN END LATE TONIGHT. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS EVENING.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
...SNOW OVERSPREADING THE AREA...
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO AROUND A HALF MILE AT TIMES. A WIDESPREAD ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED. THE SNOW WILL COME TO
AN END LATE TONIGHT. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS EVENING.
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Re: Feb 9th-10th Storm Final Discussion/Observations
Mets2695 wrote:Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
...SNOW OVERSPREADING THE AREA...
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE
REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO AROUND A HALF MILE AT TIMES. A WIDESPREAD ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED. THE SNOW WILL COME TO
AN END LATE TONIGHT. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS EVENING.
It's breaking up, I don't like the idea of widespread 2" accumulations, 1 will be the number a majority of people see with isolated lollipops of 2"
NjWeatherGuy- Advanced Forecaster
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