HURRICANE MATTHEW

GEFS mean also shifted west from 6z

Navgem also has a capture

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Impressive rex Block out ahead in the Atlantic.  If the Trough was just a little deeper it would have likely made landfall in the NE

Dont like that low. I feel it''s causing a weakness in the ridge.

Are you saying you want a storm? lol If so, I respectfully disagree with your sentiments hahaha a lot of coastlines are already battered from Hermine, and this would just exacerbate the problems lol I wouldn't mind trading this for an 1888 Blizzard haha

Yup, bring him on.

Snow88 wrote:GEFS mean also shifted west from 6z

Navgem also has a capture

Beast. Going to be fun watching this guy shift on models from direct hit to OTS over the coming days.

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Impressive rex Block out ahead in the Atlantic.  If the Trough was just a little deeper it would have likely made landfall in the NE

Dont like that low. I feel it''s causing a weakness in the ridge.

Are you saying you want a storm? lol If so, I respectfully disagree with your sentiments hahaha a lot of coastlines are already battered from Hermine, and this would just exacerbate the problems lol I wouldn't mind trading this for an 1888 Blizzard haha

Yup, bring him on.

THAT A BOY FRANK I LOVE THE CHALLENGE - HOW MUCH FUN THIS WILL BE TO FORECAST!! BOOYAHHH!

2pm update: Winds up to 120mph, pressure down to 960mb

Yah frank mugs syo we should all have a hurricsne partu if it comes. Frank are u saying thst cuz ur thinking ots? Or are u really prepared for the chaos and damage this could cause if it did transpire. Which is still well on the table till I see days of ots consensus. Lol

Sanchize06 wrote:2pm update: Winds up to 120mph, pressure down to 960mb

jeeze at this rate b cat 4 b4 jamaica.

At this point a week out, the latest GEFS depict an eerily similar path to another storm I won't name........

amugs wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Impressive rex Block out ahead in the Atlantic.  If the Trough was just a little deeper it would have likely made landfall in the NE

Dont like that low. I feel it''s causing a weakness in the ridge.

Are you saying you want a storm? lol If so, I respectfully disagree with your sentiments hahaha a lot of coastlines are already battered from Hermine, and this would just exacerbate the problems lol I wouldn't mind trading this for an 1888 Blizzard haha

Yup, bring him on.

THAT A BOY FRANK I LOVE THE CHALLENGE - HOW MUCH FUN THIS WILL BE TO FORECAST!! BOOYAHHH!

just hoping we don't get totally burned and lose sleep next week but I'll sure b right here with ya.

So did today's models move towards more like a u know who track with a capture and retrograde? Might this continue and we could posdibly see someones big ugly brother matt?

12z GEFS

I saw these hooks somewhere before

Snow88 wrote:12z GEFS

I saw these hooks somewhere before

omg that dejavu holy crap and yes I even have the maps of the retrograde into msine before it came down to nj. This is get interesting.

Snow88 wrote:12z GEFS

I saw these hooks somewhere before

!!! This is what I'm sayyyying. Lol. Couldn't post that map from my iPhone but it's eeeeeerily similar, right?

Jman I would say no - we had an enormous N NAo block over greenland and a huge N titled trough.

Some GEFS members hook Matt west into New England

amugs wrote:Jman I would say no - we had an enormous N NAo block over greenland and a huge N titled trough.

ok so u think the hook is unlikely despite the gefs? I know it's only one run but as all are saying. Errily similar.

Frank_Wx wrote:Some GEFS members hook Matt west into New England

I'm assuming a quicker capture would b required to bring in into the area.? Is that possible? But even into ne we could see strong effects if it's huge.

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Impressive rex Block out ahead in the Atlantic.  If the Trough was just a little deeper it would have likely made landfall in the NE

Dont like that low. I feel it''s causing a weakness in the ridge.

Are you saying you want a storm? lol If so, I respectfully disagree with your sentiments hahaha a lot of coastlines are already battered from Hermine, and this would just exacerbate the problems lol I wouldn't mind trading this for an 1888 Blizzard haha

Yup, bring him on.

You sir belong in a psych ward lmfao I have to admit, though, in situations like this (or Sandy) I find myself straddling such a fine line between being absolutely enthralled by the event and in a state of pure enjoyment trying to predict and then observe these systems as they evolve, and being completely devastated knowing the impacts. It sucks lol

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Some GEFS members hook Matt west into New England

I'm assuming a quicker capture would b required to bring in into the area.? Is that possible? But even into ne we could see strong effects if it's huge.

Anything is possible.

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Impressive rex Block out ahead in the Atlantic.  If the Trough was just a little deeper it would have likely made landfall in the NE

Dont like that low. I feel it''s causing a weakness in the ridge.

Are you saying you want a storm? lol If so, I respectfully disagree with your sentiments hahaha a lot of coastlines are already battered from Hermine, and this would just exacerbate the problems lol I wouldn't mind trading this for an 1888 Blizzard haha

Yup, bring him on.

You sir belong in a psych ward lmfao I have to admit, though, in situations like this (or Sandy) I find myself straddling such a fine line between being absolutely enthralled by the event and in a state of pure enjoyment trying to predict and then observe these systems as they evolve, and being completely devastated knowing the impacts. It sucks lol

Mother Nature will do what she wants. All we can do is prepare.

12z GDFL goes up the coast of eastern Florida. More west than previous run.

Hearing the initializing of the 12z EURO "malfunctioned", per Ryan Maue.

Dir. National Hurricane Center just now:

"We cannot rule out direct impacts from #Matthew for any location along U.S. East Coast."

SoulSingMG wrote:Hearing the initializing of the 12z EURO "malfunctioned", per Ryan Maue.

Oh good gosh of course it did lol

Malfunction or not what I'm looking at at 500mb is very similar to the trends on the GFS and CMC so far today.

sroc4 wrote:Malfunction or not what I'm looking at at 500mb is very similar to the trends on the GFS and CMC so far today.  

what does that mean?

Euro definitely continues the new trend of moving out the ULL faster and builds the ridge, should be further north and closer this run compared to yesterday's 12z run