12/9-12/10 Coastal Storm Observations

the shore is getting hit hard once again

Frank_Wx wrote:

aiannone wrote:Frank, have you looked at my area at all? We have a warning for 6-10" but i'm just concerned warm air gets involved. Its 21 now with a dp of 19, but in SEVT they are already getting ZR, which was supposed to be snow

A lot of warm air spewing into the mid levels of this storm. Since low level cold is plentiful, evidenced by your 21 degrees, this is a recipe for dangerous ice storm.

Gross, I want snow lmao. I'll post my obs here as to what occurs, but I am concerned about freezing rain.

12z RGEM and 12z GFS still has the wraparound snow for the area tomorrow

Wind has really picked up here in Florham Park in the last 20-30 minutes.

Just started lightly snowing.

Wow look at laguaridia delays 247 min, click on the advisory maximum 996min!

http://www.fly.faa.gov/ois/

Interesting Frank I guess you were right on timing and models were not (NAM showed strongest winds at noon or so), latest update to wind advisory extended it to 7pm and says winds don't pick up until this afternoon until evening.

* WINDS... NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH... BECOMING NORTH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND THE LARGE BRIDGES AROUND NEW YORK CITY.
* TIMING... STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.

Note they also increased sustained speeds from 15-25 to 20-30. Still pouring out here.

HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...
FAIRFIELD COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...

* UNTIL 315 PM EST

* AT 1208 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. THIS HAS BEEN
PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST FIVE HOURS. RAIN RATES BETWEEN A QUARTER
AND HALF INCH PER HOUR HAVE BEEN REPORTED.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF WATER IN URBAN
AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. FLOODING WILL BE EXACERBATED
ACROSS LOW LYING SHORE ROADS WITH HIGH TIDE.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

Yep dtone just came from brp it's raging. Winds start pick up going to start getting worse. The band of rain over us just isn't moving east. Training for what it said 5 hrs jeeze.

jmanley32 wrote:Yep dtone just came from brp it's raging. Winds start pick up going to start getting worse. The band of rain over us just isn't moving east. Training for what it said 5 hrs jeeze.

jman 2.4" so far what a downpour we just had. highways still ok but at there limit now. one more band to go through then we should be done. we were in the sweet spot for this storm too bad its all rain.

My job will probably flood out and we'll have to go to our alternate location. I wish it would be like when it snows and develop a dry slot. This rain is annoying already.

Al do u have a rain guage or where did u get ur report from?

Long Islanders... the Northern State Parkway is closed in both directions at 106/107 due to flooding.

I hear ya al 25 to 30 inches snow sigh

But I think we will have a even stronger system when it is cold and go all hecs! Or I prey lol

jmanley32 wrote:Al do u have a rain guage or where did u get ur report from?

yes I do it the old fashioned way a bucket and a ruler.lol I told my fiancée and kids I want a weather station for the backyard for xmas. if they don't get it I will.lol

I want one once I have house. But a bucket isn't accurate bc it's a certain circumference isn't it that a rain guage is? So it's probable more than 2.4

jmanley32 wrote:I want one once I have house. But a bucket isn't accurate bc it's a certain circumference isn't it that a rain guage is? So it's probable more than 2.4

it could be. looks like we had more than 3".

Right now windy and cloudy, in a dryslot here.

That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

Dtone wrote:That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

dtone its amazing! it doesn't want to let up. why cant this happen to us with snowstorms.lol

So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow

skinsfan1177 wrote:So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow

more showery type rains. lp starting to close off and slow down. precip is now moving north to south over epa

Still pouring like hell here in Bklyn, my temp dropped 3* in last hour. Down to 39 now. Not sure if that means anything for backend snow but man if this had been in January when the Sea Surface temps were down in the low 40's upper 30's this could have been a good one.

https://fbcdn-vthumb-a.akamaihd.net/hvthumb-ak-xpf1/v/t15.0-10/1976219_770637399638465_770637336305138_8115_767_b.jpg?oh=766be242c8d9bb8ed787967ae33dce97&oe=55107555&__gda__=1427449292_fca219f3f7af75106008509ef83c7cd7 a video of Point Pleasant Beach hopes it works.

skinsfan1177 wrote:So whats next that the rain has stopped here we got close to 3 inches. Now is this the lull I guess and will I see snow tomorrow

Where you are probably not.

algae888 wrote:

Dtone wrote:That persistent band over NYC and immediate suburbs isn't letting up

dtone its amazing! it doesn't want to let up. why cant this happen to us with snowstorms.lol

It will!!! This season Al! 2.2" so far here in Wading River. Flooding going on right now in Many areas out here.