NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

March 20th Storm

+16
Fededle22
skinsfan1177
Grselig
Dunnzoo
CPcantmeasuresnow
snow247
chrism
docstox12
NjWeatherGuy
jmanley32
algae888
rb924119
sroc4
amugs
oldtimer
Frank_Wx
20 posters

Page 3 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:44 pm

dat NAM Thumbs up

sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8331
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:46 pm

Wow.

snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Join date : 2014-08-27

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:48 pm

Looks like the GFS is south too. Even in late March.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by algae888 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:03 pm

18z gfs is 6" area wide. Cant post map mobile atm.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by algae888 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:05 pm

Btw nws is discounting nam in their disco. 18zRgem is also nice
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 61
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:09 pm

algae888 wrote:18z gfs is 6" area wide. Cant post map mobile atm.

Really? That's good, I heard it was south. Can't check right now.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:13 pm

Precip wise 18Z GFS looked fine. Temp issues for CNJ on south but will probably be overcome by heavier precip rates.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7274
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Dunnzoo Wed Mar 18, 2015 6:32 pm

Scott I'll take the over 4 changes to their maps  geek

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4891
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:32 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Scott I'll take the over 4 changes to their maps  geek

Ha me too

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 8331
Reputation : 301
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:39 pm

18z gfs and rgem our boy rgem
March 20th Storm - Page 3 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f54

RGEM
This is not including beyond hours 54 so don't get your panties all twisted by this
March 20th Storm - Page 3 SN_000-048_0000


_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:46 pm

I'll have a writeup soon with my detailed analysis and initial thoughts for anybody interested. I won't spoil the ending for you, though lol

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6890
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 7:53 pm

CIPS TOP ANALOG !!!!

March 20th Storm - Page 3 COOP4percnam212F060

March 20th Storm - Page 3 COOP6percnam212F060

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:01 pm

Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21305
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Jesus dude, I hope everything is ok, and everyone is safe. Do what you gotta do man, we can hold our own for the night. Best of luck!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6890
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Guest Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope things are ok Frank. Take care of your family. It's only snow. We got this..

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope its nothing too serious, take care your fam, its most important : )
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20516
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:31 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Family emergency tonight means no forecast until I get home, which I have no clue when that will be. I have not even looked at data to even give an accurate number.

Hope all is well, Frank.

Don't worry about your forecast, we'll take it from here.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Grselig Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:31 pm

Frank.  Hope all turns out ok
Grselig
Grselig
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1408
Reputation : 140
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 54
Location : Wayne NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:34 pm

Hope everything is ok Frank family first
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 46
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by rb924119 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:40 pm

Hi guys, as promised here are my thoughts, as well as a detailed analysis of what I'm seeing so far with this event. At the end I put up my first call, so if you want to just skip to it feel free lol Any comments/feedback you have are greatly appreciated. Please note that it is the top article. Enjoy!!

http://themixedlayer.weebly.com/blog

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 6890
Reputation : 194
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Fededle22 Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:45 pm

Accuweather has me for 3-6 inches for Friday. Wow!
Fededle22
Fededle22

Posts : 169
Reputation : 2
Join date : 2013-03-08
Location : West Orange, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by amugs Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:52 pm

Frank, family always comes first and I hope everything is okay. Take care kid, we'll hold the fort.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15093
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Dunnzoo Wed Mar 18, 2015 9:57 pm

Frank, hope everything is ok....family first always...

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4891
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Snow88 Wed Mar 18, 2015 10:53 pm

0z NAM
March 20th Storm - Page 3 261m710
Snow88
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2193
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 35
Location : Brooklyn, NY

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:04 pm

Deja vu! Looks great from the city on south! Again!
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:11 pm

RGEM crushes the usual area
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Math23x7 Wed Mar 18, 2015 11:13 pm

The 0Z RGEM has 25-30 dbz for a large portion of the daytime hours on Friday. If it were to come during the night time, we would be talking about significant accumulations. I think we needs the rates to be higher than that to override the March sun, but we'll see how it does in tomorrow's runs.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2379
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

March 20th Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: March 20th Storm

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum