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September 2014 Observations and Discussion

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Post by HectorO Tue Sep 09, 2014 6:30 pm

That time of year where we ride the temp roller coaster. Shorts one day light sweater the next.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 10, 2014 10:55 am

I am so looking forward to the cooler weather this weekend. It should feel really nice.

7am Friday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_10

7am Saturday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_14

7am Sunday morning

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Gfs_T2m_neus_18

High's will probably not get out of the 70's, upper 60's for areas north and west of NYC into NW NJ and central NY and higher elevations in NEPA

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Sep 10, 2014 11:30 am

Perfect for painting my daughter's room! Love it!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by essexcountypete Wed Sep 10, 2014 2:10 pm

Some storm heading for the Great Lakes. Waves of 18 to 26 feet on Lake Superior and 8 and 14 feet on Lake Michigan. Dag!...
http://fox17online.com/2014/09/10/strong-frontal-system-creates-big-waves-on-the-great-lakes/

Funny that I just heard "The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald" on XM yesterday.
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Post by algae888 Thu Sep 11, 2014 8:46 am

looked like it was going to rain this morning but it fizzled out. doesn't look good for later either. another northern stream energy drying out before reaching us. we really need the rain!
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Post by algae888 Thu Sep 11, 2014 8:52 am

as of sept 10th we are down to 4.8* above normal for month with mostly below normal temps the next 7-10 days. more importantly we are down 4" of rain since august 1st with no significant rain in forecast for the next week.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Sep 11, 2014 3:35 pm

Well, it looks like no rain for us again......and no significant prospects in the near future. We are soooooo dry!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Sep 11, 2014 3:49 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Well, it looks like no rain for us again......and no significant prospects in the near future. We are soooooo dry!
Better to have this dry spell now than later, if you now what I mean! santa
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 12, 2014 3:38 pm

Some rain tomorrow night. Probably to start between 7-10pm into the overnight hours. Not a whole lot.

Then we may not see any measurable precip until the end of the month (shower possible on Tuesday)

Hey, better to get red of this dry pattern now then have it come in the winter.

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Post by algae888 Fri Sep 12, 2014 8:05 pm

frank looks like tues could be a more significant rain than sat. here is nws disco... CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM WITH THIS AFTERNOON`S UPDATE INCLUDE LOWER
TEMPS AND FOCUS PCPN ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON SAT LOOK TO BE A 1/4 INCH OR LESS...THEN ON
TUESDAY 1/4 TO 3/4 INCH IS POSSIBLE. with some cooler air to work with we may get some lows to form and give us a more wide spread event rather than the hit and miss t/storms



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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Sep 13, 2014 9:47 am

Dry spell continues, not seeing any decent precip in the next week, very light if any today and maybe a little Monday night, but I'm not holding my breath. The last 2 chances we had passed us by....

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by docstox12 Sat Sep 13, 2014 11:04 am

Dry as dust out there.Leaves wilting on bushes and non-watered lawns are now burnt yellow and brown.Hopefully something comes up soon.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Sep 13, 2014 11:23 am

algae888 wrote:frank looks like tues could be a more significant rain than sat. here is nws disco... CHANGES IN THE LONG TERM WITH THIS AFTERNOON`S UPDATE INCLUDE LOWER
TEMPS AND FOCUS PCPN ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON SAT LOOK TO BE A 1/4 INCH OR LESS...THEN ON
TUESDAY 1/4 TO 3/4 INCH IS POSSIBLE. with some cooler air to work with we may get some lows to form and give us a more wide spread event rather than the hit and miss t/storms

Tuesday looks drier than today right now. Haha

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Sep 13, 2014 1:11 pm

Hey look, rain!

