Re: June 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 3:29 pm

These are TRAINING storms. This means they are moving at a very slow pace and could drop excessive amounts of rainfall in a short period of time. Biggest concern is flash flooding. Eastern PA getting into them now. We will be dealing with this almost all night

by **Dtone** Fri Jun 13, 2014 3:32 pm

The sun is out now, temp up to 77* dewpoint 70*
When do you think that line of storms will reach NYC?

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 3:34 pm

The greatest CAPE is in southwestern NJ and the Philly Metro area. That is where I would expect severe storms to develop - if there are any. Right now, that squall line is not severe. But I will pay attention to what SPC has to say. Flash flood watch has been issued

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 3:35 pm

Dtone wrote:The sun is out now, temp up to 77* dewpoint 70*
When do you think that line of storms will reach NYC?

Probably not until 4:30-5:00pm

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 3:37 pm

This is my favorite radar to use. Areas outlined in green boxes means flash flood WARNING and areas highlighed in yellow boxes means severe t-storm WARNING

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=dix&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 4:10 pm

Severe thunderstorm warning now being issued for interior northern NJ. That will probably expand east into most of our areas within the next few minutes.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jun 13, 2014 4:52 pm

Looks like the heaviest cells will pass north-northwest of NYC. Refer to the link above. Those are very slow moving storms. North-central NJ getting it good right now

by **jmanley32** Fri Jun 13, 2014 6:32 pm

Wow 5 lines of storms lined up. Which do u think will be the worst?

by **Dtone** Fri Jun 13, 2014 6:41 pm

Drove through pockets of flash flooding on the bx river pkwy anywhere south of White Plains to Bx

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Jun 13, 2014 6:51 pm

moved through here in 15 minutes, .33"

by **Snow88** Sat Jun 14, 2014 10:19 am

Had a lot of rain with thunder and lightning last night. Nice thunderstorm.

by **amugs** Sat Jun 14, 2014 12:50 pm

Received .41" of rain last night after 8PM - today is 70* and breezy - feels like early May.

-EPO still driving our weather? SST's in the eatstern pacific are crazy warm! What will this lead to - only time will tell.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Jun 14, 2014 9:36 pm

Feels nice outside right now

by **Snow88** Sun Jun 15, 2014 1:06 am

Lovely sleeping weather. 62 right now.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jun 15, 2014 9:54 am

Temperatures only in the 50's this morning, but they are already shooting up into the 70's. Should make it to low 80's. Looks humid with isolated showers and storms again by Tuesday Thursday until a front passes by around Thursday morning. Looks like the front the end of this week may pass Thursday morning and could potentially stall around the Mason-Dixon Line. If that were the case it would spark showers and t-storms mainly for areas south of NYC. Considering its Old Timers Day on Sunday next week, I'm hoping that is the case.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jun 16, 2014 9:44 am

Showers moving in late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Some thunder possible. Temps will gradually get warmer and increasingly humid as the week progresses. Should get some reprieve by Friday.

by **HectorO** Mon Jun 16, 2014 5:45 pm

Heat, not lasting as long as I thought. By Friday it will be nice for some people. I for one don't mind the steamy temps these next few days. My blood is made for it. I have family coming up from FL, so the 50's at night this weekend and 70's during the day this weekend through Monday will feel like fall for them. They've been cooking in the mid 90s with like 70% humidity.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jun 17, 2014 12:32 am

June 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread - Page 3 Post-5279-0-05254000-1402979444

There's enough instability Wednesday for severe storms to develop between 2-9pm

by **Quietace** Tue Jun 17, 2014 7:25 am

The HRRR wants us to melt today
June 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread - Page 3 Hrrr_t10

by **Dtone** Tue Jun 17, 2014 8:31 am

up to 77* after a low of 71*
dew 61*

by **Snow88** Tue Jun 17, 2014 10:00 am

78 here

by **Snow88** Tue Jun 17, 2014 10:00 am

Quietace wrote:The HRRR wants us to melt today

Living near the ocean FTW

by **Dunnzoo** Tue Jun 17, 2014 10:15 am

Already at 81.4*

by **jmanley32** Tue Jun 17, 2014 10:40 am

Wow, looks like my area is in a small little cooler spot : ) I do not like it when it gets that hot. I see SPC has NJ fully in slight risk and I am on the very cusp of it, Frank do you think svr storms will make it to NYC area? Yonkers etc? Or will it all stay west? I always seem to miss all the t-storms.

On a more interesting note I had a question if anyone has the answer it would be cool or any ideas.

So...whenever a line of t-storms does make it past the mountains and comes towards me it will appear to be knocking on my doorstep sometimes as close as just across the Hudson River from me and then as it crosses (and only in the confines of the Yonkers area, will break up or split to the north and or south. Does Yonkers have some kind of affect on the storms, is therte something in this spot they do not like. I have just noticed this many many times, we get few severe t-storms right in my backyard while just to the north gets pummeled or to the south in the Bronx/Manhattan. Any clue? Hope everyone is good and had a good fathers day whom of you are fathers like myself.

by **jmanley32** Tue Jun 17, 2014 10:50 am

Wait I just checked the SPC, they have the whole area in slight all the way into RI for today, thats a big change from yesterday. And further west chance tomorrow. I didn't think there was a storm threat today, or am I mistaken and SPC day 1 is tomorrow?

by **HectorO** Tue Jun 17, 2014 11:46 am

Going to go out on break and just let the sun bake me and the humidity take me over. I think this will fall short of a heat wave correct? For some areas. 3 days in a row above 90 if I'm not mistaken.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jun 17, 2014 12:03 pm

SPC put us in a slight risk for high winds today as storms roll through. I think tomorrow is the bigger threat. But we should still monitor today. Best chance is south and west of NYC today.

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