September 2014 Observations and Discussion - Page 4 Inxr1kphla_h

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Post by amugs Sat Sep 13, 2014 11:26 pm

Fall fall like day - 66.7* for a high and .21" of rain - a tease for sure!!
Actually wore a sweatshirt this morning at my sons flag football game when last week I was sweating my stones off!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dtone Sun Sep 14, 2014 7:35 am

First night in the 50s. Refreshing but a little shock to the system its been months. 55*
Lots of 40s N&W

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Post by algae888 Sun Sep 14, 2014 8:05 am

49* here in mt Vernon. .25" of rain yesterday. looks like a cool week with temps 5-10* below normal. we should be close to normal for month temp wise by next sunday. after a very hot start temps have taken a 180* turn.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Sep 14, 2014 10:10 am

As noted earlier this week, the mornings this weekend have given us our first taste of fall with temps in the 50's...40's in some locations. It feels great!

Looking at 70's this week with lows in the 50's. Chance of rain on Tuesday

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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Sep 14, 2014 4:35 pm

Today is fabulous! Unfortunately I'm in the 2nd and hopefully last day of my daughter's room makeover and am spending it indoors!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Garrus Mon Sep 15, 2014 8:47 am

I wonder if we can predict the weather based on that information for the rest of the month or is it solid already and only meteorologist can do that?

Atmospheric pressure is closely related to weather. Regions of pressure that are slightly higher or slightly lower than the mean atmospheric pressure develop as air circulates around Earth. The air rushes from regions of high pressure to low pressure, causing winds. The properties of the moving air (cool or warm, dry or humid) will determine the weather for the areas through which it passes. Knowing the location of high and low pressure areas is vital to weather forecasting, which is why they are shown on the weather maps printed in newspapers and shown on television.

Read more: http://www.scienceclarified.com/As-Bi/Atmospheric-Pressure.html#ixzz3DO6QS100

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Sep 15, 2014 2:31 pm

Garrus wrote: I wonder if we can predict the weather based on that information for the rest of the month or is it solid already and only meteorologist can do that?

Atmospheric pressure is closely related to weather. Regions of pressure that are slightly higher or slightly lower than the mean atmospheric pressure develop as air circulates around Earth. The air rushes from regions of high pressure to low pressure, causing winds. The properties of the moving air (cool or warm, dry or humid) will determine the weather for the areas through which it passes. Knowing the location of high and low pressure areas is vital to weather forecasting, which is why they are shown on the weather maps printed in newspapers and shown on television.

Read more: http://www.scienceclarified.com/As-Bi/Atmospheric-Pressure.html#ixzz3DO6QS100

Welcome to the forum!

That paragraph explains how weather is forecasted, but anyone can do it if you have access to the right tools. Weather models are most often used to accomplish this, which you can find on the top menu bar of the forum.

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Post by HectorO Tue Sep 16, 2014 7:32 am

Any chance the crazy heat out west gives us a warm up ? 5 days out looks to be in the 80s again. I'm not turning the AC back on.
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Post by algae888 Tue Sep 16, 2014 8:47 am

HectorO wrote:Any chance the crazy heat out west gives us a warm up ? 5 days out looks to be in the 80s again. I'm not turning the AC back on.
hector it may hit 80* on sunday but another trough is coming into the north east next week with even cooler temps than this week. I do not think you should need the a/c


Last edited by algae888 on Tue Sep 16, 2014 9:03 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Sep 16, 2014 8:52 am

yep, I'm taking out my window units this week......

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 16, 2014 9:40 am

I think I got half an inch of rain this morning. It was really coming down out there.

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Post by blizzard93 Tue Sep 16, 2014 10:44 am

I recorded about 2/3rds of an inch (0.64 to be exact) in Kenilworth NJ, been a while since we had a nice soaking like this

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 16, 2014 12:15 pm

blizzard93 wrote:I recorded about 2/3rds of an inch (0.64 to be exact) in Kenilworth NJ, been a while since we had a nice soaking like this

I estimated half an inch, close enough I guess. That was a pretty impressive downpour and we sure needed it.

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